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trhway

8,587 karma · joined February 14, 2014

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trhway··on Why I didn’t sign the Fields medallists’ letter
Do we support people who are intentionally not using GPS and are still using paper maps? Or even the people who do it without any maps, just from their memory?

Do we support people who aren't using vaccines and are intentionally infecting themselves directly (measles parties)?

Do we support people who are intentionally using axe instead of chainsaw? Police officers and stormtroopers who are intentionally using knife instead of a gun?

With civilization and technology we do loose some mental capabilities - like say the part of the brain Amazonian people use for extremely skillful face recognition we do use for reading/writing while loosing that face recognition skill level that those people in the jungle have. So goes the medieval way of doing mathematics (it is a pity though - I liked it and hoped that mathematics will fall among the last, yet it happened to be among the firsts)

trhway··on The Siberian Ice Maiden and the Scythian World
>written records comes via contemporary visitors from much different cultures

that isn't necessarily bad, anyway in the context of your post reminded of

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ahmad_ibn_Fadlan

"10th-century Arab traveler from Baghdad, Abbasid Caliphate,[a] famous for his account of his travels as a member of an embassy of the Abbasid caliph al-Muqtadir to the king of the Volga Bulgars, known as his risāla ("account" or "journal").[b]

His account is most notable for providing a detailed description of the Volga Vikings, including eyewitness accounts of life as part of a trade caravan and witnessing a ship burial. "

trhway··on Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields
>Should be interesting to see how this impacts the AI hyper-scalers. They were already burning through cash like a furnace and were running out of people to borrow from

looks very similar to 2007-2008 - high rates plus an wide economy segment with very large debt. Now, the interesting question - did anybody "too large to fail" do (or got exposed in some other ways to) leveraged CDS on the hyperscalers bonds and private debt.

trhway··on US confirms for first time it has deployed space weapons
You fire a radar guided powerful laser pulse at the incoming object causing small surface ablation , intentionally a bit to the side, which will serve as a small reaction mass eject altering the trajectory of that incoming object.
trhway··on Dario, Please
i'm sure that i'm telling actual historical events and not an interpretation. Feel free to point to the things which you think didn't happen.
trhway··on Dario, Please
> it does $100B in damages, that's everyone's problem.

we have the 2008 crisis to wit. And the involved supposedly failed math models and lines of responsibilities and other involved financial relationships were much simpler and clearer and of the types well known to the law and regulators, yet...

Additionally any urge to regulate AI is attenuated by how much the situation reminds Industrial Revolution - rush into it laying waste to your land (look at the depictions of industrial England back then) and be among the world leaders or stay pastoral and be devoured/colonized/etc. by the industrial powers like happened with many countries in 19th and even into 20th century. One would think there should be a 3rd way. I'm sure there is one, as well as i'm sure that we lack sufficient global societal mentality level needed to achieve it (we couldn't even handle much simpler climate change issue). May be emerging AI itself at some point will get us there (hope we'll like or at least will be compatible with that future :)

Edit: just on NPR - Trump said that AI already has all the necessary guardrails - the smart high IQ President.

trhway··on Navier-Stokes Announcement
>for us to become ignorant consumers of wonders beyond our understanding just because our robots can do it better than we can

all this fantasy books with magic artifacts should have mentally prepared us. Time to study the prompts Potter was giving to his magic wand.

After all, one of the main work the top AI companies are doing rigth now is developing AI to further develop AI. After several layers of AI developing AI we probably wouldn't be able to understand much there.

trhway··on Navier-Stokes Announcement
> It feels like the mathematical world is changing very rapidly, almost overnight.

...

>Now AI is changing that. I wonder what this means for the kind of mathematics that people have traditionally done.

