Edit: wording.
Edit: wording.
"Magnitude 8.0 Earthquake strikes off Mexico's coast. A Magnitude 8.0 Earthquake was predicted by a Redditor just a day earlier on this subreddit."
https://www.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/6yss3m/magnitud...
:)
> Should be an easy thing for a data scientist to debunk or validate...
He's calling those with said skills to help him. From his announcement:
> If you are good at statistical analysis we could use your help. Please pm me.
Link: https://np.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/6yhv3l/the_ultim...
The guy's a charlatan that was basically throwing predictions at the wall till they stuck and is now hoping no one notices his failures.
I think there's something to his solar flare theory. It may not be the only the only piece, but it seems to be a piece. He'll have an uphill battle to fight but it's fun to read his stuff.
An eclipse means the moon earth and sun are in a line which maximizes the net tidal forces. However, you can get the same impact from a lunar eclipse. It's also not much stronger than a normal full moon.
Anyway, the effect was not that strong, but I have seen it validated by other studies. The problem is say a 50% increase in odds for the next hour can be statistically significant, but the odds for a random hour are so low it's just not that useful.
PS: Best data was actually micro quakes near volcano's, but they are so tiny as to be mostly meaningless.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tidal_triggering_of_earthquake...
https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affec...