> consider air travel
With air travel the people bearing the risk are the direct customers. If I'm uncomfortable with the safety record of airlines I can simply not fly. How do I opt out of the risks imposed by a credit rating agency?
The closer analogy, I think, would be if cargo planes were routinely crashing in populated areas. The air freight company and its clients may well be completely comfortable with their loss rate, but the unaffiliated third parties living underneath would have a pretty justifiable reason to complain.
> Truth is, nothing can be done safely. Not travel, not business. There is always a tradeoff between risk and benefit.
This is absolutely true, but as currently constructed credit agencies get to reap the benefits while pushing the risk off onto the general public. If we regulate to internalize that risk and the agencies still think it's a good risk/reward tradeoff then that's fine. If they no longer think it's a good tradeoff that's fine too.
> So you don't like the bureaux; well, nobody does really. But what is an alternative which allows lenders to compare applicants on a like-for-like basis with some degree of confidence?
There's several suggestions elsewhere in the thread, but I'm going to go out on a limb and suggest: nothing.
On a macroeconomic level, easy availability of credit increases average growth but also increases total risk, and therefore volatility. It's not apparent to me that that's a good trade.
On a microeconomic level, the benefits I receive from being able to get credit easily have to be weighed against both the suboptimal personal accounting I have to engage in to keep my credit score up and against the long tail risk that a third party can open a line of credit in my name. It's not apparent to me that that's a good trade either.
Maybe lenders should be much more conservative with who they loan to. Maybe they should price in a much higher default rate. Maybe individuals should seek a single line of credit from their bank of choice instead of expecting expenses to be financed individually. I don't know, I'm just some guy with 2 semesters of college-level economics. What I do know is that the status quo isn't sacred and the arguments explicitly in support of it seem to boil down to "growth is good and change is scary", which seems like really weak rationale for giving someone most of us don't even have a business relationship with essentially unilateral control of millions of people's financial fates.