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youarentrightjr

252 karma · joined December 7, 2025

We're probably all wrong
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youarentrightjr··on Tech companies defeat bill as AI drains local water supplies
> I think it's super cool that Olympia HS has a student run newspaper, but I don't think this is something that should be posted to HN. The only source quoted on the water issue is an EE professor from a school in California, who I am guessing is not a subject matter expert on water in Washington state. FWIW, as a Washington resident, I can say that we're not exactly a state worrying about water shortages. We're probably one of the more reasonable places to build data centers due to cheap green energy and pretty plentiful water. Obviously, we need to manage it responsibly, but I haven't seen any evidence of looming issues here (please feel free to correct me, though).

I agree the lack of source in TFA is less than ideal, and the author is essentially saying "just trust the professor bro".

But you have to admit it's ironic your claim has the same problem, essentially "just trust me bro".

youarentrightjr··on Florida judge rules red light camera tickets are unconstitutional
> I think the argument is generally: nobody has a right to drive a car, it's something we permit by issuing a license and other regulations. One of the conditions is that the owner of a vehicle is ultimately responsible for it.

Do you know you can be licensed to drive a vehicle without owning one, and similarly, own one without being licensed to drive it?

Why would the owner of the property be responsible for someone else's actions with that property?

youarentrightjr··on TSA leaves passenger needing surgery after illegally forcing her through scanner
There's been a slow shift here over the past decade, from

"Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety"

to

"If you don't agree with what I think a nanny state should be doing you're a terrible person"

What I wonder is if this is brought on by a demographic shift or a viewpoint shift among the same demographic.

youarentrightjr··on 10% of Firefox crashes are caused by bitflips
How do you mean? Is there programming inside the game (ala Minecraft or Factorio)?
youarentrightjr··on Statement on the comments from Secretary of War Pete Hegseth
> "I learned the word a week ago therefore it is new."

This isn't true, and there's no need to flame and be disingenuous.

> The term—and its use in the now-Department of War—dates back to the late 80s.

Maybe you can provide evidence instead of restating the same claim that sibling comments to mine have made?

I've already admitted that it wasn't invented by Hegseth. My claim is that he is popularizing it. In fact, your comment further down agrees with this:

> It really isn't—it's all perception. Hegseth has a much more outgoing and public persona so it's more visible. Heck, can you even name the last 5 Secretaries that preceded him? I can't.

As you say, he has a much more public persona - as does his jingoistic rhetoric.

youarentrightjr··on Statement on the comments from Secretary of War Pete Hegseth
It's a Hegseth malapropism, which is why it's slightly disturbing that Dario continues to use it.

edit: To be clear, Hegseth didn't create it, merely has popularized its use recently. Eg his speech at Quantico last Sept

youarentrightjr··on IDF killed Gaza aid workers at point blank range in 2025 massacre: Report
> Gaza began the war with a more powerful army than many European countries

What? You mean countries like Monaco and Liechtenstein?

> more soldiers, more rockets

Simply counting the # of soldiers or rockets is disingenuous when this is obviously an asymmetric war.

It's clear that the method of combatant recognition employed by the IDF is flawed, given they're killing aid workers and people from the UN.

Eg, here is Hamas' bread and butter rocket: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qassam_rocket

There is more technology in a modern rifle round than in those rockets + launch systems (if you even dare call them that).

> more war-fighting infrastructure

Please explain what you mean by "war-fighting infrastructure ".

> Gaza wasn't a particularly poor place before the war, certainly not by the standards of the middle east

Depends on what you mean by "standards of the Middle East", but just compare Israel($52k) and Gaza ($3455) for 2023:

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?location...

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?location...

> It had mansions and average salaries that, for some professions, were higher than average salaries in Israel.

"The wealthiest in a poor country have more money than the average in a developed country", means what exactly?

How did you develop your understanding of this situation? And what are you trying to communicate here?

youarentrightjr··on CXMT has been offering DDR4 chips at about half the prevailing market rate
> The DRAM bits themselves don't change at all. What's different between DDR4, DDR5, and HBM is the IO interface

That's not completely accurate - since the bw between these are different, the routing and therefore propagation delays for DDR4 won't allow it to magically be used as DDR5 or HBM.

