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Comment by pweissbrod | Hacker News Reader

Doubtful. You underestimate the inertia of resources. Wages for tech are more competitive in the US. I also bet if your prediction started to become true then lobbyists would push regulations to reduce the brain drain.

That being said I'm a US citizen that thinks about moving increasingly all the time.

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US is already experiencing a significant brain drain. This is currently offset by new immigrants, but if you look at how many talented people are leaving it's shocking.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emigration_from_the_United_Sta...

Do you have have any data on that? Asking as I'm considering moving to the US and the climate there matters to me.

Exact numbers are hard to come by. The United States does not keep track of emigration, and counts of Americans abroad are thus only available courtesy of statistics kept by the destination countries.

As of June 2016, the State department's consular section estimated that there are 9 million non-military U.S. citizens living abroad,[3][4] an increase from the 4 million estimated in 1999.

The above includes many retirees, who find their retirement incomes stretch further abroad. But, it also includes a lot of PHD students who have troubles finding academic jobs inside the US etc.

It's an indirect measure of where people are choosing to invest in their futures, but international student enrolment at US universities is dropping:

https://www.npr.org/2018/01/15/578098190/budgets-suffer-afte...

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