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yunesj

240 karma · joined April 15, 2015

[ my public key: https://keybase.io/jeff_y; my proof: https://keybase.io/jeff_y/sigs/iIZQ1JqpwepQGgiHqhM6wGO5ooWwTTC-a0wd663BiFU ]
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yunesj··on Bitcoin is a disaster
> deflation

You are making a lot of assumptions. But yes, a productive enterprise has to outperform doing nothing to be successful. And no, it is not possible to generate unlimited wealth simply by investing in a deflationary currency.

yunesj··on Bitcoin is a disaster
Many, or even most people, believe that money must be controlled by the government for the economy to function. "Sound money" is money whose supply cannot be controlled by the government. Some further reading:

* https://fee.org/articles/what-do-we-mean-by-sound-money/

* https://mises.org/library/principle-sound-money

* https://www.aier.org/pertinent_category/sound-money-project/

yunesj··on Bitcoin is a disaster
Bitcoin's value prop isn't in its anonymity.

Early adopters weren't enthusiastic about bitcoin because they hoped it would end fractional reserve banking or any other financial product. Rather, it was incredible to see the entire financial industry quickly rebuilt on top of sound money.

I agree that small transactions and mining can be (and are being) improved, but not for the same reasons. It's silly to blame bitcoin for government corruption and people taking advantage of government subsidies. Bitcoin is simply doing what was always done more efficiently.

I would expect that an individual like Bear would be more in tune with what bitcoin was trying to accomplish.

yunesj··on Bitcoin is a disaster
> You don’t need most to agree. Just the basic majority (50%+). And of course that’s exactly what the major mining consortiums will do

You don't need anyone else to agree to start mining your own fork / altcoin. However, even if most of the miners change the protocol, it doesn't mean that the users will.

yunesj··on Bitcoin is a disaster
> No one treats Bitcoin as a currency. ... And the reason behind that is obvious. Something whose value may double in a month or whose value may halve within weeks is a terrible currency.

Nope. I don't buy things in crypto only because of the reporting burden. Every cup of coffee bought with crypto has to be reported on a tax return.

yunesj··on Run is a platform to build apps and tokens on Bitcoin
Maybe proof of existence (document certification), decentralized DNS, provably fair gambling, and prediction markets?
yunesj··on California plan for wealth tax on anyone who spends 60 days a year in the state
> because of 0.4% ... American greed

San Francisco has a city budget larger than most other countries. This election, it voted to pass all nine measures for new taxes!

https://sfelections.sfgov.org/november-3-2020-election-resul...

yunesj··on California plan for wealth tax on anyone who spends 60 days a year in the state
You’re linking to an article from mid 2018, before SF passed the largest tax in the city’s history: 2018 Prop C, a gross receipts tax for homeless services expected to raise another $300M. Several other additional tax measures were also passed since then to raise funds for homeless services.
yunesj··on Microsoft says it found malicious software in its systems
> I have a lot of trust in Microsoft

I’d love to trust Microsoft. They have a lot of talented people working on a lot of cool things.

But, they voluntarily collaborated with the US Government to spy on their users at home and abroad, and those people are still in charge, as far as I know.

yunesj··on Biomarker of Alzheimer's found to be regulated by sleep cycles
That’s not surprising at all. From a paper on circadian expression:

> We found 43% of all protein coding genes showed circadian rhythms in transcription somewhere in the body, largely in an organ-specific manner.

Assuming they looked at more than one protein biomarker, it’s highly likely that one of them would have circadian expression.

https://www.pnas.org/content/111/45/16219

yunesj··on Estimated 1.56B face masks will have entered oceans in 2020
I don't have a lot of daily errands; mostly just picking up coffee or food outside and to go. I don't talk to people for that (except to say thanks!), and don't wear the P100 because it's low risk.

Places I've worn the P100: an airplane, grocery store, train, Uber, medical lab for a test. I found the peace of mind alone was well worth the inconvenience in these scenarios.

yunesj··on Estimated 1.56B face masks will have entered oceans in 2020
Material from a surgical mask is taped over it.
yunesj··on Bitcoin breaks above $20k
> I'm curious how it compares to the entirety of a system like Mastercard

You should also include the cost of running all of the world's central banks.

US Federal Reserve budget is about $5B. Assuming 328.5k BTC mined per year, no tx fees, $20k BTC value, and mining at break even, mining energy costs are about $6.57B. It seems like they're on the same order of magnitude.

I am more concerned about the misaligned incentives for PoW, and to a lesser extent for PoS.

yunesj··on Estimated 1.56B face masks will have entered oceans in 2020
3M respirators with P100 filters have a comfortable silicone seal, aren’t very expensive, and actually prevent the wearer from infection.

We settled on a public policy where we are only as safe as the worst mask an infected person is wearing. I would have preferred an alternative policy where people who don’t want to get sick simply wear an effective mask.

I do encourage covering the exhale valve, though, just to be extra safe and considerate.

yunesj··on U.S. Feds Seized Nearly $1B in Bitcoin from Wallet Linked to Silk Road
“TV for breakroom remodel”

https://www.thegazette.com/data/police-forfeitures#route-IC

yunesj··on Gitlab phished its own work-from-home staff, and 1 in 5 fell for it
> It's important to note the nature of the failure.

Definitely! UCSF had a security firm send out a fishy-looking fishing email. My email client pointed out the url did not match the link text, whois told me it was a security company, and I opened the URL in a VM.

