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timmytokyo

2,622 karma · joined April 21, 2014

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timmytokyo··on Failing to Understand the Exponential, Again
>What is this limit on AI?

Data. Think of our LLMs like bacteria in a Petri dish. When first introduced, they achieve exponential growth by rapidly consuming the dish's growth medium. Once the medium is consumed, growth slows and then stops.

The corpus of information on the Internet, produced over several decades, is the LLM's growth medium. And we're not producing new growth medium at an exponential rate.

timmytokyo··on Ebola outbreak in DR Congo rages, with 61% death rate and funding running dry
There is no better tell than use of the anonymous "they".
timmytokyo··on OpenAI and Nvidia announce partnership to deploy 10GW of Nvidia systems
https://bsky.app/profile/edzitron.com/post/3lzgt7up5ts2g
timmytokyo··on Meta’s live demo fails; “AI” recording plays before the actor takes the steps
AI: "You've already combined the base ingredients."

Except, no. He hadn't.

timmytokyo··on I am giving up on Intel and have bought an AMD Ryzen 9950X3D
Just get used to the extortionate prices on things like memory and storage. Who wouldn't want to pay $200 to go from a 16GB to a 24GB configuration? Who wouldn't want to pay $600 more for the 2TB storage option? And forget about upgrading after you buy the computer.
timmytokyo··on The contrarian physics podcast subculture
Did you see his YT videos where he slobbered all over Eric Weinstein? That's disqualifying.
timmytokyo··on Go is still not good
In my opinion, the section on data ownership contained the most egregious and unforgivable example of go's flaws. The behavior of append in that example is the kind of bug-causing or esoteric behavior that should never make it into any programming language. As a regular writer of go code, I understand why this particular quirk of the language exists, but I hope I never truly "grasp" it to the extent that I forgive it.

I'm surprised people in these comments aren't focusing more on the append example.

timmytokyo··on The contrarian physics podcast subculture
Sorry, it's one thing to interview cranks like Chris Langan and Eric Weinstein, bad enough as that is. It's quite another to promote them as brave champions of suppressed truths.
timmytokyo··on Things that helped me get out of the AI 10x engineer imposter syndrome
If I ask an LLM to write me a skip list and it instead writes me a linked list and confidently but erroneously claims it's a skip list, then the LLM hallucinated. It doesn't matter that the code compiled successfully.
timmytokyo··on Things that helped me get out of the AI 10x engineer imposter syndrome
Speaking of rhetorical tactics, that's an awfully narrow definition of LLM hallucination designed to evade the argument that they hallucinate.

If, according to you, LLMs are so good at avoiding hallucinations these days, then maybe we should ask an LLM what hallucinations are. Claude, "in the context of generative AI, what is a hallucination?"

Claude responds with a much broader definition of the term than you have imagined -- one that matches my experiences with the term. (It also seemingly matches many other people's experiences; even you admit that "everybody" associates hallucination with imperfection or inaccuracy.)

Claude's full response:

"In generative AI, a hallucination refers to when an AI model generates information that appears plausible and confident but is actually incorrect, fabricated, or not grounded in its training data or the provided context.

"There are several types of hallucinations:

"Factual hallucinations - The model states false information as if it were true, such as claiming a historical event happened on the wrong date or attributing a quote to the wrong person.

"Source hallucinations - The model cites non-existent sources, papers, or references that sound legitimate but don't actually exist.

"Contextual hallucinations - The model generates content that contradicts or ignores information provided in the conversation or prompt.

"Logical hallucinations - The model makes reasoning errors or draws conclusions that don't follow from the premises.

"Hallucinations occur because language models are trained to predict the most likely next words based on patterns in their training data, rather than to verify factual accuracy. They can generate very convincing-sounding text even when "filling in gaps" with invented information.

"This is why it's important to verify information from AI systems, especially for factual claims, citations, or when accuracy is critical. Many AI systems now include warnings about this limitation and encourage users to double-check important information from authoritative sources."

timmytokyo··on Things that helped me get out of the AI 10x engineer imposter syndrome
As if a compiler or linter is the sole arbiter of correctness.
timmytokyo··on Things that helped me get out of the AI 10x engineer imposter syndrome
Ah, so it's good enough to write code on its own without time-consuming, excessive hand-holding. But it's not good enough to write comments on its own.
timmytokyo··on The borrowchecker is what I like the least about Rust
You're right about C++. A fairer comparison would be to a simpler garbage-collected language like Go.
timmytokyo··on The borrowchecker is what I like the least about Rust
The author explained why he used contrived examples. It's because the pain arises most acutely only after your project has become large and mature but demands a small ownership-impacting change. The toy examples demonstrate the problem in the small, but they generalize to larger and more complex scenarios.

He's basically talking about the rigidity that Rust's borrow checking imposes on a program's data design. Once you've got the program following all the rules, it can be extraordinarily difficult to make even a minor change without incurring a time-consuming and painful refactor.

