Magnitude-8+ Earthquake, 87km SW of Pijijiapan, Mexico
earthquake.usgs.gov
earthquake.usgs.gov
Edit: It's also been reported around the world that these lights can occur days, even weeks before an earthquake happens.
There's a lot of different explanations for it, but I understand that it's never been definitively explained.
Page 49 lists some prices in a table. It looks like they range from $40,000 to $50,000 (AUD) for a pole-mounted transformer
The idea of "Earthquake lights" is also a theory, but it's becoming increasingly more likely these days as evidence piles up.
I'm not sure what you're getting at here, have you not seen high voltage lines blow up before personally? Or are you just making a point in this regard? Because the flashes of lights you see on the horizon etc during a heavy storm knocking over transformers and main lines is a pretty widely known thing.
I don't understand why you're demanding evidence of it, but:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=29O9rzJZurQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLVFyhyghZo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yqAGYXwj6XM
etc
"Something's definitely going wrong there."
"Definitely... Do you think it's a new nightclub?"
First. So the explanation goes, during the earthquake power substation transformers and fuses blow, causing these lights. Problem is, the grid doesn't sustain that level of damage during these earthquakes. Yes, the power usually goes out and there is grid damage, but the amount of damage is nowhere near 'every substation blowing', even in the most severe quakes. So the number of lights and number of grid faults do not equal.
Second. Earthquake lights present in the sky, not on the ground beneath them. If substations were blowing and creating light, they would light objects in their immediate vicinity (e.g. buildings) more than they would illuminate clouds. But that doesn't happen, and in fact the lights appear within the cloud layers themselves rather than appearing as a projection onto them, as they would if the light source was at ground level.
Third. These lights have been witnessed out to sea and over offshore islands, where there is no power grid.
That last point is the most compelling for me, because I personally witnessed earthquake lights, less than a year ago, offshore, during the November 2016 7.8 Kaikoura earthquake. During that earthquake, I had this (night time) view: https://imgur.com/a/Nt2wD
The look is very similar to the videos of the ones in Mexico, and very different to the long-lasting beam of light from the ground that seems to come from generator explosions.
Where I was, power was generally restored within 24 hours. I don't believe this would be possible if every substation were blowing. I believe people refer to the transformers on the telephone poles failing.
Edit: wording.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tidal_triggering_of_earthquake...
https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affec...
"Magnitude 8.0 Earthquake strikes off Mexico's coast. A Magnitude 8.0 Earthquake was predicted by a Redditor just a day earlier on this subreddit."
https://www.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/6yss3m/magnitud...
:)
> Should be an easy thing for a data scientist to debunk or validate...
He's calling those with said skills to help him. From his announcement:
> If you are good at statistical analysis we could use your help. Please pm me.
Link: https://np.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/6yhv3l/the_ultim...
The guy's a charlatan that was basically throwing predictions at the wall till they stuck and is now hoping no one notices his failures.
I think there's something to his solar flare theory. It may not be the only the only piece, but it seems to be a piece. He'll have an uphill battle to fight but it's fun to read his stuff.
An eclipse means the moon earth and sun are in a line which maximizes the net tidal forces. However, you can get the same impact from a lunar eclipse. It's also not much stronger than a normal full moon.
Anyway, the effect was not that strong, but I have seen it validated by other studies. The problem is say a 50% increase in odds for the next hour can be statistically significant, but the odds for a random hour are so low it's just not that useful.
PS: Best data was actually micro quakes near volcano's, but they are so tiny as to be mostly meaningless.
For damage done on the surface you have the subjective Mercali scale.
Each point is 10 ^ 1.5 (about 31)
Every 2 points is 100
The Richter scale is almost never used now but that'd where the factor of 10 per point comes from.
I prefer the Shindo scale in Japan, which better informs you how people actually felt it/it affected infrastructure. Each earthquake doesn't get "one" shindo scale, you get a map of shindo readings for each location it was felt in. Then you can say "this earthquake was up to shindo X" if you want to tell somehow the worst effects of it, or "at my house it was shindo X-2" and people understand "oh so you were pretty far away huh"
http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/849381/tremor-North-Kore...