If you design for the most strict timings, then sure.

youarentrightjr··on CXMT has been offering DDR4 chips at about half the prevailing market rate
> If there's a trade war, they can easily reconvert to making the mass-market stuff

Factories, tooling, supply chains, and engineering knowledge aren't fungible in the way they would need to be for your statement to be true.

youarentrightjr··on Tesla 'Robotaxi' adds 5 more crashes in Austin in a month – 4x worse than humans
> That is a completely made up bar that is impossible to test for, and can never be met.

My own bar being a self driving car better than me is made up and impossible to test for?

Stop trying to force shitty self driving implementations down other's throats. If they were good and useful, people would voluntarily use them.

> Self driving cars need to be better than the average human

And Teslas are obviously not, to everyone except the terminally brainwashed. Two more weeks until it works though, right?

youarentrightjr··on Tesla 'Robotaxi' adds 5 more crashes in Austin in a month – 4x worse than humans
> So is the bar here being a good or decent driver, or being x times worse than the average human?

> I see a lot of bar moving.

"Less than decent" means "worse than the average human driver".

I've never hit a stationary object, or any object for that matter, in 20 years of driving.

I understand that might not be the same for you. My bar is that it must be better than my own good driving.

youarentrightjr··on Tesla 'Robotaxi' adds 5 more crashes in Austin in a month – 4x worse than humans
> One of them is a bus hitting a stationary Tesla - hard to paint that as the teslas fault.

Since the narratives are redacted, who's to say the Tesla didn't change lanes to be in front of the bus, slam on the brakes, then get rear ended?

Or pull partially out of a driveway, stopping and blocking a lane with a bus traveling 35mph in said lane and got hit by it?

> A few are low speed reversing into things, the extreme majority of which done by humans are never reported and are not in the dataset comparing how many crashes Tesla have had vs humans.

I'm sure this happens to humans all the time, but not a single one of those humans would be considered a good (or even decent) driver.

youarentrightjr··on Beginning fully autonomous operations with the 6th-generation Waymo driver
> Phones were about $400-500 years ago now they are over $1k

https://www.walmart.com/ip/ST-MOTOROLA-XT2413V-CDMA-LTE-BLUE...

Try to avoid cherry picking if you want to have a discussion where you or the other person learns something. All the Elon stans on this site that I've encountered are highly disingenuous, starting to think that's not a coincidence.

youarentrightjr··on Beginning fully autonomous operations with the 6th-generation Waymo driver
> Great source, some random guys website that hasn't been updated for 4 years.

It's literally linking to direct quotes from Elon, can you explain the problem with that?

youarentrightjr··on Beginning fully autonomous operations with the 6th-generation Waymo driver
> None, it's just obvious to anyone who has a high school level of business knowledge.

That's a highly ironic statement given your position on "cost per mile".

With a small amount of business acumen, you'd know that betting on technology staying expensive is a bad idea. This is seen in all industries, but especially electronics, where there are many competitors continuously optimizing for cost. E.g., we're at the point now where an internet enabled phone is basically disposable, costing people ~ a few hours of wages.

History has shown that technology costs decrease over time, and rapidly if it's a critically important technology. If you don't agree, share a counter example.

youarentrightjr··on Beginning fully autonomous operations with the 6th-generation Waymo driver
> lol its running now and growing every day, the thing about Tesla's solution is it works globally and the costs are much much less than Waymo will ever be able to achieve (Given there reliance on third parties for most of the hardware) Waymo and uber will be gone in a year.

A year? They'll be gone in two weeks!

Seriously, what portion of your financial and emotional net worth is tied up in TSLA?

youarentrightjr··on Beginning fully autonomous operations with the 6th-generation Waymo driver
> lol ok whatever Waymo's says is gospel and everything Tesla says is suspect, EDS in action. Get help.

Given the history on this topic: https://motherfrunker.ca/fsd/

It's not unreasonable to distrust anything Elon says, especially about Tesla/self driving.

youarentrightjr··on Beginning fully autonomous operations with the 6th-generation Waymo driver
> I'm an EE, I have worked with things like sensor fusion professionally. In short sensor fusion depends on what sensors you have and how you combine them, especially if two sensors' outputs tend to disagree - which one is wrong and to what extent, and how a piece of noise gets reflected in each sensors' outputs, to avoid double counting errors and coming up with unjustifyably confident results.

> This field is extremely complex, it's often better to pick a sensor and stick with it rather than trying to figure out how to piece together data from very dissimilar sources.

Whether sensor fusion makes sense is a highly domain specific question. Guidance like "pick a sensor and stick with it" might have been correct for the projects you've worked on, but there's no reason to think this translates well to other domains.

