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Has the yield curve ever gotten really inverted without a subsequent "bend over" recession following? ... IOW... is there a counter example where we can say well "maybe this time is a lot like this time?" ... otherwise sounds like the typical banker control clock in action. Good job monopoly man again! (I posses no knowledge of a better economic system)

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Yes. 1965.

And then it bounced back and forth for the next 4-5 years before we finally had a recession in 1970.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=nn5r

> https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=nn5r

Note: this graph is for 10Y1Y, while the indicator generally talked about is 10Y3M.

Good point. I know that 10-2's are popular as well.

I used this one because it had the longest history.

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