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wolverine876

13,735 karma · joined September 19, 2017

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wolverine876··on No one buys books
The Internet Archive has a pretty big lending library.
wolverine876··on No one buys books
Many successful artists in any medium say they create things for themselves; it's more a compulsion than a business activity. Some are lucky that others like it; some are even luckier that others like it during the creator's lifetime; the luckiest even make money from it!
wolverine876··on No one buys books
Will you be able to read those textbooks and markups in 10 or 20 years, if Fujitsu stops making Quadernos?
wolverine876··on No one buys books
> Paper books are also just orders of magnitude easier to flip through and re-read specific chapters, paragraphs or sections.

Whatever works for you, of course. PDFs have bookmarks, which instantly take me to a specific spot on a specific page. Also, I can open multiple instances of the PDF, viewing multiple pages of the same book (or some PDF readers allow split screens to do the same thing). Edit: And if I don't recall where something is, I can search for it.

wolverine876··on A 100-year-old railway Mexico hopes will rival the Panama Canal (2023)
Organized crime doesn't want attention from people with power to cause them problems.
wolverine876··on A 100-year-old railway Mexico hopes will rival the Panama Canal (2023)
Sea transport costs order(s) of magnitude than land transport. I don't know about canal transport.
wolverine876··on A 100-year-old railway Mexico hopes will rival the Panama Canal (2023)
Afaik, some container ships are made much larger than what will fit through the Panama Canal. If you are shipping from China to anywhere in the Indo-Pacific, you don't need to worry about canals.
wolverine876··on A 100-year-old railway Mexico hopes will rival the Panama Canal (2023)
From the Financial Times article [0] cited in the OP:

Mexico’s government is bullish about prospects for the rail crossing, which will offer proximity to the US and a transit time of 6.5 hours excluding loading time — less than the eight to 10 hours it takes on the 80km canal.

Much more than transit time, I'm interested in throughput. How long does it take to move a full container ship's contents from one end to the other? How long does it take just to unload and load?

Also, regarding loading/unloading: When I think of a train, I imagine it being loaded/unloaded in semi-serial - first the front cars, then the next set of cars, as the train moves segment-by-segment past the ship. Essentially you are transforming a massive pile of containers onto a long string of containers. Is that correct? Is there any solution to speed it up? I suppose they could lay several train tracks in parallel alongside the ship and use extra train engines to pull up groups of rail cars, and then reconnect them into one long train as the train pulls out. How long is a train carrying a full container ship's capacity?

Cost seems the other essential question: Sea transport costs a fraction of rail transport, generally, but I expect that canal transport is far more expensive than open sea transport.

[0] https://www.ft.com/content/bbe8e851-e9f2-4ed1-a4a7-051a670b4...

wolverine876··on The 100-year-old railway Mexico hopes will rival the Panama Canal (2023)
The OP probably should be changed to the Financial Times article, which the The Week article is summarizing:

https://www.ft.com/content/bbe8e851-e9f2-4ed1-a4a7-051a670b4...

wolverine876··on The Unix-Haters Handbook (1994) [pdf]
I don't mean to send others on a scavanger hunt, but I'd expect it was posted within the first few months of HN (but don't have time to find it).
wolverine876··on What the Supreme Court case on tent encampments could mean for homeless people
I think you are forgetting the fundamentals of freedom. You are a free person; you can do what you want, for the most part.
wolverine876··on Amazon grows to over 750k robots, replacing 100k humans
A lot of that subconciously assumes the doomsday outcome - machines and automation will sweep people aside, and then the reasoning becomes circular.

> At a certain point we're automating new tasks faster than humans can learn them.

That assumes the pace of automation is increasing, but similar concerns have been around for a long time, going back to the industrial revolution. Read Dickens or HG Wells (though a specific cite doesn't come to mind), or look at the 1927 silent film, Metropolis.

But right now businesses can't find enough employees.

> Say it takes 1 year to train a human in something, and 1 year for a robot/AI. well it might take 1 year for the first AI, but copying software is easy. Training the next person takes another year. Even if it's parallelized and you save some time, the cost of training the marginal additional person is was larger.

That's how automation works. Then the people go on to the higher skilled jobs that the machines can't do, including designing, manufacturing, operating, and servicing the machines. Cars made the entire horse industry redundant; calculators and computers put lots of human calculators out of work.

