I suspect it will be non-healthcare jobs in healthcare. People are noticing that at the same time their premiums are doubling, tripling, quadrupling, doctors and hospitals seem to have larger and larger staffs of computer technicians, billing specialists, insurance negotiators or whatever the heck those people are doing. It used to be that a doctor could be self-employed, with just one nurse who doubled as a receptionist. Now fewer people are going into medicine, at the same time millions of people are going to be trained to work in the healthcare industry.

I think a lot of the resentment against "Obamacare" is that people can see this non-value-added waste (muda) and they saw government making a deal with the insurance industry to add even more bureaucracy to an already wasteful system. If there is going to be any compromise betwen left and right on healthcare, it may be that we keep the mandate (pleasing the left) but cut the regulation and bureaucracy that creates all the waste (pleasing the right).

That would be good for doctors and patients, of course, but very bad for insurance companies and other parts of the healthcare-industrial complex.