tito

Neat, I learned about copyleft thanks to this discussion. Will consider copyleft for my future projects! Open source that creates more open source.

Excerpt from the article: "Conditions are predicted to be getting worse. At the Tree Conference, speakers were confident in models showing temperatures increasing more rapidly than in the past and even faster for higher elevations because heat rises. On top of that, large numbers of ash trees, cottonwoods, and weak trees will be disappearing, increasing the “heat island effect”."

I've had this thought too. And when I think about it in the big picture way, I don't think it doesn't need to be all that hard to solve. It's not like we're talking about like, you know, some huge slice of GDP or something. Yes, the price of fossil fuels effectively doubles. But we can create lots of jobs to make solar and nuclear and all these other solutions in the meantime.

An economy that seizes climate solutions can zoom ahead in terms of innovation, manufacturing, and enforcement. The changing climate is one of the biggest economic opportunities we've ever seen in human history, but somehow we've convinced ourselves that it's not only the worst non-opportunity ever but somehow would break capitalism. The richest man on the planet makes electric cars.

Whoops, my bad. Edited. We can avert the worst impacts of the worst El Nino in human history.

Only a Sith deals in absolutes ^_^

Working at the level of 80,000 people is a lot more effective than working at the level of an individual.

Working on your own carbon footprint is a $100M marketing trick played on you by oil companies like BP.

Leah Stokes' new book offers instead a "carbon wave" -- how to evaluate and maximize your impact at a local, state, national, and global level. Here's a LinkedIn post. She's got a new book coming out about this: https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:share:7496265286...

Come join our El Niño session on Wednesday with Stripe's climate scientist Zeke Hausfather: https://luma.com/tu0uvbx1

We'll talk climate science, impacts, and what we can do to avert the worst impacts of the worst El Niño in human history.

Stripe's climate researcher Zeke Hausfather is coming to AirMiners this Wednesday to share about El Niño climate science, the impacts, and then we're going to work on what we can do to avert the worst impacts of this storm.

Come join! https://luma.com/tu0uvbx1

See my post above for book and event recs.

And well said. For some context, "carbon footprint" and this idea of individual emissions actions to solve climate change started as a marketing campaign by British Petroleum. Even the term "climate change" instead of "global warming" came from a U.S. Bush-era policy memo, because the term global warming "frightened" people.

The book I linked above proposes a different frame, managing your impact at a regional, state, national level etc.

Here's a new book called "The Carbon Wave": https://electricnotes.news/p/how-big-can-you-make-your-carbo...

It ditches the concept of "Carbon footprint" (originally created by oil companies) and gives direction on how to join together and make local, state, and national policy change.

I pre-ordered the book today!

You can also come to our El Niño action session next week: https://luma.com/tu0uvbx1

You're right on the average. Almost every scenario has global GDP per capita higher in 2100 than today.

Burke/Hsiang/Miguel [1] find poorest 40% of countries down ~75% and richest 20% up slightly.

So "we get richer" and "grandkids are worse off" are both true. Depends whose grandkids!

[1] https://www.nature.com/articles/nature15725

Isn't this post a classic example of the propaganda strategy of whataboutism?

The 2003 European heat wave killed an estimated 70,000 people: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_European_heatwave

Logistically (from wikipedia): Elderly people living by themselves had never faced such extreme heat before and did not know how to react or were too mentally or physically impaired by the heat to make the necessary adaptations themselves. Elderly people with family support or those residing in nursing homes were more likely to have others who could make the adjustments for them. This led to unexpected survival rates with the weakest group having fewer deaths than the more physically fit; most of the heat victims came from the group of elderly not requiring constant medical care; often childless women who lived alone.

Academic source: https://comptes-rendus.academie-sciences.fr/biologies/articl...

What had your flag the article?

still no response

If someone knows how to unflag this, I'd appreciate it. I think this is a fair climate discussion and I'm happy to weigh in. Also, Eliot Jacobson is an active figure in climate science, so it's not just some rando's blog post.

I'm curious about this too. This upcoming El Niño, the cost impact is expected to be 4x the worst El Nino humanity has ever seen...

I'm putting together an event next Wednesday, We should have climate scientist Zeke Hausfather there to weigh in: https://luma.com/tu0uvbx1

A volcanic eruption by itself can trigger some cooling by reflecting a bunch of sunlight off the dust/gas that's in the volcano emissions. Those cooling periods last a couple years.

In terms of having a longer cooling period with volcanoes, what happened historically was you had several volcanic eruptions in a row that caused something else to happen entirely -- sea ice restoration which caused a feedback loop. Generally, more sea ice begets more sea ice (Effectively, you're trading black ocean surface that absorbs light/heat for white ice that reflects light/heat. And so you get this feedback loop, more ice, cooler temps, even more ice) Anyway, The More You Know Star about some climate history stuff. (One issue with global warming is we're nearing the opposite end of that feedback loop, where less sea ice begets less sea ice and everything melts super fast. For shorthand, you can say that the temperature of Earth is likely rising as slowly as it will during the rest of our lifetimes. The ice is melting as slowly as it will for the rest of our lifetime. The sea level is rising as slowly as it will for the rest of our lifetime. etc)

The other thing to point out here is that volcanic emissions just mask warming caused by greenhouse gasses (ignoring the ability to start feedback loops). At the extreme end, for example, human IQ starts to suffer around 1,000 parts per million of carbon dioxide, so no matter what the temperature is in that scenario it's likely a decent idea to deal with carbon dioxide.

This is why I always say my goal is "a stable climate and thriving human civilizations on Earth", because if your only criteria is a stable climate, well, then a nice big asteroid takes care of that for you.

me! (Not sure why people are downvoting. This is a very predictable response. And in fact, the median response on Earth currently, based on what we've done and are doing to the climate) (and then everyone clapped and replied "me" to this thread and then a rainbow appeared)

It appears you're being downvoted, but I think this is an extremely normal reaction. See my post above, come ask your questions on Wednesday!

Happy to hear more. Perhaps some room for reflection by you and me and the rest of everybody reading this.

Whoever wants to go to work on combatting El Niño this year, I'm getting the gang together here on Wednesday: https://luma.com/tu0uvbx1

The timing is still being finalized but we should have climate scientist Zeke Hausfather there to give his take, and then we can talk about actions to avoid the worst impacts of El Niño this cycle, what innovators can build etc. I heard one idea of building modular battery powered Starlink systems that activate when the cell system gets knocked out.

But yeah, if nothing changes El Niño this year will likely be fucked.

How did it go??

Status - no word from McDonalds yet

Neat, I hadn't seen those until now. I saw the kits were used for COVID, I wonder if they have a licensing platform to extend it to other tests. And I wonder what it takes to make the unit re-usable with a new test. Would be a cool project for bunnie to dismantle.

yeah totally! some version of "summarize what this tool does at a high level and then build my own but don't use any of the code" perhaps.

I found out about this from my Claude Status menu bar I built last time it went down! It's invisible most of the time, unless the status goes down then a yellow or red marker appears. Improvements welcome: https://github.com/titojankowski/claude-status

It's been 15 years since I worked on open source PCR machines, but has someone not figured out how to build a "one time use" disposable type qPCR test? A single test, not an instrument. There's no way these types of tests should be left up to lateral flow etc.

I requested my data from McDonalds yesterday. McDonalds sends a verification email right after to your email address to confirm. I confirmed and haven't heard anything else back yet.