152 karma · joined November 6, 2024
Congratulations, conservatives won, we can stop pretending they’re niche now.
So when AI companies start saying these AI are as intelligent as a PHD student, it makes me wonder, most people aren’t as smart as a phd student and yet AI still seems to choke on some basic tasks.
“ So when UHC’s CEO was assassinated yesterday morning, on his way to brag to his shareholders about record profits, not many people were confused about the motive. What was surprising was the gleeful re-unification of a divided internet - from MAGA twitter threads to progressive BlueSky conversations to the entire nursing subreddit - over a man’s brutal death on a midtown sidewalk. Vaccine skeptics and physicians who have been at each other’s throats since 2020 found the one medical issue on which they are passionately on the same side.”
I.e. yes, we absolutely should prosecute more white collar crime.
I think this is because of optimization. Some people try to optimize for true beliefs, because it’s a defense mechanism, because of values, etc. whereas others try to optimize for useful beliefs, and contrarian beliefs can be more useful than perfectly accurate beliefs.
> imagine if getting a credit card required an annual trip to the local state Department of Credit Cards where you had to wait in line for the whole day for the right to transact!
Which may ironically be a good idea?
But I think the person who wrote this article believes it. And I think it’s amazing to have seen the past year or so of massive rebranding of the second Trump administration as the savior of America. I feel naively open minded to the possibility, and yet of course are all the unspoken impacts of everything that the author promotes. The massive disruption to everything. And then the “all you have to do is” ness of it all.
But also, every year or two I try going to a church, but I wonder if the beliefs or practices largely don’t make sense.
On the one hand, I fantasize about going to some super conservative thousand year old European cathedral, and I do feel like there would be a sense of wonder in that.
But going to a suburban mega church and listening to Christian Rock doesn’t cut it.
I’ve been looking for some kind of thing to study. I picked up the Harvard classics series, maybe something like that would be interesting to build a faith group around? But yeah…
But you sort of have one side obfuscating their arguably nefarious actions, and then another side largely going “trust me, bro”.
FTX showed on a smaller scale the crypto could get itself interwoven with the traditional economy in ways that could lead to a 2008 style crash, and nothing crypto does has led me to believe they really care.
Maybe we should have more Crypto, but we should go into it with eyes open to the fact that the creators envision a much more libertarian culture than most people are comfortable with.
I dunno, I do occasionally have this fantasy that I’d gone to some advanced prep school where they really did some education to me. But I’m sort of fundamentally anti-authoritarian, so I can’t imagine I would have gotten anything out of it. Can we really teach reading skills above and beyond what someone is inclined to teach themselves? Are there proven methods?
But then, Harris’ response to regrettable conclusions doesn’t seem grounded. If you’re going to say it’s ok to rationally decide that 6 extends from 1-5. What’s to stop you from saying that policy should extend from rationality. That with limited funds, educational opportunities should preference populations with high IQs.
He sort of has this well obviously we shouldn’t implement policy that preferences groups over individuals. He rejects talking about the moral/political implications of his discussion of intelligence, and then somehow makes the assertion that his moral framework is indisputably correct.
I wonder how efficient the developers at Twitter really are. I remember when George Hotz interned at Twitter to fix search, and he like downloaded the source code, diddled around with it and quit after a few months. Making changes at big tech companies is hard, and it’s a management issue as much if not more than an engineering issue.
I’m not the guy who says all employees are equally valuable, that’s a worthless platitude and I’ve seen countless examples to the contrary, but I’m equally skeptical of claims by upper management that it would all be peaches if it wasn’t for those pesky lazy developers.
Marc seems to be making 2 claims. One, The US Government debanks marijuana dealers, sex workers and crypto companies that break federal law.
Two, that the US Government de-banks people for having the wrong right-wing (never left-wing) politics.
The first I buy and I think is worth debating, the second I can't find any evidence for.
I wasn't a huge fan of Joe Rogan, but I was really disappointed by his endorsement of Trump, because it felt like this acknowledgement that the age of analyzing ideas on their merits was over, and that hyper-partisanship won.
There is a meta-idea here in this presentation, and that is that it feels very manipulative. I'm thinking sort of about the section on Roman virtues, and I do agree with the general idea that more people should strive to live up to a set of virtues, whatever they are. But there's no real deep engagement with it, it seems like it's expected to have this halo effect where, we talked about Roman virtues so you can see that we're the good guys so we're right about everything else we talk about.
I'm sort of reflexively responding to this idea that we should focus on good ideas wherever they come from. And there are good ideas here, but it feels like the good ideas are trying to serve an end and not honestly considered.
I think the three hour format is probably good if you're an independent actor or intellection, but Marc is clearly acting as a partisan, biased political actor here, and it's especially frustrating the way he pays lip service to humility and virtue.
Not that it's not good to know the opinions of biased political actors in our society. But I want intellectual curiosity, not cynical quips.
Do I feel bad for the Fedex driver who lost her life savings? Yes, but like I keep most of my money in a relatively low risk low interest rate credit union. This exact decision making of "I'm going to go with this new-fangled tech startup with high interest rates" is exactly the kind of approach that gets you to risk your life savings. But it def. sucks that their approach seems to be praying on the vulnerable. It's one thing when someone on wallstreetbets loses their life savings. It's another thing when someone thinks their money is in a savings account.
But like, I'm at Yotta's website and the hero text is "Play games, win big". Not exactly a safe money vibe.
Maybe we're just at the natural equilibrium of the capacity of the planet given all extenuating factors, and with enhanced technology or interplanetary travel, we'll exceed those.
Personally I do everything in my power not to be disciplined. I intentionally make my first draft terrible. I almost make it my goal to write bad code instead of good code(. I’m an SRE not a full time developer for what it’s worth)
And then I sort of find adversarial ways to circle around the solution. Write tests etc. I don’t know how to describe it but I never want a close eye or “discipline” to be the solution to the problem. Use tools for linting/schema validation/testing and trust them and when they don’t catch something evolve them.
It’s funny you say “rarely, but sometimes I have bad weeks”. Whereas I approach it the opposite. Sure every once in a while I have a good week where I don’t make many mistakes. But I approach my work like making mistakes is the rule, not the exception. And lean into it.
And I will say it would be crazy of me to say that in all this time I haven’t developed a pretty good eye. I certainly catch a lot of things people with less experience don’t, and my first drafts are much better now then they were earlier in my career. But I don’t rely on that experience, because I’m fallible.