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teamonkey

4,863 karma · joined May 19, 2008

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teamonkey··on We must pace the frontier
> If the plebs are unemployed and unemployable, they (the billionaires) are going to be lynched.

Hence the robot dogs

teamonkey··on Show HN: What if the speed of light was 5 km/h?
This is very cool, but what mechanism lets me see the roof of the cars on the big wheel?

The cars seem to twist towards me as they approach and away from me as they recede, but from my initial stationary position, which is below the roof of the lowest car, I feel that I shouldn’t ever be able to see light from the top surface of a car’s roof?

If I toggle ‘L’ off then indeed, I can’t see the top of any of those cars. But I feel that even with it on, and in the absence of gravitational lensing, I feel the path of light from that top surface would always be blocked?

teamonkey··on What will our economic future look like?
I’ve been thinking about this a lot recently.

It’s difficult to measure objectively, due to being physically younger and in an earlier stage of my career and so worser-paid, but adjusting for that, I think quality of life 20 years ago was pretty much the same as now, slightly better in some regards, slightly worse in others.

Of course there are fun new gadgets and gizmos and TV on demand and social media and such, but honestly they’re just toys, and in some cases have made my quality of life worse.

The biggest tangible improvement I can think of is one particular medical advancement, which has allowed a family member to survive a disease when they absolutely would not have 20 years ago. That’s incredible.

But otherwise the quality of life change over the last 20 years is minimal by most important metrics I can think of. Which makes one wonder what the dogged pursuit of GDP growth has achieved for the last decade or two.

teamonkey··on What will our economic future look like?
Where are the taxes coming from?

If people’s wages are below subsistence levels they’ll sell their investments to survive. There can be no possibility of upward class mobility in this scenario.

teamonkey··on No Man's Sky Cosmos
In general that’s correct and you can generally estimate sales over the life of the game before the the end of release day. But there are also early access games, which are completely the opposite. Not very much in between those two extremes though.

NMS really is an exception, that they sold well enough at launch that they can keep providing free major updates for 10 years.

teamonkey··on LLMs as a Cognitive Virus
Also telling your expert employees/servants to do something for you.
teamonkey··on Dwarf Fortress' creator says the industry's in shambles over AI
Yes, absolutely. US games developers are paid a lot more than elsewhere.

There has been a growing trend over the past couple of decades to outsource more and more game development to cheaper parts of the world, trending towards keeping only a small core team in the home country, supported by for-hire remote developers in Eastern Europe and Asia.

The other big advantage to work for hire is not needing to keep a large team of specialists employed throughout development, when they may not be required for all of that time. Keeping everyone fully utilised has always been one of the big challenges for game studios.

Ironically, AI may actually reduce the amount of outsourcing that a core team needs to do (though a lot of it is content and AI is still pretty bad at generating content).

teamonkey··on Dwarf Fortress' creator says the industry's in shambles over AI
Revenues overall are rising, but the only real growth right now is in China + East Asia, and in Roblox.

https://www.matthewball.co/all/presentation-the-state-of-vid...

teamonkey··on Europe's summer drought is so extreme that desertification is a growing threat
Or 3
teamonkey··on Brits would quite like their private messages to stay private
Yes you’re right, of course, I was conflating the ability to move freely within the EU member states with the Schengen Agreement which was not correct. Border control was always necessary between Britain and the Schengen area, it was just streamlined.
teamonkey··on Brits would quite like their private messages to stay private
I do not expect it to happen in my lifetime. I dearly hope we manage to strike a deal that restores our freedoms to live and work within the EU, but I’m not holding my breath.
teamonkey··on Brits would quite like their private messages to stay private
Because the UK had a preferential agreement with the EU and a leadership position. It would be impossible to restore that state.

Even if there were a UK referendum where a clear majority voted to rejoin the EU as a member state, not at the top table, our return to the EU depends on the EU accepting our application. We burned a lot of bridges on exit that we need to rebuild.

And also the favourite party to win in the next election is spearheaded by the very people who orchestrated Brexit. The EU will not be receptive while it seems that a majority of people are still voting for an anti-EU party.

