TLDR: The moon colony will be able to make its own rules and keep earth at bay.
TLDR: The moon colony will be able to make its own rules and keep earth at bay.
You make the government local, or the local government that eventually forms will rebel. Then it will beat you, because it can react to the local situation more quickly.
You might be able to control the Moon from Earth, but Mars will definitely be self-governing. It's all about the latency.
The comparison you should be making is the rebellion of a distant colony versus a more local rebellion. I.e. why did the American Revolution succeed, but the Whiskey Rebellion fail?
The Whisky rebellion was essentially an armed tax protest, of the kind that happened fairly often in American history and before independence. Its goal was never to topple the US government or create a separate nation.
I like how the power roles between the sexes on the moon are reversed too. The matriarch has all the power because women are scarce and they take on many husbands out of this need. They always hold the cards and culturally everyone accepts this.
Also, because the value of women is so high no man ever dares attack one less they be sent out an airlock. It is cultural justice. No trial. A man just knows that if he is seen assaulting a woman, he is dead. The community can't afford to lose a single female.
Plus with all the talk of the A.I. Armageddon the book plays right into that discussion.
The book is interesting, but it was written for a society that doesn't exist. Women and men will not be as lopsided in a colony. The first few ships might be mostly male construction workers, but after that expect to see a much closer balance.
I do hope the future will be more "centrist", neither patriarchal nor matriarchal.