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Don't get me wrong, it's terrible and unnecessary that this happened to her, but it's not like she didn't know beforehand this would happen or be able to avoid it.

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That sounds a little bit like: "It's not like my wife doesn't know how to behave so that I won't punch her."

1. Analogies don't contribute to a debate since they're not based in reason, but in confirmation bias. You're trying to transpose the emotional connotations from one situation to a completely unrelated one.

2. She admits herself that she knew she couldn't stay out of the country for 2 years. There was a law, which she was aware of, and chose not to follow.

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