The likelihood is modulated by the level of dust and Cheetos in the operating environment.
I've always adored the MacBook Pro line since they were so solidly built. I've dropped a pre-unibody model where it got it a big dent in the chassis but it kept on trucking for years. Quality like that is worth paying for. "Keep away from dust" is not worth $3000.
Sometimes I think Apple only intended for this laptop to be on display in a sealed box.