Nothing is certain of course but I tend to believe your line of reasoning based on the stuff I've read. I think we really should reduce carbo hydrate intake for the stuff we eat we should use more of the whole grain stuff: whole wheat, brown rice etc. White flower and rice is terrible and we should really try to stop eating it. More chick peas, beans etc instead. But I also think it is important that while pushing more fat in the diet we should emphasize eating the right kind of fat: more fat fish, cold pressed olive oil, avocado, nuts etc.
My problem is that I know a lot of this stuff but I don't really live it. Hard to change habits once you have developed them. I just love bread and pasta too much e.g.