Yet today, with a much larger population, employers can't find enough workers.

If things like that didn't happen, then productivity wouldn't increase and we would be able to afford more shelter, food, healthcare, education, etc.

wolverine876··on Amazon grows to over 750k robots, replacing 100k humans
I don't think anyone can say what will 'very likely' happen, but NASA often hires many contractors and also does much work internally (e.g., at JPL) for a major project. Also, there may be other national space programs partnering in the mission.
wolverine876··on The Unix-Haters Handbook (1994) [pdf]
Nobody on HN submitted the Unix Haters Handbook until 2013? I find that hard to believe.
wolverine876··on What the Supreme Court case on tent encampments could mean for homeless people
> cities are typically allowed to arrest the people who do so

How do the cities identify this evil criminal? (The jokes write themselves.)

> cities dominated by the idea the homeless are helpless victims who can do no wrong where you see needles and feces, like SF.

Hmm .. the goalposts shift. What cities do you mean and what specific policies?

wolverine876··on Amazon grows to over 750k robots, replacing 100k humans
That is not a given at all. Automation merely changes the ROI, which might result in more people being hired.
wolverine876··on Amazon grows to over 750k robots, replacing 100k humans
> The conversation should be about what happens to the average worker. That has an average IQ level. That can't learn something to compete with the automation.

There are many tropes to unpack, including that IQ is somehow fixed and people's fate, and that even the "average" person "can't learn something". Also, it of course glorifies and cements the power of the wealthy who think they are smart and very special and deserving of everything.

Also, history has shown that people overwhelmingly that people can learn higher skilled jobs en masse. Just look at universal literacy - did anyone say, 'the average person can't learn to read'.

The US has long believed that anyone can achieve and succeed with hard work. That's been my experience, but that the limit is almost always in opportunity.

wolverine876··on Amazon grows to over 750k robots, replacing 100k humans
> That project took half a job out of the economy. A decent one at that, a nice cushy desk job.

Or it allowed the employee to shift to more valuable, interesting work rather than menial tasks that could easily be done by a computer.

wolverine876··on Amazon grows to over 750k robots, replacing 100k humans
> Living on another planet is a hard problem but only one company is working on that.

There's an organization called NASA working on it.

wolverine876··on Amazon grows to over 750k robots, replacing 100k humans
> The issue that I see addressed less often is that the new jobs require by definition, a higher skill set. (You wouldn't displace 100 manual labor workers with a machine that requires 105 workers to maintain). So by definition, the average intelligence requirement for jobs increases over time (though never stated directly). This means that as time and technology progress, a growing percentage of people will have no jobs that they are capable of doing.

You might look up what economics has to say; this issue is well-addressed there. Some fundamentals:

The comment above assumes a static marketplace - the same technology, needs, etc. - and one that addresses the entirety of economic demand, rather than a dynamic market where those things change and resources are scarce (thus when resources become available, they are applied to other unfilled needs).

For example, which skills are in demand changes but there is still growing demand: If you look at the jobs performed 100 years ago, you'll see that most of them are no long needed. Yet not only are most people employed today, we have ~3-4x as many people - most of the jobs disappeared, yet, 3-4x people have jobs.

And yes, a growing economy requires higher-skilled work, but that's good because that work comes with higher pay.

wolverine876··on It's not your age that's slowing your metabolism, new research says (2021)
The paper in Science:

https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abe5017

wolverine876··on What the Supreme Court case on tent encampments could mean for homeless people
> feces or needles

I've seen many, many campsites of unhoused people. Like housed people's domiciles and yards, some are neat, some are messier. I don't see many specific problems.

I think the parent comment's characterization is a myth, in part because it maps so neatly to the common prejudices of people who are unfamiliar with unhoused people - especially that they are somehow so horrifyingly filthy, to the point of being subhuman, an object of their outrage - and not with the reality of it, including the real problems.

> feces

That's a red flag for me. People commonly play it as a trump card against unhoused people - again, that subhumanity and outrage. It clearly is chosen to press that emotional button, to bypass the listener's reason and compassion. We are probably well-evolved to have a disgust reaction to feces.

