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typewithrhythm

378 karma · joined March 13, 2024

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typewithrhythm··on Microsoft is officially sending employees back to the office
I'm not sure if it actually is working out, or if the companies outsourcing are just absorbing the inefficiency.

Every outsourcing effort I have seen at some of these massive companies has been pretty tragic, where the best that can be said is now there is a shit but cheap option to be used where the quality doesn't matter.

This gets repeated across all the entrenched players simultaneously, while the product quality stagnates or declines (but the stock goes up).

typewithrhythm··on Tesla’s autonomous driving claims might be coming to an end [video]
There is this big hump of safety, where adding assist features causes (some portion of) average drivers to become inattentive, and decreases overall safety.

Things start to improve again once the features get even more capable.

IMO Tesla fsd is well past the hump compared to most current cars with acc+lateral.

typewithrhythm··on Electromechanical reshaping offers safer eye surgery
Starburst and halo artifacts are the keywords to get an idea.

The specifics are hard to estimate, since severity is fairly subjective, but it's pretty common for things like traffic lights at night to show them.

typewithrhythm··on Evidence that AI is destroying jobs for young people
Appointing indian leadership is the single biggest sign of moving to an extraction phase for a company.

The idea is they think the current value of the institution and IP is higher than their ability to innovate, so the try to outsource and reduce labour cost as much as possible intending to do the bare minimum maintenance for as long as possible.

This gets compounded by every layer trying to get the most out of the company as fast as possible, hiring in a way that has no long term outlook.

typewithrhythm··on Where's the shovelware? Why AI coding claims don't add up
If you expect input cost for something that's mostly labour to go dramatically down, then you also fear the value of your product crashing.
typewithrhythm··on AI adoption linked to 13% decline in jobs for young U.S. workers: study
My experience has been that the cheap outsourcing to India is one of the main areas AI is a real disruption. You can go straight to the artificial indian, and get a better result than an outsourced worker with AI tooling. It's one of the most obvious "I no longer need a person for this" experiences I have had since self checkout.

I expect that other areas like accounting that use outsourcing are going to see similar effects in a few years.

typewithrhythm··on AI adoption linked to 13% decline in jobs for young U.S. workers: study
It's interesting, ai seems to be enabling the middle in a positive way.

On the other side, we have started to find that the value of outsourcing to very low cost regions has completely disappeared.

I expect that the wages in eastern Europe will quickly rise in a way they never did in former outsourcing hotspots (India for example), because they are able to do similarly complex and quality work to westerners, and are now enabled by awesome translation tools.

The low quality for cheaper is now better served by the Artificial Indian.

typewithrhythm··on The rising returns to R&D: Ideas are not getting harder to find
This would only decrease productivity if there was no other demands for people to do something; if this was a simultaneous saturation across everything that a company could do with their current resources.
typewithrhythm··on Facial recognition vans to be rolled out across police forces in England
Much of the issue with western democracies is that people assume consistently within their politicians.

A pro surveillance party should also address crime. If someone sees crime as a big issue then they will be for the surveillance.

Unfortunately what actually happens is that the surveillance is used to track anti government sentiment, while the crime is not any more prioritised than before the surveillance.

typewithrhythm··on Claude Code is all you need
But all the other students are doing the same, so the expectation will quickly become use of tools for potentially years.

My introduction to programming was through my dad's outdated PC and an Arduino, and that put me on par with the best funded.

typewithrhythm··on Exit Tax: Leave Germany before your business gets big
The idea that a company is "siphoning out" value is fundamentally flawed. The company is creating value, and society enables it. This enablement is ongoing, and should be paid for with ongoing tax. If the actual value creator decides that they can get a better deal somewhere else, then barriers to exit come in because the government is trying to get more out of a company than it provided. (Since if there are superior places to operate, the worth of what the state you are leaving provides must be overvalued, otherwise you wouldn't leave).
typewithrhythm··on Google has dropped more than 50 DEI-related orgs from one of its funding lists
Often in the real world all of these things actually make a better candidate.

I would have more empathy for programs that attempt to seperate things like who you know and institutional clout from a hiring process, anonymised candidates seems ideal. But this has been tried with the result of less diversity in hiring than suited the agenda of the day.

typewithrhythm··on Google has dropped more than 50 DEI-related orgs from one of its funding lists
Do you have any examples of dei actually making a better product?

Do you consider the countless examples where a small startup grows and becomes more diverse while the product becomes shit as counterexamples?

typewithrhythm··on Google has dropped more than 50 DEI-related orgs from one of its funding lists
The best argument against DEI is that its proponents actively oppose merit.

Merit based hiring and rewards are fair, and actually build trust.

The ends of the pipeline (the private companies) should never have tried to evaluate the opportunitys someone had received.

typewithrhythm··on The anti-abundance critique on housing is wrong
The "anomaly" happened when we were less productive overall. What change made it possible, and why can't we go back?

