They can't get this to work on such a minuscule scale in placid water off the coast of the Netherlands, it won't work in the North Pacific on a far grander scale.
They can't get this to work on such a minuscule scale in placid water off the coast of the Netherlands, it won't work in the North Pacific on a far grander scale.
The notion that "at least they're doing something" isn't a valid justification in my mind. There are plenty of reasons to believe that this wouldn't work, and adding more garbage certainly does make matters worse (even if by a miniscule amount, relatively speaking).
As for more promising projects, we'd be better off doing research to find those projects than throwing away people's money on a pipe dream. Pretty much any project at this point would be better- engineering bacteria to eat it, Dyson funnels to very slowly separate it out, whatever. I'm not a marine or materials scientist. I'm a person with limited funds to contribute towards things, and I don't like being sold snake oil, especially when the response to criticism is "well at least they're doing something!"
So it was always going to be way more expensive per-kWh generated and per unit area of solar panels, meaning that it was both a waste of money and resources. But so many people were willing to ignore it, because “at least they’re doing something”.
Instead, better to do the calculations to see if these kind of things are feasible, and if not, to look for an idea that is more feasible rather than wasting time, money and resources on things we know won’t really help!
Most ideas fail. The people that spend their lives doing something are the people that create worthy things in the end, because they learn from failures.
"The master has failed more times than the beginner has even tried."
"An expert is a man who has made all the mistakes which can be made, in a narrow field." - Niels Bohr
There is this delusion coming from academics education that successful people are those that never fail. This is true in Academics, where all the knowledge is already known. But for a researcher or innovator you need to fail.
Even when most projects fail, those who do not gives enormous rewards.
I don't understand that. What academic believes that all knowledge is already known?
Wasn't Bohr an academic? He was President of the Royal Danish Academy of Arts and Sciences, a foreign member of the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences, he won a gold medal competition sponsored by the Royal Danish Academy of Sciences and Letters.
That really sounds like an academic researcher, which you seem to suggest is impossible.
BTW, your Bohr quote appears to be from Teller (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/004316... ), who attributed it to Bohr (https://www.era.lib.ed.ac.uk/bitstream/handle/1842/28983/McG... )
I prefer:
“An expert is someone who knows some of the worst mistakes that can be made in his subject, and how to avoid them” - Werner Karl Heisenberg (1971) Physics and beyond: Encounters and conversations
and:
"you must learn from the mistakes of others—you will never live long enough to make them all yourself" - https://quoteinvestigator.com/2018/09/18/live-long/
What "pipe dream" are we talking about here? Preventing this planet from becoming a complete toxic dump?
Solving our pollution problem doesn't just stop at reducing new pollution, it should also involve cleaning up what's already there, that's the only sustainable approach.
Some users have commented that 20m is not so much money, and it is true, but we should also consider that, if this project fails, it will be infinitely more difficult to fund the working project that is still to come.
Seriously though, you may discover that the meat cooked for twice as long is better (quite probable if the recipe prescribed low-temperature cooking). Or at least different. Life is not Minecraft, recipes don't constrain reality.
Even more seriously, while it's not good to double down on things that can be shown to not work, let's not get too critical about the concept of "testing by doing" in case of ecological projects, on a site that embraces startup economy - which is entirely based around doing gradient descent on the market, starting from random nonsense and hoping to converge on something that sells.
If you really believe we should start from random nonsense, then let's schedule 1200 GMT on New Year's Day for the world day of meditation to cure the planet. If enough people meditate, then the power of our brainwaves will heal the planet.
Importance. Polluting the oceans is a fairly important problem, and we have the capacity as a species to attempt to address more than one issue at a time.
> One way is to deprioritize the ones where there are many reasons why it's unlikely to work.
When Kennedy announced he wanted a man on the Moon within 10 years, the USA had only barely put a man into orbit around the Earth and certainly hadn't managed to break orbit. There were many reasons that goal was unlikely to work too.
Almost all of the Pioneer and Ranger programs that preceded Apollo failed in one way or another, but they learned enough each time to take the next step. The early launches were just intended to fly at the Moon, and later to try to smash into it to figure out how to.
I guess my point is that when the goal is important you don't necessarily need to start out with all the answers already in your pocket.
> If you really believe we should start from random nonsense, then let's schedule 1200 GMT on New Year's Day for the world day of meditation to cure the planet. If enough people meditate, then the power of our brainwaves will heal the planet.
I don't think this part of your comment should be on HN. You probably realise that already, right?
