That is to say, the EU without the UK has less leverage than before, and the UK without the EU has less leverage than before, so now neither the EU nor the UK has nearly as much bargaining power as they had combined.
Negotiating with the EU is a disaster. Too many special interests to deal with all at once! As the old saying goes: too many chefs spoil the broth.
The second sentence of the parenthetical, if taken to be true, casts significant doubt on the claim in the final sentence.
I don't doubt that the requirement for consensus in the EU makes EU-to-outside trade deals difficult to negotiate. OTOH, that same fact makes successful negotiation of an EU-Britain trade deal (either as part of or subsequent to an exit agreement) uncertain.
The EU has been extremely ineffective at negotiating trade deals between the 28 EU countries, and non EU countries.
We (UK) will be far more effective at negotiating our own trade deals with non EU countries. It's far simpler for a start.
Exactly, which casts strong doubts on the this claim from your earlier post: "We will negotiate a trade deal with the EU as a whole."
Because, you know, that is a trade deal between the 27 remaining EU countries and a non-(or soon to be non-)EU country, the exact thing you say that the EU isn't successful at doing.
It is massively in the EU's interests to do a deal with us quickly.
The only sensible way to measure income is with purchasing power, and that's far more complex than an exchange rate (since many of the services and goods originate in the UK anyways).
Giving the same deal that they have right now is what will give further fuel to leave. Why should I stay when I can have a better deal leaving?
That would provide perfect ammunition for nationalists everywhere.
See:
http://newobserveronline.com/brexit-contagion-germany-fears-...
In what world is punishing having a worst deal that they have now because they don't have the duties?
And yes, you talk about mutual beneficial union, that is not what UK wants
Do you have read your link? Because it says that the contagion will happen if there is a good deal with UK. Just the contrary you say
Seriously. Do you even know what you're talking about? Only our elected government (who were on the remain side), can invoke article 50, and it's up to them to decide when.
Hopefully the whole EU does collapse.
As a matter of fact, yes I do. Boris Johnson has come out and said there is "no need to rush", and he was on the Leave side.
> Only our elected government (who were on the remain side), can invoke article 50
That's just a roundabout way of saying "The Tories", innit? Cameron is a lame duck, and if the Leave wing of the Tories wanted him out tomorrow, he'd be out tomorrow.
Which car company in the UK could take the market share from Germany?
Seems like a seller market to me.
Sounds like a nightmare to me. On the other hand, Switzerland seems to be doing well (although they are maybe focussing more on the EU than the Britain that you advocate).