Western societies are naturally below replacement rate, getting back to sfh as the norm seems like the inevitable outcome without the significant efforts at the national policy level.

typewithrhythm··on The anti-abundance critique on housing is wrong
They are going down the same path of making a lower quality product available, then using deceptive averages.

I have not seen anything that would create a supply of equally desirable properties (compared with detached dwellings).

typewithrhythm··on Denver rent is back to 2022 prices after 20k new units hit the market
How is this measured? I've seen similar articles for Melbourne, where the average per dwelling is reducing, but the quality of the average dwelling is reduced faster; less bedrooms, low quality noisy single aspect apartments.

But if you track the price of a pre-existing property it's growing just as fast.

typewithrhythm··on Women dating safety app 'Tea' breached, users' IDs posted to 4chan
The statistics are hard to come by, but at a glance the rate of successful rape convictions is similar to the rate of proven false allegation. And both are in the single digits.

So how to neutrally approach this? If you ignore cases without a conviction it's close to 50/50. Seems implausibly high though.

And then how do you factor in everything that didn't go to court?

typewithrhythm··on Scientists may have found a way to eliminate chromosome linked to Down syndrome
Seeing a minute fraction of their existence is a rubbish way to make a judgement.

Most of they bring to the world is random rage, unspeakable fluids, and unpleasant interactions.

But I guess driving past safari style is fine.

typewithrhythm··on BYD Bets on Budget EV Boom with Atto 1 Debut in Indonesia
We get a significant range of new Chinese cars in Australia, and generally they are fine; in the low end of the market they are about the best quality for the money, in the middle they show issues where they can't deliver a overall polished product, so you get things like crappy driving dynamics or poor ADAS or janky UI. Think like you took a top trim Merc, and made one part very shit, and then priced it like a Toyota.

There doesn't seem to be any significant longevity concerns, but they have also not been around that long.

typewithrhythm··on How Tesla is proving doubters right on why its robotaxi service cannot scale
Can cameras do it eventually is a bit of a tangent.

All the information is there in a video feed, but the amount of work to get reliable perception from it is not small. With LIDAR and radar you get to the end goal with less uncertainty.

typewithrhythm··on Advertising without signal: The rise of the grifter equilibrium
You are missing the point, if you go and find reliable reviews for each price point, a good product in the 1000 bracket will be better.

The point is that if you go to a store or Amazon, you can find crap products at any price point, so much so that you cannot look at the price to get any information about quality.

typewithrhythm··on Advertising without signal: The rise of the grifter equilibrium
I don't think it's the price giving information there though. I can find many projectors being sold in the 1000 range that do not compare to the best in the 100 range.

Yes I agree that there are better products for more money, it's just that I have to filter by something else because I can't trust that the price corresponds to performance for any given listing.

typewithrhythm··on Self-taught engineers often outperform (2024)
Depends, maybe Its more a matter of description, but I would call the lowest quality engineer I've seen employed a "0.1x" engineer, before I would describe a good one as a 10x.

Just because it's a kind of visualisation of a distribution, the elite are not that far ahead of the competent, but there is a very long tail of shitters out there.

typewithrhythm··on Young graduates are facing an employment crisis
One big problem from the hiring side is the time to evaluate someone once complex tools are involved.
typewithrhythm··on NeuralOS: An operating system powered by neural networks
I think this was a prototype for windows 8.
typewithrhythm··on Overtourism in Japan, and how it hurts small businesses
There is a disgusting degree of callousness with this comment.

It's not a "colonial nation" that is being harmed by migration, it's working class people. Meanwhile the same classes that benefited from colonialism now benifit from the wholesale destruction of communities.

Every empirical study I have seen shows that high migration lowers happiness and trust. Does that align with your pseudoscience?

typewithrhythm··on Overtourism in Japan, and how it hurts small businesses
Migration is a policy issue, not some natural force like osmosis. It's entirely irrelevant why migrants want to come, when you have an existing population that is being harmed by migration policy.

It's simply that the wealthy benifit from increasing labour supply; this is the "enrichment" you get. Not an improvement in culture or conditions, an increase in wealth concentration.

It's entirely reasonable for a citizen in an English speaking nation to complain about other languages becoming common, as it is direct evidence of the migration policy that is doing them harm.

typewithrhythm··on Overtourism in Japan, and how it hurts small businesses
Because you are using "small business" as an abstract term, where in reality it's often a stand in for one or two people.

Those people are now providing a service to anonymous tourists, rather than being part of a community.

It's isolating.

typewithrhythm··on Overtourism in Japan, and how it hurts small businesses
Absolutely absurd. Why is it people feel the need to make out that western cities are somehow magically immune from the exact same detrimental effects that they happily accept about everywhere else?

"Enrichment" is a buzzword for the insulated elite happy that they have new things on their lunch menu, somehow ignoring all the negatives that come with it.

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