The goal of putting someone on the Moon was primarily an engineering challenge. An expensive engineering challenge, but the outlines were already worked out through in-house and three external feasibility studies which ended a week before Kennedy made the announcement.
We don't have comparable successful feasibility studies for how to remove plastic from the seas. Or, if we do - where are they?
Do I take it that you disagree (as I do) with TeMPOraL's suggestion that we start from 'random nonsense'? Because if TeMPOraL's statement is correct, then suggesting global mediation as a solution is an appropriate comment for HN. Which was my point.
This was mentioned multiple times, but it's even more daring in your comment. How can it be so insignificant and pointless, but at the same time cause of worry for more marine debris?
a) Not broken down to be microscopic. b) Concentrated.
I should also point out that they claim they can finance a big part of this by recycling the degraded ocean plastic. I shouldn't have to tell you that that is absolutely whackadoo.
I can't tell whether this is satire or not. This seems to be the textbook example of "We've got to do something about it! At least they're doing something! What could possibly go wrong?"
I've come to be accustomed to much more technically astute posts at HN, and am pretty surprised by the kinds of comments I'm seeing in this thread. I guess the high quality technical discussion usually occurs when talking about software or theoretical fields.
The impact is indeed not well understood. They are closely observing the first boom with the intention of iterating and improving. It doesn't appear to be destructive like an ocean trawler - the ill effects of which are very well understood and yet people continue to eat harmfully procured fish.
Edit: https://www.eevblog.com/2014/06/20/eevblog-632-solar-roadway...
So, either they are so blissfully ignorant of the challenges of what they are trying to do (literally harder than sending humans to Mars) and are continuing to raise funds out of the best intentions, or they are scamming.
For a project that seems to rely almost exclusively on pointing out that the founder is young, I'm guessing the second one.
Anyway, that aside, we're totally on the same page re the merits of the project. It's a terrible waste of the good intentions (& resources) of the donors, and can only lead to yet more cynicism.
Let us not rush to allege that a project is likely to be a scam because the founder is young. The Trillion Trees campaign is also largely by really young people. The Ocean Cleanup folks don't harp so much about the founder's age. There's a whole team working there, and I haven't heard any grumblings from the team of resentment about him getting all the attention.
As for scientific documentation, here is their feasibility study: https://www.theoceancleanup.com/fileadmin/media-archive/Docu...
The feasibility study is BS. It only convinced the media, no one in the marine community. They also gave the scientists they asked to "review" it literally 24 hours to do so. It is pretty hard to see how it was a good faith effort.
Here is some information written by an actual oceanographer.
http://www.deepseanews.com/2016/06/the-ocean-cleanup-deploye...
http://www.deepseanews.com/2014/07/the-ocean-cleanup-part-2-...
The second article is an in-depth explanation of all the scientific and engineering problems with the prototype.
Something like one of those anemones that sits at the edges of of sea shelfs collecting organic matter as it passes by... Relying on the current.
A concern I see however is more on negative impact on small bacterial, algaes and other things on the ocean's surface which are part of the lifecycle of bird and fish. But that's not really an area of expertise for me.
Also IMHO there must be ways to separate plastic from living being, for instance by taking advantage of different weights, angular momenta etc.
Launching a rocket, or even writing software never works the first time, just let them iterate on their solution.
Also, it's easy to criticise, but I'm not exactly seeing people fighting to clean up our mess.
If you don't step you will never know how to walk.
The companies who are working with the Ocean Cleanup Project are one of the best marine companies in the world. They are not naive about what an ocean is.
Ofcourse this is also a learning project. So a lot of money is invested just to learn more. But I don't think you should call it a scam.
The reason they only collect at the surface is that it's less likely they will scoop up ocean life. This will make the first steps easier.
First is create a fleet of autonomous barges, like Baltimore's Mr Trash Wheel. They would do station keeping using the wave glider tech (submerged wings). Larger (manned) ships would gather up whatever debris the barges collect.
http://www.bluebird-electric.net/oceanography/Ocean_Plastic_...
jacobwilliamroy's comments about the by catch is probably spot on. So the barge notion may suck.
Alternately, garbage cleanup could become a massive jobs program. Which suits me fine.
Second is to gather the microplastics by creating "floaters" modeled after jellyfish. I imagine a future membrane tech that can filter out the plastics without scooping up too much microscopic life. Again, floaters would do station keeping using wave glider tech. Most of the "business end" of the floaters would submerge to optimum filtering depth, then surface themselves for collection and service.