For what it's worth, sensor fusion is extremely common in SLAM type applications.

youarentrightjr··on Beginning fully autonomous operations with the 6th-generation Waymo driver
Agreed, anyone who has worked on engineering a moderately complex system involving sensing has explored the power of multi domain sensing... without sensor fusion we'd be in the stone ages.
youarentrightjr··on Beginning fully autonomous operations with the 6th-generation Waymo driver
According to Elon, "sensor ambiguity" is a danger to the process [1], and therefore only a single type of sensor is allowed. (Conveniently ignores that there can be ambiguity/disagreement between two instances of the same type of sensor)

The fact that people still trust him on literally anything boggles my mind.

[1] https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1959831831668228450

youarentrightjr··on FDA declines to review Moderna's mRNA flu shot
> Why would the presidency matter?

> ...accidental administration of the vaccine? How would that work?

Do you intend to have a sincere discussion on this topic?

youarentrightjr··on Super Bowl Ad for Ring Cameras Touted AI Surveillance Network
> It's more that police will use it for their own personal inquiries- to track their girlfriends, potential girlfriends etc.

That's far from my biggest concern. Sure, cops stalking people/carrying out personal vendettas is not good.

But a little creativity will allow far far greater abuses. Here's one: imagine the current administration deciding they need to debank the great and powerful terrorist organization Antifa. Ring data on protest attendance is a great help in building a list of those rotten domestic terrorists.

youarentrightjr··on xAI joins SpaceX
> Along for the trip this time were Warren Ahner, an AI exec and former autonomy executive for a major automaker, and self-driving enthusiast Paul Pham. Both are deeply knowledgeable about Tesla’s Full-Self Driving suite and Roy stressed that he couldn’t have completed the trip without them.

Interesting - wonder when it will be ready for use by non-experts

youarentrightjr··on FDA declines to review Moderna's mRNA flu shot
> Does this refer to the administration of the shot or not administering the shot?

I'm fairly certain "this administration" in the GP refers to the Trump administration; under its watch, measles have been resurrected.

> The chances of someone trying to take advantage of you with fake medicine are nearly zero.

The steelman for this position is unintentional, unforeseen harm, not malicious vaccine manufacturers.

youarentrightjr··on Super Bowl Ad for Ring Cameras Touted AI Surveillance Network
> So no video is shared unless the owner chooses.

That's all fine and good until we hear "oops, turns out all the customer video feeds were streaming to our cop accessible servers 24/7!".

I don't believe Ring's claims (or flock etc etc) for one second.

youarentrightjr··on Nobody knows how the whole system works
> If the project is legacy or the people just left the company that’s just not true.

Yeah, that's why I said "knew" instead of "knows".

youarentrightjr··on Nobody knows how the whole system works
> Nobody knows how the whole system works

True.

But in all systems up to now, for each part of the system, somebody knew how it worked.

That paradigm is slowly eroding. Maybe that's ok, maybe not, hard to say.

youarentrightjr··on Data centers in space makes no sense
> Yes, yes, everyone is a sycophant except you and your friends... For the record, you are lying about the quoted people having a financial interest in Elon.

Let's go through them:

- Jim Cantrell: SpaceX founder

- Garett Reisman: astronaut, former SpaceX employee, current SpaceX "consultant"

- Joshua Boehm: former SpaceX head of SQA

- Carmack: maybe this one is genuine, however, Carmack is also an industry outsider who founded his own aerospace company, so there might be some projecting going on there

> Using your free expression to smear without admitting counterevidence

Interesting take when you came in here telling me (in your now flagged comment) that my friends are imaginary and I'm a liar, who's rejecting counterevidence again?

youarentrightjr··on Data centers in space makes no sense
> This medium page simply quotes people. Feel free to quote your imaginary friends on your own medium page.

Simply quotes people with obvious large financial interest in the success of the company, who are therefore motivated to continue the super genius narrative.

I guess we all have our biases - I believe first hand accounts, you believe social media posts. To each his own.

youarentrightjr··on Data centers in space makes no sense
> Perhaps learn to look around the world. Europe has nothing, China is working on copying. New Zealand has RocketLab but looks like they've sold out to the states and is only for small payloads yet.

And which of those is also an American institution, with American educated employees and American cultural values, operating in an American legal and business framework?

Pretending NZ is a relevant comparison point is laughable. I bet SpaceX is also doing better than the 5th grade STEM class down the street!

Russia would've been a much better comparison given the history of the world we live in, but still not apples to apples.

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