Mathematics becomes engineering. I think it is great and long overdue. Saying that as a Math PhD dropout :) Of course like manual craftsmen had to adapt to Industrial Revolution, the same would need to be done by the mathematicians. And other scientists too.

trhway··on How the Chorleywood Bread Process transformed British bread
>work is made easier by using very strong Canadian flour

what is up with Canadian flour? Just recently we were talking to an acquaintance here in Bay Area who makes her own bread from specially ordered Canadian flour.

trhway··on Google will buy half the electricity from one of Finland's nuclear power plants
>you can't really add new rivers to the geography to support additional industry.

yes, you can - with all those fiords surrounded by mountains you can use excess wind/solar (your own as well as German, etc.) and pump water up a dammed fiord to generate the electricity later when no cheap excess available.

trhway··on Google will buy half the electricity from one of Finland's nuclear power plants
For those regions green house and barn heating is a major cost (to the point that Norway for example subsidizes barn heating for dairy farmers), while pretty much all the energy consumed by a datacenter goes straight to heat without any meaningful work (in thermodynamic sense) done, so it sounds like a good match.
trhway··on Google will buy half the electricity from one of Finland's nuclear power plants
>the data center's waste heat

One can imagine the saunas the guys will have there :)

On the main point - there are persistent leaks/rumors that one of the main points of the Trump's envoys (Kushner and Witkoff) to Putin is building data centers in Karelia ( the Russian side of Finland border) - the same reasons of cheap electricity and plentiful of cool water.

trhway··on Silicon Valley Is Transforming the Military-Industrial Complex
whatever the motherland's ideology/propaganda had been telling, the first gen gets to firsthand witness/experience that it were lies. After that you become were critical/unbelieving to whatever propaganda and ideology, even if it is the right ideology and propaganda this time, is being fed to you.
trhway··on How I advertise malicious software on Google Ads
Yet the scam ads like the 33tb ssd are running wild unrestrained on YT.
trhway··on What will our economic future look like?
I see that already in veterinary medicine with the non-DVM office/practice managers (or whatever title that guy lurking around in the office may have) - in the vet practices belonging to large networks the DVMs and nurses constantly looking at those managers for approval.
trhway··on Amazon refused to give pregnant workers bathroom breaks
The pilots have union supposedly. I wonder if AMZN was able to break through here. May be it was "positive" pressure - i.e. bonuses for saving fuel/time/etc.
trhway··on Stopping the Unstoppable: When an unstoppable force meets a dashpot snubber
without situational awareness, there is no good default behavior for a simple dead man handle on a hundreds ton train.

These days though i wonder why we don't have [semi-]autonomous control there. At least for emergency stop when the end of rails is 100 feet away and your speed is 20mph - any new car have such features today.

trhway··on Adult Film Producer Unmasks Prolific 'John DOE' Torrent Pirate as Meta Executive
man, that's grand, especially the last paragraph. I definitely should be less modest with my resume :)

"Stat reported that in 2017, Richard Graydon self-published a book titled The Genetic Risks of Cancer: The Effects of DNA, Genomics and Inheritance on Aging and Survival.” The book described Graydon as an oncologist who had served as a chief medical officer in the biotech and drug development industry. It had no reviews on Amazon.

In October 2022, Atossa Therapeutics, a Seattle-based biotech, announced it had hired Richard Graydon as its interim chief medical officer.

“We are privileged to welcome Richard to Atossa, where his deep experience in CAR-T cell therapy fits well with our current strategic direction as we explore our opportunities in cell therapy,” Steven Quay, Atossa’s CEO, said in a statement at the time.

In March, Immix announced hiring Graydon, calling him a “board-certified hematologist-oncologist with over 20 years of experience in clinical development, most recently at Merck & Co. and Johnson & Johnson, where he led new and supplemental new drug applications and biologics license applications for 7 approved drugs including Darzalex, Carvykti, Keytruda, and Imbruvica.” Stat noted that these are some of the bestselling cancer medicines in the world."

trhway··on How concerned should we be about Astra's recurrent architecture?
>but it doesn’t have to be correct, accurate, or ...

why we don't do GAN here, ie. second model verifying correctness/accuracy/etc. ?

