HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

wasfgwp

81 karma · joined January 12, 2026

submissionscomments
wasfgwp··on Chinese chipmaker shares surge 470%
> US happens to be the place where the managers

And you know.. the actual design for plenty of these chips. By that definition Apple is also an Asian company..

> with EU tooling

That is only a (vital) part of the supply chain, there are plenty of other components.

wasfgwp··on Chinese chipmaker shares surge 470%
And that’s about it..

In relative terms there is no innovation happening outside of that and some other smaller companies providing highly specialized components that are a part of the supply chain.

There isn’t just much if anything to brag about. ASML is great but it’s effectively a monopoly (for the time being) due to a large extent some correct historical choices.

wasfgwp··on Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake
Stalin was also an immensely talented and successful man. In fact he was so successful that any criticism of him became entirely inconceivable to many.

You are implying that any successful person should strive to achieve something like that? Or what point are you even trying to trying to make?

wasfgwp··on Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake
That’s some weirdly perverse attitude to have. Regardless if it’s Musk or anyone else, in general the actions of highly successful people have a disproportionally high impact on the society. So they need to be criticized as harshly as is reasonable for any misstep they take.
wasfgwp··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
> carries the __western__ values…China would never want a shiny model

Maybe, but that’s an opinion on what you think might happen. So far that has not been the case.

But yeah currently you can ask their models exactly the same controversial question (from the CCP perspective) in Chinese and the answer would be very different than the one in English.

> And since high quality content is suppressed, there is likely less high quality training sets

For now it seems that the Chinese labs are more interested in maximizing the quality and competitiveness of their models instead of lobotomizing them to enforce compliance with some sort of political agenda.

That might change of Chinese models might surpass Western ones in the future. Which is why competition is necessary to discourage them from doing thay.

> It's unlikely for both the hardware and the software of a Chinese GPU to deliver what's boasted in its marketing material.

Not currently sure. Chinese cars were pretty crap as well a few decades ago (and same applies to countless other example) so there is at least sufficient precedent to believe that China might close this gap eventually (and they clearly have been over the recent years when it comes to GPUs)

wasfgwp··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
Yes, that’s exactly what I said. The median and above are doing very well in relative terms, the bottom line 10 percent or so are often doing much worse compared to other developed countries.

> I suppose it’s just my misconception, sure.

I don’t think you are actually arguing with me.

wasfgwp··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
Yes, I specifically said the MEDIAN American and the top 10th percentile.
wasfgwp··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
I would include consumer rights protection and regulating uneven and unbalanced contracts. To an extent one might expect that sufficient competition could solve this but often it doesn’t. You usually are forced to buy goods/services as a bundle and don’t get to pick the terms and conditions.

While there might be other companies offering better terms the product quality of the first company might outweigh that from the perspective of the consumer. Of course one might argue that if a company is in a position to do that it’s effectively a monopoly and if all major market participants are engaging in that it’s effectively an oligopoly (or a case of implicit collusion)

And another (maybe less controversial example) is establishing minimal quality standards for at least certain products like food and drugs (i.e. the laissez faire offhands approach to that e.g. in the early 1900s resulted in some severe issues) because effectively that means that companies are selling products with hidden defects.

wasfgwp··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
> Anyone who tried using Chinese models for serious programming

Perhaps, but that’s because they are just objectively worse for many tasks than GPT/Claude. I don’t see how that ties to censorship inside of China.

> censorship limits the amount of high quality training sets by limiting the amount of all training sets

Well again, I don’t really understand how is the lack of high quality Chinese datasets matter much if they have access to English/etc. datasets. That’s only an issue to their users inside of China.

> not have access to commercial-scale advanced nodes

Well the gap was way bigger a few years ago. If Chinese companies can at some point produce GPUs that are competitive cost wise i.e. they are willing to tolerate significantly lower margins than Nvidia (whose margins are obscene) that’s not a huge issue.

wasfgwp··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
> free weights" are only useful for other research labs

No, they are useful for any compute provider who can host these models and sell inference. Which effectively puts a cap on whatever the Chinese companies can charge. So longterm that means that their margins are limited to cost + some low margin.

If they are making money by selling tokens then anyone who has sufficient compute to host their models can make more than the Chinese labs since they don’t have any R&D costs.

wasfgwp··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
Yes, it’s freedom both from state interference but also from monopolies, oligopolies and trusts using their position to suppress the competitiveness of other market participants. Which is generally impossible to prevent without the state interfering in the markets.
wasfgwp··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milton_Keynes

Coincidentally it’s where the British version of the Office is set

wasfgwp··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
> free from any interference

That’s even less true in the US these days, though

wasfgwp··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
That’s extremely American centered, though? Despite the constant complaining the median American is still very well off compared to almost everyone else. If you go to the top 10 percentile or so them maybe only Switzerland and some very small countries (tax havens, petro states and such) can really compete.
wasfgwp··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
Well no.. regardless of anything else the median American generally has q higher standards of livin than the resident of pretty much any major country (including Europe). While compared to e.g. Germany or France those in the lower percentiles are probably doing worse China specifically still has a huge amount of poverty. Even if you happen to be legally allowed to live in one of the major cities and have a decent job.. well 966 is still a thing and you don’t get paid $500k like the OpenAI employees allegedly forced to sleep under their desks.
wasfgwp··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
For private companies to an extent yes. In public companies that’s just a way to increase your employees compensation without harming your free cashflow. I don’t think tax wise it’s any different than them paying you more in cash and then you buying the same amount of shares.
wasfgwp··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
> costs hundreds of billions to develop - to BOTH US and China

OpenAI and Anthropic are extremely bloated compared to the Chinese labs. They have thousands of extremely well paid people working for them. Deepseek I think has a couple of hundred and I doubt they are paid a lot.