This is an argument about the language's ergonomics, so it seems like a fair criticism.

timmytokyo··on The borrowchecker is what I like the least about Rust
If using indices is going to be your answer, then it seems to me you should at least contend with the OP's argument that this approach violates the very reason the borrowchecker was introduced in the first place.

From the post:

"The Rust community's whole thing is commitment to compiler-enforced correctness, and they built the borrowchecker on the premise that humans can't be trusted to handle references manually. When the same borrowchecker makes references unworkable, their solution is to... recommend that I manually manage them, with zero safety and zero language support?!? The irony is unreal."

timmytokyo··on Should LLMs ask "Is this real or fiction?" before replying to suicidal thoughts?
Amen. The most dangerous people are those who don't know how much they don't know, yet plow ahead with complete certainty.
timmytokyo··on Grok: Searching X for "From:Elonmusk (Israel or Palestine or Hamas or Gaza)"
I might be more inclined to believe you if Elon-related posts were being flagged across the board, but they're not. Just yesterday, the Grok 4 launch video was on the front page, and the associated comments were full of flamewar content. Yet that post didn't get flagged -- presumably because it was a launch video favorable to Elon's interests.

There's a clear bias -- either on the part of the flaggers or on the part of HN itself -- in what gets flagged. If it has even a hint of criticism of Elon, it gets flagged. That makes this forum increasingly useless for discussion of obviously important tech topics (e.g., why one of the frontier AI models is spouting Nazi rhetoric).

timmytokyo··on Grok: Searching X for "From:Elonmusk (Israel or Palestine or Hamas or Gaza)"
Occam's razor would seem to apply here.
timmytokyo··on LLMs should not replace therapists
You should read Baldur Bjarnasson's recent essay, "Trusting your own judgment on AI is a huge risk". https://www.baldurbjarnason.com/2025/trusting-your-own-judge...

Excerpt:

"Don’t self-experiment with psychological hazards! I can’t stress this enough!

"There are many classes of problems that simply cannot be effectively investigated through self-experimentation and doing so exposes you to inflicting Cialdini-style persuasion and manipulation on yourself."

timmytokyo··on Billionaire cofounder has a warning for anyone who craves work-life balance
I also don't for one second believe her that she works from 5:30am to midnight every day.
timmytokyo··on Guess I'm a rationalist now
Thanks for reminding me that I left out their unjustified sense of significance and self-importance, thinking that their sophomoric ramblings are somehow comparable to Sartre's or Heidegger's writings.
timmytokyo··on Guess I'm a rationalist now
Rationalists are constantly falling into ditches that actual philosophers crawled out of centuries ago. But what's even more exasperating is that they do it in tendentious disquisitions that take thousands of wasted words to get.. to.. the.. everloving.. point.
timmytokyo··on Guess I'm a rationalist now
Below is a list of cult markers I posted here the last time this came up. It recaps some of the bullet points above.

1. Apocalyptic world view.

2. Charismatic and/or exploitative leader.

3. Insularity.

4. Esoteric jargon.

5. Lack of transparency or accountability (often about finances or governance).

6. Communal living arrangements.

7. Sexual mores outside social norms, especially around the leader.

8. Schismatic offshoots.

9. Outsized appeal and/or outreach to the socially vulnerable.

timmytokyo··on Large language models often know when they are being evaluated
It's helpful to understand where this paper is coming from.

The authors are part of the Bay Area rationalist community and are members of "MATS", the "ML & Alignment Theory Scholars", a new astroturfed organization that just came into being this month. MATS is not an academic or research institution, and none of this paper's authors lists any credentials other than MATS (or Apollo Research, another Bay Area rationalist outlet). MATS started in June for the express purpose of influencing AI policy. On its web site, it describes how their "scholars organized social activities outside of work, including road trips to Yosemite, visits to San Francisco, and joining ACX meetups." ACX means Astral Codex Ten, a blog by Scott Alexander that serves as one of the hubs of the Bay Area rationalist scene.

timmytokyo··on Musk-Trump dispute includes threats to SpaceX contracts
Hot take: they're both baddies, and they always will be.
timmytokyo··on Curtis Yarvin's Plot Against America
Yeah, I guess it's true that people who (1) like eugenics and "human biodiversity" (i.e., race science), and (2) think neoreactionism is "edgy and cool" are not egalitarian or leftist.
timmytokyo··on Curtis Yarvin's Plot Against America
https://miniver.blogspot.com/2024/01/scott-alexander-siskind...
timmytokyo··on Claude 4
Not saying you're wrong about "OpenAI practices", but that's kind of a strange thing to complain about right after praising an LLM that was only recently inserting claims of "white genocide" into every other response.
timmytokyo··on I have tinnitus. I don't recommend it
I'm sorry to hear you're suffering from tinnitus, but what science is there to support the claim that the COVID vaccines cause it? Anecdotes are not science.
timmytokyo··on Why Did Grok Start Talking About 'White Genocide'?
HN has a sizable number of Musk fan-boys who are ready to flag to death any posts critical of him.
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