If you have been following the recent advances in AI (and are not clueless) then it should be getting really REALLY obvious that most coding and design tasks will be automated within three to five years.
AI will eat your career.
AI will eat your career.
Please cite an example where a software design task has been done by machine learning. Something where you start with a specification or description and the automation produces a usable design.
Coding could possibly be replaced by something in a decade or so but I wouldn't hold my breath. We are just getting to compilers and JIT systems that do better than smart developers working at a lower level.
I'm generally considered unduly optimistic about AI progress, but 3-5 years is way too optimistic.
For some business-algorithm tasks with large amounts of data we may begin to see tools like NTMs etc become viable in that time frame.
By 2020 global job pool for software developers and user interface designers will start to contract due to competition from automated design/development AI.
The majority of large SV corporations beyond Google/Facebook do not make much sense to me.
Dropbox? Why not operate your own server?
Apple iphone? There existed separated out telephone/camera/other technology with superior characteristics for less money.
Many many jobs and companies exist because the barrier to entry is too high for most people, even though to insiders their tasks seem ludicrously straight forward. Dropbox and Apple are just an abstraction layer.
Or to put it the way I heard it on Reddit:
"I went to fix some tech issue with the office computers. They're all 50-something boomer gen types who treat being outside of their comfort zone on their laptops as if they were retreating into a radioactive wilderness. I rebooted all the machines. They worked. They looked at me as if I were a wizard."
Not worried, I'm not a CRUD developer, so I don't see my job going away anytime soon.