That was the clear implication I took from the phrasing. And it seems to be confirmed by a bunch of other posters here.
Again I ask: everyone can see that we're at the peak of a growth cycle, why is it notable or surprising that pundits are predicting that we'll hit the downward slow soon? It seems it's only notable if you're trying to blame the recession on the pundits.
You say it is obvious that we are at a peak of a growth cycle. Maybe you are right, but you also could very well be wrong... People have been saying we are at a peak for several years now.
My point was mainly that your analogy was a stretch.
Likewise lots of people were predicting a few years solid growth starting in 2009. And they were right too!
And all I'm saying is that it's more likely that they were right because economic cycles are broadly predictable on the multi-year scales and not because Paul Krugman has some kind of magical power to produce a recession just by talking about it.