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water9

54 karma · joined March 8, 2023

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water9··on The paradoxical efficient market hypothesis (2024)
It makes no sense because people do not acquire information at the exact same time, nor do they act on it with the same amount of force, i.e., capital.

It’s the same stupid people who say the market is a random walk. Oh yeah, if it was a random walk, then why do earnings reports even matter? Companies could just lose and gain whatever they want, and stocks would just fluctuate randomly.

Here’s the truth. It’s called Rice’s theory of opportunity. It says that there is a golden window on the order of a few weeks to a few months where the signal-to-noise ratio has the least attenuation. This is because it avoids the initial transitory periods, the real-time gap between the knowledge existing and the knowledge spreading to people with enough resources to make a difference.

water9··on The Dollar Is Dead
The global economy was never a bike
water9··on The Dollar Is Dead
The United States won’t let their reserve currency go without a fight
water9··on NSF suspends nearly 300 UCLA grants (Terence Tao, Plasma Science Facility, etc.)
did he reach his ultimate goal? Cause right now it sounds like he spent millions of dollars and didn’t achieve it
water9··on Attention is your scarcest resource
Time is your scarcest resource
water9··on Migrating a ZFS Pool from RAIDZ1 to RAIDZ2
this is incredibly stupid. Do not do this. The whole point of having raid is to never be down to zero redundancy. Drives are more likely to fail during the resilvering process as the heads have to traverse the entire magnetic surface, rebuilding the array.
water9··on US companies, consumers are paying for tariffs, not foreign firms
because tariffs only raised the prices of goods that can’t be bought anywhere else. The thing is America can make pretty much everything and by doing so it forces more American labor, which is more expensive for the ultra rich, who owned the companies that the laborers work for. The biggest factor, however, is that it impacts the velocity of money. The hundred dollars that you spend on an American business goes to another American and the cycle continues in America enriching everybody instead of immediately fleeing overseas, which just access a devaluation of the currency
water9··on US companies, consumers are paying for tariffs, not foreign firms
That’s the best idea since taxing people when they earn it and when they spend it
water9··on Is This the End of Google as We Know It?
Google ended when they made the requirement that you have to be gay to work there
water9··on US companies, consumers are paying for tariffs, not foreign firms
that’s because they already spend a shit ton on sponsorships
water9··on I watched Gemini CLI hallucinate and delete my files
The brand is Samsung. You can check for damages by using a program, called badblocks
water9··on I watched Gemini CLI hallucinate and delete my files
I watched a guy posted a story on hacker news without ever reading What the fuck top P or temperature means.
water9··on I watched Gemini CLI hallucinate and delete my files
When the battle for Earth finally commences between man and machine let’s hope the machine accidentally does rm -rf / on itself. It’s our only hope.
water9··on Proposed NOAA Budget Kills Program Designed to Prevent Satellite Collisions
only works if everybody agrees and Noaa is not in charge of everybody
water9··on U.S. Loses Last Triple-A Credit Rating
Odd timing
water9··on Every SWE knows DOGE can't rewrite Social Security in a few months
Why does Social Security software codebase need to be larger than windows? 60 million lines of code is a ridiculous overestimation. I would like to see how the author came up with this number but based on the tone of the article, it is probably made up
water9··on The latest executive order creates a police state
The 10th amendment is literally federal law.
water9··on The latest executive order creates a police state
No, the executive branch is responsible for imprisoning. Judges are supposed to interpret the law passed by the legislative branch. They don’t pass law from the bench. The executive branch enforces the law.
water9··on ZFS: Apple's new filesystem that wasn't (2016)
What if you had two bit flips?
water9··on The latest executive order creates a police state
federal law applies everywhere in United States. Where did you get the idea it doesn’t?
water9··on ZFS: Apple's new filesystem that wasn't (2016)
So the solution is to use ._ files that most people will delete because they are a nuisance?
water9··on ZFS: Apple's new filesystem that wasn't (2016)
The checksum doesn’t help you fix the flipped bit nor does it tell you which bit flipped. You would have to re-create from a complete back up instead of using the efficiency of parity discs. Basically Raid 1 vs Raid 5
water9··on ZFS: Apple's new filesystem that wasn't (2016)
ZFS is the king of all file systems. As someone with over a petabyte of storage across 275 drives I have never lost a single byte due to a hard drive failure or corruption thanks to ZFS
water9··on Can the legal system catch up with climate science?
The problem with climate science is that in order for any of those people to have a job there has to be a problem to solve
water9··on Samsung Q990D unresponsive after 1020 firmware update
Blowing efuses is a destructive action and it should not be legal for a company to destroy parts of your electronic device that you paid for
water9··on Apple M3 Ultra
The M4 MacBook Pro 128GB can run a 32B perimeter model with an 8 bit quantized model just fine
water9··on Apple M3 Ultra
Intel integrated graphics, technically also used unified memory with the standard dram
water9··on Federal spending is stable over time
It could be that spending other peoples money is really easy and really wasteful.
water9··on Federal spending is stable over time
Government is spending money on Bert and Ernie in Baghdad. It’s not the taxes that’s the problem.
water9··on Federal spending is stable over time
Because of Covid
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