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timtas

125 karma · joined February 2, 2011

timtas.at.hn
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timtas··on My business might have 32 days before it's shut down by NYC [video]
He addressed exactly that and said he expected the inspector would not care about the receipt and would shut his doors. This expectation is reasonable because it's totally consistent with all of his experiences so far.
timtas··on My business might have 32 days before it's shut down by NYC [video]
This guy will be in Texas within a year.
timtas··on The media's lab leak fiasco
This is pretty anemic self reflection. He never even mentions how the scientific establishment was corralled into compliance with the favored narrative by the Lancet letter organized by Daszak, who was a key player funding gain of function research that involved Wuhan and how that letter was the basis for a year of “fact checking” and cancellation.

He didn’t mention how the Washington Post just changed a 15-month-old headline (of the story he links to) to make themselves look better.

This reporter and his ilk are now busily ignoring or downplaying connections of the US government and Fauci to funding of gain of of function research in which the Wuhan lab was involved. (Cuz Rand Paul already made up his mind or something.)

They won’t really learn anything from this sorry episode.

timtas··on Banned in Boston
Puritanism needs sinners to crusade against.
timtas··on Cabal: A peer-to-peer, off-grid, community-first, hackable chat platform
One say you might say something controversial which was mainstream the day before. Fast times we're living in.
timtas··on Holodomor
Very well done movie.

I would rather say it shows how The New York Times and its star reporter Walter Duranty produced tons of lies to cover the Holodomor.

The Pulitzer Prize Board still won't revoke his prize he was awarded for this propaganda, claiming he was just an unwitting dupe. The movie counters that excuse pretty well.

timtas··on Ask HN: What is your passive income 2020?
Back in 2013 I created http://slotted.co. It's a general purpose signup sheet app. Common use cases:

- college professor office hours

- open enrollment consultations

- comedy open mics

- auditions & interviews

- startup accelerator mentor meetings

- any kind of one-on-one meetings

- potluck parties

- volunteer signups

- pizza orders

I started monetizing in 2015 and now earn 5-figures averaging < 5 hours or effort per month. Now and then I do a batch of work to add a new feature.

timtas··on Ask HN: What did you purchase that measurably improved your quality of life?
My dentist recommended SonicCare several years ago. It's a total game changer. No cavities since.
timtas··on Ask HN: What's the worst piece of software you use everyday?
Microsoft Teams. Thoroughly shabby. Free to my company, and worth every penny.
timtas··on Poor man's document camera for videoconference
Fine until you eat up all your other pasta. Then where are you? Well, I guess at that point you have bigger problems. :)
timtas··on Twitter to ban political advertising
Sorry but no, the sides cannot work together to dispassionately purge only clear falsehoods.

Consider this case, hot off the presses. Yesterday Aaron Sorken wrote an open letter to Mark Zuckerberg in the New York Times in which he stated the following:

"And right now, on your website, is an ad claiming that Joe Biden gave the Ukrainian attorney general a billion dollars not to investigate his son. Every square inch of that is a lie and it’s under your logo. That’s not defending free speech, Mark, that’s assaulting truth."

Really? Sorken knows for sure that Biden was not self-dealing? Joe was totally not thinking about his son's half million dollar no-show job with a corrupt Ukranian firm when he ordered the Ukranian government to fire the guy who was investigating it? Wow, that's a really amazing level of access to the truth!

No doubt Sorken has heard and completely believes the mainstream narrative: the prosecutor was himself corrupt and all right-thinking people wanted him removed. (Never mind it's entirely possible that this narrative is true, AND Biden was self-dealing.)

My point is not to convince anyone that Biden was self-dealing. My point is that Sorken is calling objectively false something that is clearly plausible.

This is how it goes. Most people are invested in narratives, and they are keen to suppress ideas that counter their preferred narrative. The idea that they will somehow draw clean lines between facts an interpretations has always been a foolish hope.

timtas··on Monty Hall Problem
I wrote a simulation that proves it pretty convincingly.

http://rubyfiddle.com/riddles/7066f/4

timtas··on Advertising Is a Cancer on Society
Do you know how to tell whether a transaction is beneficial to both parties? It’s mutually voluntary. Some third party thinking it’s bullshit is just meaningless noise.
timtas··on Ask HN: What are the signs that you have a great manager?
In my three decades of professional work I’ve had three excellent mangers. They all share one trait.

