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Comment by Reason077 | Hacker News Reader

Some people are unjustifiably worried about SSD endurance.

The reality is that even with fairly heavy use, most of them will far outlive the computers they're in. And their owners for that matter!

I purchased my current SSD in March 2015 - it's a Samsung 850 EVO 512GB. It's done 7332 Power_On_Hours, and 36486573259 Total_LBAs_Written, which works out as just under 17 TB written, or about 31.6 GB/day.

That kind of sounds like a lot. But let's put it in context. Even the previous generation of TLC NAND SSDs were recorded in endurance tests doing around 1 PETABYTE of writes before failing. The 850 EVO, with it's 3D V-NAND, should be capable of at least double that.

For arguments sake, lets assume it will last for 1 Petabyte. I've written 17TB in 1.5 years, or 11.3TB per year. At that rate, this drive is still going to last at least another 90 YEARS.

So is this really something to obsess over?

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>The reality is that even with fairly heavy use, most of them will far outlive the computers they're in.

I'm not sure what the lifetime of a computer is. In my family, we are still occasionally running machines from circa 1995. They work fine. When should I stop using my MacBook? The only reason I'd stop is if it died in a way that can't be cheaply fixed.

I'm curious what useful work such a computer can perform, given that a typical 1995 computer had a 33 MHz processor, 8 megs of RAM and 1 gigabyte of hard disk space.

The same work they did in 1995. Word processing, games, internet. Computers weren't useless back then.

>I'm not sure what the lifetime of a computer is. In my family, we are still occasionally running machines from circa 1995.

Pretty sure it's not 21 years, c'mon...

1995 is a stretch for anything modern but I have kids playing Minecraft on Pentium 4’s (with decent graphic cards though - that is the critical part). These boxes would have been new around 2003 or so.

this is an incorrect assumption http://techreport.com/review/27909/the-ssd-endurance-experim...

Most of the SSD failed before a petabyte... and started encountering lots of errors before that (forget about the Samsung Pro series which is the only one that survived till its multi-petabyte end).

Those were all ~250GB devices, however. Endurance increases with higher capcity.

If a 250GB 840 EVO can get to 800TB without errors, then I'd expect a 500GB 850 EVO to reach 1 PB, easily.

A 500GB 850 EVO has newer-generation, more durable NAND endurance and twice the capacity to work with.

The warranty on your EVO is just 150 TBW. The older generations typically had better endurance, the newer generations are more dense (cheaper to produce) but less durable.

If you keep with 17 TB per one and half year your SSD should be OK for your for at least next 11 years.

The warranty on your EVO is just 150 TBW.

Yes, but endurance tests almost invariably show that the warranty ratings are extremely conservative. The 1TB 850 PRO (which uses exactly the same NAND chips as the 850 EVO, just a different controller) has been endurance tested to more than 7 Petabytes. See: http://packet.company/blog/

The older generations typically had better endurance, the newer generations are more dense (cheaper to produce) but less durable.

That was true when comparing MLC flash to TLC. But the 850 EVO and PRO use 3D V-NAND, which has significantly more endurance than previous-generation TLC. This seems to be confirmed by endurance tests.

your SSD should be OK for your for at least next 11 years

The warranty runs out after 5 years, anyway. But that does not mean it will suddenly stop working on that date!

No, you're wrong. The 850 PRO uses MLC while the EVO uses TLC. But given that they're both constructed on Samsung's 3D-VNAND technology, their endurance is still much higher than the competitors out there.

Yes, you're right. But I don't expect an EVO to last for a full 7 PB of writes like the PRO did. But even if it lasts a fraction of that (say, approx 1 PB, which previous generation 840 EVO was able to achieve) then it's still 90 years of life at current usage levels! A (1 TB) 850 PRO would last over 600 years!

In all likelihood the drive will never get anywhere near any of these values - it'll be replaced with newer, better tech at some point. It may then get used for a backups or secondary storage, but in those scenarios the daily writes will drop enormously.

> their endurance is still much higher

It's not "much" higher, actually, 3D MLC as implemented by Samsung is just "up to twice" better than the planar MLC given the same die area and capacity:

http://www.samsung.com/semiconductor/minisite/ssd/v-nand/tec...

"Samsung V-NAND provides up to twice the endurance of planar NAND."

But if the size of the cell drops, the number of P/E cycles drops. Samsung's endurance declarations are real and to be believed, they initially used bigger cells than some of their other chips (or competitors), but Samsung engineers know what they do, that "some tests" achieved "much more" can be either an accident or due to the errors in the test methodology (and I very much suspect the later, because it also allows the accidents to be taken as the "success"). At the time these SSDs appeared, Samsung declared twice less TBW than they do now, so now the declared endurance is surely not too pessimistic, but based on the real knowledge of what's inside.

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