Maybe conspiracy theory is a bad example because they’re true often enough to not be like fairies or black swans at all.
Domestic mass surveillance is a debunked conspiracy theory, remember
Domestic mass surveillance is a debunked conspiracy theory, remember
I once said “there’s no such thing as a bull run” in some context with a group of friends. Do you think you would have chimed in to say that there’s a big one in Madrid every year?