They place a high degree of trust in their workers, and (and this part is crucial) they have a good system to obtain workers who merit a high degree of trust and reject those who don’t.

timtas··on Facebook reveals its cryptocurrency Libra
> I get you and others are calling to the sentiment of “how can we be free if we aren’t free to x” but the value of that sentiment isn’t independent of what X is.

Do you propose an objective criteria by which a state can legitimately dictate behavior on one set of Xs and not another set of Xs? If not, then you are by omission saying that every totalitarian state is legitimate. I suspect you might want to say, if the 51% wants something, that makes it legitimate. In that case you are're saying a murderous state is legitimate. (I won't go full Godwyn here, but suffice to say that many democratically elected regimes have committed legal murder on a massive scale and continued to enjoy majority support.)

Hey, here's an idea for an objective criteria: Does X invade any other particular person's life, liberty or property? Banning crypto fails that test.

timtas··on Books to Understand Economics
Missing is the most comprehensive treatise on economics in the 20th century, perhaps ever: “Man, Economy & State” by Murray N. Rothbard.

https://mises.org/library/man-economy-and-state-power-and-ma...

Another is Rothbard’s little book, “What Has Government Done to Our Money?” which provides a wonderfully accessible introduction to the theory and history of money.

https://mises.org/library/what-has-government-done-our-money

timtas··on Books to Understand Economics
It’s a very good intro to economics. However, I generally recommend instead reading the work that it’s based on: That Which is Seen, and That Which is Not Seen by Frédéric Bastiat. [1]

Bastiat’s work is timeless, whereas Hazlitt’s, written to be consciously modern at the time, is showing it’s age.

[1] http://bastiat.org/en/twisatwins.html

timtas··on Apple's Audacity
The author heard Cook’s comments as advocating for privacy, but that’s wrong. He’s advocating for privacy legislation.

The utility of privacy legislation for a company like Apple is to protect itself from completion by firms too small to afford the armies of lawyers and compliance experts that Apple can. The tech industry it seems has finally caught on to the age old racket of regulatory capture. Every big tech chief can be heard begging governments to “stop us before we sin.”

With their business models well proven and scale achieved, they will lobby for more regulations and of course volunteer to bring their distinctive expertise to the drafting table.

timtas··on Liberapay – A recurrent donations platform
There is no fixed definition of hate speech. It's based on du jure norms, which are in a constant state of flux. No person can define or even accurately predict what will constitute hate speech in the future.

Therefore, once you accept the principle that certain speech can be made criminal, you are agreeing to accept as permanent whatever future shifts may occur. It is inconceivable that this will not be abused in the future by nefarious political actors.

timtas··on Ask HN: What books changed the way you think about almost everything?
Probably the biggest reason the Austrian School is "fringe" (a fairer descriptor is "heterodox") is that there's no money in it.

Economics is a value free science, at least how Austrians practice it, but happens to show that government intervention is usually harmful. For example, Keynesians believe that the business cycle is an inherent failure of markets with no known cause and that government must intervene heavily to correct such errors. By contrast, the Austrian Theory of the Business Cycle takes nearly the opposite position -- that intervention, mainly in form of credit expansion causes booms. A bust is a correction of errors made during the boom and should not itself be corrected with more easy money, starting the cycle all over again.

Now, the vast majority of working professional economists derive all or much of their income from the government in one way or another. Many work for the federal government or the Federal Reserve Bank or consult with them. Or they work in government funded universities doing research with money from government grants.

Early last century, Hoover then FDR discovered and embraced John Maynard Keynes who offered a general theory that supported heavy government intervention. The Keynesian prescription just happened to provide an intellectual basis for policies that would require government to grow much larger and more powerful. Before long government began to fund more and more professional economist jobs. And no surprise, those jobs went to Keynesians.