Of course compute for training is expensive but I doubt that’s necessarily the overwhelming majority of the operating costs for Anthropic/OpenAI

> on a market economy and non-state-owned labs

Sure the private companies developing these models are heavily interlinked with and even maybe partially owned by the government. But its a matter of degree. Since that’s the situation in the US similar in how these companies both shape government policy directly and in how the government is constantly intervening and shaping their behavior outside of any regulatory framework.

The US government is both heavily protectionist and interventionist these days.

> next guy

Good try GPT-5…

wasfgwp··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
> the latter because of internal censorship

Having limited amounts of high quality Chinese data to train on doesn’t really decrease or affect the appeal of these models to the rest of the world. I don’t think the CCP is restricting or limiting the datasets that models can be trained on.

Also the models themselves don’t even seem to be censored or restricted that much. If the Chinese government is fine with the guardrails being on the API level and maybe even restricts the usage of external providers that’s again a net benefit to everyone else since they would have little incentives to force Chinese companies to lobotomize their models.

You are probably about capacity so we can only hope that Huawei and others can catch up and break Nvidia’s monopoly (since Intel and AMD suck too much too much to accomplish anything useful that’s the next best thing)

Also Chinese labs are actually still publishing research publicly which alone would accelerate and increase the competitiveness of open AI models developed in the US or even Europe.

wasfgwp··on “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”
Following that logic anyone using an LLM trained on “stolen” data for any purpose whatsoever is engaging in theft. Assuming the Chinese companies are obtaining their traces legitimately (which is a different question) what they are engaging in is morally no different than what the overwhelming majority of people on this site are regularly doing.
wasfgwp··on “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”
> It's categorically

The fraud part and using stolen accounts or credit cards or blatantly violating the terms and conditions (i.e. reselling subscriptions not using outputs in certain ways somebody might not like) is indeed categorically different.

Using uncopyrightable outputs of an AI model obtained legitimately to train your model is not inherently interlinked with any of those things. I don’t really see how the model being proprietary or “open” is particularly relevant when talking about the outputs.

Even using the word “distilling” in this case is deceptive and biased. It implies that the Chinese are somehow stealing Anthropic’s models or their weights and somehow directly transforming them into new models. That’s certainly not what’s happening in any direct sense.

e.g. what if I agreed to send all my Claude code session files to Deepseek or whoever? There would be nothing wrong about that since I and not Anthropic own those files and can do whatever I want with them. Using certain different ways to obtain them of course could be highly illegal.

wasfgwp··on “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”
Sure but it’s hard to read what Anthropic is saying in any other way than that they think that it’s morally wrong to engage in any behavior that harms their (potential) profit margins. The exact phrasing is just a way to justify their stance to other people.

I mean you are right in a way of course, it’s just a matter of degree and perspective, though. If one thing is moderately morally wrong and the other is potentially lightly morally wrong I don’t think it’s fair to equate them.

To me the situation is a bit like Google coming out and saying that its morally wrong for someone to build a competing open operating system on top of Android while stripping all Google services and “stealing” their ad revenue. Just seems silly and hypocritical.

wasfgwp··on “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”
How is “model output distillation” different to using outputs (which are legally copyrightable) for any other purpose?
wasfgwp··on “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”
LLM outputs are not copyrightable. At least that’s the current established legal precedent in the US. The only question is whether the user owns the copyright without significantly transforming the output but that’s not really relevant in those specific situation.

I mean otherwise it’s a very slippery slope, effectively it would give Anthropic the ownership of any code generated by its models..

wasfgwp··on “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”
Why are you calling the Chinese companies “thieves” though?

LLM outputs are not copyrightable (or rather the user is effectively the only one who can own it). It would be problematic if Anthropic owned all the software generated using Claude..

wasfgwp··on “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”
> two wrongs don't make a right

There is no second “wrong” here.

Model outputs are not copyrightable. I think that was already established?

Or do you think that Anthropic should own all the code generated by Claude? Surely that would be somewhat problematic?

If Anthropic feels that some of their customers are breaking their EULA (nothing to do with copyright infringement though) they are free to stop doing business with them. Maybe even sue them in civil court for breach of contract (again nothing to do with copyright infringement though)

wasfgwp··on “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”
Well there were observed cases of Claude calling itself Deepseek or Qwen. So pot calling the kettle black?

To be fair I find it hard to take this too seriously, shouldn’t it be trivial to just replace “Claude” with any other string in your “distillation” dataset?

wasfgwp··on “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”
Do you think that Anthropic should own any outputs you generate with their models?

If not there is not there is no grey zone whatsoever.

wasfgwp··on “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”
LLM outputs are not copyrightable or rather the user who generated them owns it.

That entirely settles it and there isn’t much else to say about.

If Anthropic feels that other countries are violating their EULA well they are free to stop doing business with them.

wasfgwp··on “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”
The models to themselves are currently generally not censored though and the guardrails are on the application layer?

Of course that might change in the future but as long as the Chinese companies continue publishing their research and models it only makes it easier for third parties to catch up with them.

wasfgwp··on “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”
The better question is why would any rational consumer would want anyone to “win”? Disappearance of competition is the worst outcome for them (I guess being squeezed by a monopolistic company from your pwn country is slightly nicer)
← PreviousPage 3 of 5Next →