The sensible course for rejoining is to work towards Schengen or similar, while acting as a partner state in good faith for a decade or two.

teamonkey··on Brits would quite like their private messages to stay private
More like “we won, don’t mention it”

It was recently the 10-year anniversary of the Brexit vote. Not a single firework.

teamonkey··on Brits would quite like their private messages to stay private
Turnout was about 72%, so really it was (approx) Leave 37%, Remain 35%, Don’t Know/Care 28%.

Also worth pointing out that the hard Brexit we got, where we left Schengen and abandoned much of our cross-European programmes, was almost unthinkable, and not seriously considered by the media. Whenever it was brought up, it was decried as “project fear” by those who pushed for it.

teamonkey··on Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope
Adversity forces a scientific budget and for jobs to be created in related research areas. For some reason we don’t find it important to maintain that level of funding when there’s no adversity.
teamonkey··on Smaller reactors bring nuclear power closer to fulfilling its promise
They are cheaper, that’s why in most of the world, datacentres are being built where there’s copious solar or wind power.

The problem is that they need full power 24/365.

teamonkey··on Tim Curry has died
“There's no body. NOBODY. There's nobody in the study.”
teamonkey··on Black hole singularity is a surface not a point
I’m not sure free will has anything to do with it.

If you don’t have enough upward velocity to escape earths gravity, hitting the ground is also inevitable.

teamonkey··on Mea Culpa – Dark Hours
Steam doesn’t need a AI disclosure label for things that are not player-facing IIRC.
teamonkey··on Making difficulty curves in games
This is true, but you don’t want people to bounce off the game immediately, so they have a bad time and refund it before giving it a proper go.

This can happen if they feel it’s easier or harder then expected.

teamonkey··on Making difficulty curves in games
What is ‘normal’ is unfortunately subjective and can mean a lot of different things to different people. Also often what is listed as ’hard’ is often normal, because most people will see ‘normal’ and decide they’re better than that and have a miserable old time.
teamonkey··on No one can afford to make Myst games anymore
Apples to oranges, I think. Blue Prince was self-funded and solo developed for much of its long development time. Publisher funding was sought to polish and market the game.

The developers in the article are taking about seeking upfront publisher funding for a small studio to develop the game with a much shorter time horizon. The publisher would likely need to invest much more, but would take a much greater percentage of revenue, and with an established franchise like Myst and a team of veteran devs the risk is - in theory - lower.

teamonkey··on No one can afford to make Myst games anymore
That’s a weird value to get funding for right now.

If a publisher wants to fund something cheap and niche, maybe a bit of a gamble, it’s too much.

If they want to fund a more fleshed-out title that is likely to succeed with a bit of marketing spend behind it, it’s almost too little.

So I think they might be right, they’re in a weird space that publishers don’t want to look at right now.

teamonkey··on No one can afford to make Myst games anymore
PCG is authored, its usage has intention.
teamonkey··on AI psychosis is the new leadership blind spot
> Because what loosened those patients’ grip on reality was prolonged exposure to a voice that sounded informed and assured, and always felt supportive and patient.

Elites have been surrounding themselves by Yes Men for centuries. Is this any different, I wonder, or has there always been such a psychosis?

teamonkey··on US strikes $1.2B deal to pay German firm to halt offshore wind projects
Yes, but the testing bit is what makes it a scientifically-proven method and not a folk remedy.

There are also a lot of folk remedies that have been disproven as medicine. They too were ‘common sense.’

teamonkey··on Discovery Loop
This is a misunderstanding of how scientific research works, why it is done and how it is done. Reducing the number of people who can do science will not pay off in the long run.
teamonkey··on Discovery Loop
The purpose of hiring grad students isn’t to advance science, it’s to train experts.
teamonkey··on The Dunning-Kruger effect may just be a data artefact (2020)
In a thread talking about the Dunning-Kruger effect, no less
teamonkey··on The Dunning-Kruger effect may just be a data artefact (2020)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_the_instrument
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