I don't know anything about fluid dynamics but I know something about shooting and being shot at. I agree with your comment. I would only add that rifle fire sound can be somewhat directional and depending on the temp, density, humidity, height above ground, and reflectivity of the ground much of the impulse can be dissipated or distorted.
Surely sensors would have picked up the impact a .50 makes. Although I don't know why one would need a .50. It's a heavy round with lots of drop and it's not like the rocket is armored. From what I've read of the relative fragility of rockets you could get by with a very small round in just the right spot.