Not sure why Buffet decided so late to invest in apple. Returns will not be as high as pre iPod or iPhone era
Shortsightedness?
Without any hindsight involved, 10 years ago the continuous rise for several years seemed inevitable AT THE TIME.
Now it's not so clear.
But it's not because "it's easier to predict the last 10 years than the next ten years".
Rather it's because it was easier to predict the next ten years in 2006 than it is now.