“You just got fished!” eye roll

I wouldn’t be surprised if most of those employees at gitlab were not so much fished as curious.

yunesj··on 500K bet on rock paper scissors ruled invalid by Quebec court
It appears that the court broke the contract without being asked to do so by the loser.

“But without government, who would break the contracts?!”

yunesj··on 500K bet on rock paper scissors ruled invalid by Quebec court
There’s a lot of luck in a single hand, but over many hands, players’ luck will be similar.

At that point, poker seems to me mostly about the skill of handling uncertainty and communicating with other players.

yunesj··on Ask HN: Who Is Firing?
Only 90%? In the US, the CARES Act is paying 250% of payroll costs!

https://www.thestreet.com/personal-finance/cares-act-paychec...

yunesj··on U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days
Johns Hopkins is keeping up with the totals.

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu

yunesj··on Stanford Medicine COVID-19 test now in use
There's no catch. It's called "pooling" and is used, e.g., to keep costs down for early detection of primary HIV infection.
yunesj··on Why the foundations of physics have not progressed for 40 years
> How can we learn more if we don't change our mind?

I think it's also possible to learn without having strongly held beliefs about the subject beforehand. This alternative reminds me of Descartes (don't assimilate knowledge until you are sure of it's veracity) and Bayes (keep track of degree of belief about traditionally non-probabilistic things). Maybe such an approach would help getting trapped in local optima. E.g., I'd imagine it would be hard to climb out of the theist energy well once your world view were based on it.

yunesj··on Hard Problems in Cryptocurrency: Five Years Later
I disagree. Wallets exist that are as easy to use (for small sums) as Venmo.

I stopped using Bitcoin for daily transactions because of the stress of having to report every coffee purchase on my tax return.

yunesj··on PayPal stops payouts to models on Pornhub
I'm surprised that people suddenly think that banks aren't greedy enough to profit from the porn industry!

Maybe the reason PayPal and so many other companies won't service adult industries is that there are laws that put them within arms reach of criminal liability?

On a related note, this reminds me of Operation Choke Point (2013-2017), where the DOJ harassed banks that did business with customers in legal, but "undesirable", industries [1].

[1] https://cei.org/blog/operation-choke-point-targets-porn-and-...

[2] https://reason.com/2014/04/28/doj-operation-chokepoint-and-p...

yunesj··on California's ‘Surprise’ Billing Law Is Protecting Patients and Angering Doctors
> Free market doesn't work when refusing to pay for the product costs you in health or even life.

The free market works great to provide food.

yunesj··on “Organized Intimacy” events in the Bay Area
This is another article that reeks of unsubstantiated, anti-tech sentiment.

"culture and fun has been sucked out of the city since the second tech boom ... when the artists [left] the sex parties would dry up ... Burning Man morphed [to] a multi-million dollar, helicopter valeted, elite event ... sex and intimacy parties altered by the world of tech and money ... You can smell hubris on the streets ... toxic and sometimes dangerous events that revert back to a very unprogressive and misogynistic dynamic, in which entrepreneurial tech 2.0 entitlement and hubris is leveraged to excuse treating women, usually lower on the career ladder, as little more than sex toys."

It's suffocating.

Yes, the events happen. They are almost always sincere, good-hearted, intimate, and problem-free. People in SF are experimenting to see if this is the vitamin that makes people happier in a culture that is hyper-connected, but scrutinized and isolating.

This writer takes these intimate events, and publishes an article about how they are "kinky" and "sexual." Author Andrew Chamings should write 1,500 words about he's the problem.

yunesj··on North American vs. Japanese zoning
> This article sounds somewhat socialist and left leaning

The only hint of anything socialist in this report is that Japanese zoning is based on centrally planned guidelines. However, the author reports a key downside of this: that there are fewer possibilities for experimentation- so I don't get that this is left-leaning.

> just because there is an open area available, should we really develop everything

The author makes the point that whitelist-based zoning results in urban sprawl. So, IMO, if you are going to develop an area, make it dense, convenient, and creative. And then you can leave the rest undeveloped. I don't know about the zoning laws in Seattle, but it's pretty dense with residential towers, pretty mixed use downtown and in Capitol Hill, but hikes and waterfalls are like a 20 minute drive away.

yunesj··on Finland tax authorities matching Bitcoin transactions and bank transfers
> Society cannot run on the philanthopy of billionaires.

Well, it doesn't run on taxes either. Successful societies runs on voluntary exchange.

Given how much of the taxes are paid by the ultra wealthy (most of them), how philanthropic they are (very), and how wasteful the government is (impressively), why would you assume that voluntary philanthropy cannot replace involuntary, state-managed welfare?

yunesj··on Finland tax authorities matching Bitcoin transactions and bank transfers
> It sucks if you've made a loss, but that's not really the government's problem.

Perhaps the government shouldn't incentivize their residents to make suboptimal investments.

"It's not really the government's problem if they impoverish their citizens and hurt their economy."

yunesj··on Finland tax authorities matching Bitcoin transactions and bank transfers
Stocks aren't really a direct investment in a company like you're assuming.

Instead, investing in stocks and cryptocurrencies benefit the economy in very similar ways. In both cases, companies hold on to these assets, and can sell them to raise money for doing projects, buying companies, hiring employees, etc.

But government's probably shouldn't be incentivizing or de-incentivizing any investing. Saving money is sometimes the best thing to do with it.

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