trhway··on GLP-1s are being linked to fewer serious infections, including TB
With so many signs of improvement, even if some of them happens to be just flukes, from so many different areas, it feels like a penicillin moment. And i suppose penicillin also was initially mostly available to the ones with better socio-economy.
trhway··on New type of dice guarantees no tie when deciding who goes first
I suspect all the other rules plus that one would make it unsolvable at least in some cases like probably in the case of 2. It also brings to mind distributed consensus of cryptocoins (pardon for mentioning crypto :)
trhway··on New type of dice guarantees no tie when deciding who goes first
there seems to be no need to match number of dice with number of players - for example in 2 players the second player throwing second die (2,3) is really a noop as outcome is decided by the first player's die (1,4)
trhway··on The shrinking landscape of linguistic diversity in the age of LLMs
As LLMs are smarter in English even Russian government workers use them that way - translate request/prompt/task to English, run generation, translate result back to Russian.
trhway··on Atlas: A World Model for Spatial Intelligence
well, just to illustrate to the jury that the "recreation" is just an illusion built by prosecution, the defense should be able to present the same video with the lead prosecutor in the role of the perpetrator of the crime.
trhway··on I think the military commissary's freezers were hacked
better the best of both worlds - flying boat like https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_314_Clipper

Giving how static bases (including airstrips) have become vulnerable, i think we may yet to see those flying boats coming back as a way to support Navy fleets which historically were relying on the static bases.

trhway··on Mark Zuckerberg's Social Reckoning
I think the reason may be generational. The current parents are majority Millenials, the generation which didn't have to shoulder a lot of personal responsibility like previous generations. Thus when it comes to their children they as usually place the responsibility on anybody but themselves.

Both parents working actually i think is a net-good thing - it teaches children to be responsible from early age. As my parents were both working - USSR - even when i was 5 years old i was already watching my 1 year old sister. And we were pretty typical at that.

trhway··on Mark Zuckerberg's Social Reckoning
Like in "Chicago" they should have prepared 2 versions of the article, yet i guess they had only one.
trhway··on Humanity has the debate about AI consciousness backwards
>Why wouldn't we assume humans are special? We are, by so many metrics. We've become essentially a force of nature, rather than a simple occupying species.

and that specialness appeared when? in our mammal ancestors? our Big Ape ancestors? Australopithecus? Denisovan? Neanderthal? Cro-Magnon? Or only when we started agriculture? or only during Roman Empire? or only during Industrial Revolution?

That "specialness" is actually the religious "soul" in disguise - the "specialness" is used when the people hesitate to directly bring up "soul" in a supposedly rational people conversation where bringing up "soul" is borderline intellectual faux pas. And i'm yet to hear the answer when our ancestors got the "soul".

Btw, all those debates about AI sentience will become moot in just a few years, around 100T models (about the number of our neuron connections). We already have 10T models, so the wait is almost over. We'd be able to directly ask the 100T model whether it is conscious, and no human would probably be able to successfully argue against the model, whatever answer it would give.

trhway··on Actinide is first startup to produce high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU)
>1940s technology

yes, i'd have expected that laser enrichment would be more preferable technology for modern development

trhway··on A look under our trunk: what's in our compute
>they would train the pipeline on a raw-ish image data to have better consistency? I would think that some kind of algorithm "bettering" the image

of course, whatever "bettering" algorithm makes sense, the neural network would probably emerge it inside itself as a result of training. My comment was more about hardware in the sense that "garbage in - garbage out", and so you'd want to have a decent hardware which is available and pretty cheap today while Waymo seems to be using, i'm stating it politely :), very-very-commodity level.

>Also, what looks good to us may not be "good" to a machine.

the kernels of the first layers of visual CNNs (at least the ones i looked at) converge to the Gabor-like kernels what are in the first layers of the human visual cortex. Bunch of years ago, before deep-learning CNN, etc. i saw an article (in neurophysiology field) proving an optimality of such kernels for those visual tasks. Of course things may and probably diverge a lot in the deeper layers, yet deep dreaming, etc. suggests to me that the nature of the divergence may be less severe than expected.

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