The EU bound counties together through trade and NATO protected against external threats.
Despite them all being NATO members, unable to by treaty, with the whole NATO organisation geared up to enforce that?
How exactly would your scenario play out? I'm genuinely curious.
It's also important to note that NATO does not provide prosperity (that was the goal of the EEC through closer trade and cooperation). So it does absolutely nothing to prevent the rise of extremist movements that could cause a repeat of the 1930s. There is also nothing it can do to prevent a member from quitting, just like Germany quit the League of Nations.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Coal_and_Steel_Commun...
Worth noting that two NATO members (Greece and Turkey) have had deaths from a not-quite shoot out http://edition.cnn.com/2006/WORLD/europe/05/23/greece.crash/. Interesting also that Turkey isn't an EU member, and counties like Germany and France have had as least as much a history of conflict as Greece/Turkey have.