> They asked a number of questions including whether they had conceived a child at a time when they had multiple sexual partners? I was surprised that no more than 2% of women admitted to this.
I can't quite believe that they didn't point out how meaningless this result is. I mean, people aren't even honest about what they eat for breakfast ;)
> These results marry comfortably with DNA estimates of misattributed paternity from samples that cross a broad range of societies which suggest the rate is between 1% and 3%,[1] and with Prof Gilding’s estimate of between 0.7% and 2%.[2]
Based on the studies cited in these articles, about 20-305 of suspicious fathers are correct about their suspicion. But overall, the rate of misattributed paternity seems to be ~1%. However, not that I've read all the primary research, but I suspect that most of the cited studies are too small to be very reliable. Also, nothing that I've see seems based on complete datasets from consumer DNA testing firms.
0) https://theconversation.com/what-are-the-chances-that-your-d...
1) http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/gnxp/2010/06/the-paternity...
A couple raising their daughter's son as their own is Y-chromosome non-paternity despite being a direct descendant.
> The surprising result of these new studies is that human EPP rates have stayed near- constant at around 1% across several human societies over the past several hundred years.
But this is based on long term population studies, not "real time" measurements.
Edit: And yes, those numbers are looking more like FUD.
Not 30% but not 1-2 also..