We've seen several classified documents claiming (pick a three letter USG agency) have minimal operational ability to deanonymize a particular Tor user, and even less-so in real-time.
Fortunately, the FBI has proven it doesn't need to break Tor to interfere with the most egregious of the malactors who call it home. They've hijacked servers hosting objectionable content and used them to deliver Firefox exploits to leak real IP addresses.[1] They've done "good old fashioned police work" and exploited human trust [2] to bring down well coordinated teams of international players.
[1] https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2016/09/playpen-story-fbis-unp... [2] https://www.wired.com/story/alphabay-takedown-dark-web-chaos...