I've never seen it; I'm not sure how people so afraid of unhoused people have seen it so much. And how the heck did you know if it's from a dog or a person? What are the distinguishing characteristics? Did you examine it closely? I've seen city officials report it, but in limited experience: I've passed by encampments that were clean and neat, and then soon after read in the news that the city cleared the encampment due to the old 'feces and needles'. The reporting never checks the facts.

By far the feces I see most in regard to unhoused people is bull feces in textual form. That's easier to recognize!

wolverine876··on What the Supreme Court case on tent encampments could mean for homeless people
> I believe that in practice, if they're not disruptive, a city isn't going to waste tax dollars on sending them to jail.

I've read about that happening many times. People need rights, not depend on the goodwill of local government and hope; that's why we have a Constitution with limited government and don't depend on the goodwill of a monarch. You wouldn't accept that for your home - they can kick you out any time, but why would they?

wolverine876··on What the Supreme Court case on tent encampments could mean for homeless people
> If you aren't even allowed to park for 3 hours in a location, why should a homeless person be allowed to camp there indefinitely

Losing your parking spot is a minor commercial inconvenience to someone with (I assume) other resources; losing their campsite, especially without alternatives, costs an unhoused person their home and their shelter from the elements.

I'm not even sure what we're discussing - these people need shelter and homes, of course. Park regulations are secondary.

Not all unhoused people litter. One person is not guilty of or responsible for what someone else does. You are not responsible for what I do and vice-versa.

wolverine876··on What the Supreme Court case on tent encampments could mean for homeless people
> I don't understand how local governments could possibly lack the authority to remove people from public spaces.

We seem to forget these days that we (very thankfully) have rights and live in a free country that recognizes them. People are free individuals, at liberty to do as they please unless there is some strong reason to stop them that is also constitutional, lawful, and follows due process. 'I don't like them' and 'they look/smell/talk funny' aren't sufficient reasons.

I don't see how local government has the authority to remove someone from public space except in very limited circumstances. Public space is not the property of local government. You have a right to do what you want there.

wolverine876··on Vision can predict dementia 12 years before diagnosis, study finds
> That doesn’t feel like good science where you verify a hypothesis you have _before_ starting the experiment.

I'm pretty sure that's a requirement for starting research, to have a hypothesis.

wolverine876··on Microsoft is a national security threat: ex-White House cyber policy director
Agreed. The US government is actually the most technologically accomplished organization in human history. Examples: Everything NASA has done and does, nuclear weapons, nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, the Internet, the NSA's capabilities, etc.
wolverine876··on Microsoft is a national security threat: ex-White House cyber policy director
The federal government is merely experiencing what everyone else does: The IT industry has very low standards:

Look at the vast amount of fraud, theft, slander, cons, mis/disinformation, etc. on the Internet, not to mention consumers and small businesses getting run over by legal corporate behavior such as not providing customer service, locking accounts, holding money, holding data, surveillance and selling data, etc.

It's been said before, but IT needs professional standards that provide actual, real-life security, privacy, etc., just like professional standards for building developers provide actual, safe buildings - imagine a fraud equivalent to cryptocurrency in building architecture and engineering; imagine an SBF. SBF was celebrated and still is by some. Lawyers have professional standards, doctors, accountants, scientists, engineers in most fields, ... the list goes on in every field of human endeavor but IT.

And with standards comes liability. Microsoft shouldn't be able to just say, 'sorry about those hackers'.

wolverine876··on Bringing Exchange Support to Thunderbird
A valid point - you can't match Microsoft's resources and in-house expertise.

But you are probably a much less appealing target. Also, you might be willing to lock it down more than Microsoft, which has to please all those millions of customers and wants to admin it at the lowest cost possible - including possibly minimizing support calls by using permissive settings - and not with the most security possible.

wolverine876··on U-M finds students with alphabetically lower-ranked names receive lower grades
> Unfairness and bias is a critical factor in driving people to extraordinary achievements.

The evidence is a strong negative correlation between bias and achievement: Extraordinary achievements so disproportionately achieved by people in groups that are not the target of bias. Look at top government officials, SV leaders, Nobel Prize winners, etc etc - mostly white males.

The biggest targets of bias in the US, for example - probably women and black people - genrerally get the worst results (in areas where there is discrimination). By contrast, as an example wherever black people aren't subject to bias, such as certain forms of music and certain sports, achievement is extraordinary. Imagine all that talent and drive in other fields.

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