What am I missing? You seem to be taking the YC-specific unicorn numbers and dividing them by the much broader A16Z "fundable" numbers. Apples & oranges, no?
Do you think it is significantly easier to pick unicorns than I am describing? Because it seems very, very hard.
So hard, in fact, that YC has to pick 150 or so per year and hope that one or two hit 1000x to make up for the others.
https://www.cbinsights.com/research-unicorn-companies has a list.