A few decades later Milton Friedman (not an Austrian) said, "We are all Keynesians now" -- not as an admission that the theories were correct but a concession that in practical terms it's nearly impossible to work in the field and not be a Keynesian.

timtas··on Ask HN: What books changed the way you think about almost everything?
Interesting fact: Economics in One Lesson is an extended meditation on Frédéric Bastiat's classic essay "That Which is Seen, and That Which is Not Seen." Part of Hazlitt's goal was to make Bastiat's ideas more modern and accessible. However, enough time has passed that some of his examples are a bit dated. I actually prefer the original. Bastiat is a splendid writer.

http://bastiat.org/en/twisatwins.html

timtas··on Ask HN: What books changed the way you think about almost everything?
Do you have an opinion as to what you think is wrong with it, or just bandwagon fallacy?

What for example, do you think of Subjective Theory of Value or the Theory of Marginal Utility, which were developed by the father of the Austrian School, Carl Menger, in the latter part of the 19th century? Or the Austrian Theory of the Business Cycle, for which Friedrich Hayek won the Nobel Prize in 1974?

timtas··on Ask HN: What books changed the way you think about almost everything?
The Law - Frédéric Bastiat, 1850 [1]

Bastiat was a great French Economist and liberal political philosopher. He been considered as more of a popularizer than an original thinker, but that's unwarranted. The Law is the greatest work of classical liberal political though that I have encountered. In school we all read Locke's Second Treatise of Government, but we should have first read The Law. It's very short--more of a long essay than a full length book--but it packs an earth shattering wallop.

Bastiat is also an intellectual ancestor of the Austrian School of economics. The famous Hazlitt book, Economics in One Lesson, is an extended meditation on Bastiat's classic essay, That Which is Seen and That Which is Unseen [2], which is the origin of the Broken Window Fallacy.

[1] http://bastiat.org/en/the_law.html

[2] http://bastiat.org/en/twisatwins.html

timtas··on Ask HN: What podcasts do you listen to regularly?
The Tom Woods Show [1] - A 30-minute show each weekday. Tom is Harvard/Columbia trained historian, amateur economist and libertarian philosopher. 1,250 episodes. The usual format is interview with a prominent thinker and/or doer.

Contra Krugman [2] - A weekly show where Tom Woods and economist Bob Murphy teach economics by analyzing an generally refuting Paul Krugman's New York Times column.

Part of the Problem [3] - A long-form semi-weekly(ish) talk show featuring comedian Dave Smith. Dave discusses current events and issues from a his libertarian perspective.

Dangerous History Podcast [4] - An irregular show that dives deep into various topics and episodes in history. Approaching 200 episodes.

[1] https://tomwoods.com/podcasts

[2] https://contrakrugman.com/

[3] https://gasdigitalnetwork.com/gdn-show-channels/part-of-the-...

[4] http://profcj.org/list-episodes

timtas··on Ask HN: What was the one book that you read and it actually changed your life?
The Law by Frédéric Bastiat [1]

Weighing in at 75 pages, you can read this 176 year old classic in a weekend. For some reason Locke's Second Treatise on Government made it into the canon as the be-and-end-all of the classical liberal political philosophy, and this masterwork was overlooked. Just read it.

[1] https://mises.org/library/law

timtas··on Ask HN: What was the one book that you read and it actually changed your life?
This is a very impactful book, but challenging for those new to the topic. I would recommend reading his "The Ethics of Liberty" first.
timtas··on Facebook stock drops more than 20% after revenue forecast misses
> The social-media behemoth’s stock lost roughly one-fifth of its value.

That's one way to describe it. Another way is, Facebook's stock fell to where it was two months ago, which is 70% over what it was at the start of 2017.

I'm not saying that a large one-day drop is insignificant or isn't news. But to paint this as the bottom falling out is unwarranted.

timtas··on Don't Get Your Coworker to Agree with You
"Their resentment may even cause them to push for keeping the icon after it has proven not to be the right thing for your product."

Either Kara is more than one person, or this is a grammatical error. It may be an intentional grammatical error but an error nonetheless.

timtas··on The Facebook Current
The single strongest indicator of the inflection point where a giant company begins to implode is when the CEO is hauled into Congress and people start talking seriously about anti-trust and breakup. Standard Oil, A&P, General Motors, IBM, Microsoft, etc, etc. Bigness breeds inertia, arrogance, myopia and abuse. The only way to make a "monopoly" last is with strong government protections.
timtas··on How GDPR Will Change The Way You Develop
> company destroying fines

They are not company destroying for large companies though. By raising fixed cost (and risk) of doing business, regulations of this kind are an absolute godsend for large companies.

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