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taylodl

11,310 karma · joined January 31, 2012

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taylodl··on Trump vs. Carney at Davos: One summit, two visions
Canada,Mexico, Central America, and South America aren't on board with this plan
taylodl··on Trump serious about wanting to take over Greenland, says Danish prime minister
> Or maybe I eat my words and this is more like the tariffs thing, where he barks and growls but in the end is a bully tactic to get others to do what he wants. Because that has in fact worked somewhat well.

What if Venezuela undoes that? What if countries decide they're going to squelch on their concessions to Trump as a result?

taylodl··on Trump serious about wanting to take over Greenland, says Danish prime minister
Almost. I’m admittedly being pedantic, but here’s the nuance:

Greenland is not part of the EU. Their citizens are Danish citizens, and as such, they are EU citizens. Confused yet? Greenland is a member of NATO - which is actually much more problematic. If Trump invades Greenland, he’s delivered NATO’s head on a silver platter to Vladimir Putin. I’d call that aiding and abetting an enemy - an act of treason - but I’m old school.

Since this is HN, what’s the tech angle?

The EU will restrict or outright ban U.S. Big Tech. Big Tech stocks will tank, and we can expect hundreds of thousands of layoffs as a result. More concerning, EU consumers will boycott as many American products as they can - just as Canadians have done. That means a wave of U.S. business failures and even more job losses. It’s also a big win for China, who will happily fill the gap.

Oh, and all U.S. military personnel and their families? Deported immediately. My crystal ball isn’t telling me what happens to the materiel.

So much winning!

taylodl··on U.S. plan to 'run' Venezuela clouded in confusion
They just don't have any particular interest in helping out 99.997% of the population. If your net worth isn't at least $100 million, then this administration isn't working for you.
taylodl··on Trump Threatens Venezuela's New Leader with a Fate Worse Than Maduro's
So...Trump's critics are right? These actions in Venezuela have little to nothing to do with Maduro's alleged crimes? Is it really just about Venezuela having the largest oil reserves in the world?
taylodl··on Why I'm skipping Dry January
I wouldn't drink alcohol for health benefits. I'm just saying a glass of wine per day with dinner won't have adverse health effects for most people. If you don't currently drink, then there's no reason to start. If you're having more than one drink per day, then you should cut back to just one. If you do drink, then do so several hours before bedtime because alcohol does affect quality of sleep.
taylodl··on Why I'm skipping Dry January
A glass of wine with dinner is unlikely to significantly disrupt your sleep - provided you finish at least four hours before bedtime. Treat alcohol like food: avoid both in the hours leading up to sleep for optimal rest. Likewise, one glass of dry wine (about 5 oz) is unlikely to increase inflammation and may even offer mild antioxidant benefits. The key is moderation - one glass, not two - and choosing drier wines to minimize added sugar.

Maybe Dry January should be Dry Wine January?

taylodl··on Tesla sales fall for the second year in a row
Given that Robotaxis are currently crashing at a much higher rate than human-driven vehicles, it seems risky to put a large majority of your company's future earnings and growth in that basket.

On the Optimus front, I spent years in manufacturing. This industry is conservative and deeply relationship driven. Plants prioritize uptime and proven reliability, and they're slow to adopt newcomers. ABB is the 800-pound gorilla here - just as they have been in the PLC space for decades. ABB's long-standing relationships and deep integration support make it incredibly hard for newcomers to gain traction. I should know - I worked for one of their competitors!

Bottom line: Tesla's strategy hinges on two moonshots in industries where incumbents are entrenched and adoption cycles are slow. If these bets don't pay off, Tesla needs a fallback - energy storage, grid solutions, or advanced EV platforms - before the narrative collapses. They'd be wise to leverage their EV business to launch these initiatives, but waning consumer confidence and declining sales make that increasingly difficult.

taylodl··on New Theory Suggests We've Been Wrong About Black Holes for 60 Years
This feels like it's rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic. We know GR is incorrect - after all it predicts singularities. GR is also silent on how stress/energy/momentum causes curvature in space time. In that vein, GR seems more like a law of gravity rather than a theory of gravity.

I would suggest we work on an actual theory of gravity before we tackle black hole event horizons and their formation. Such a theory should provide a lot of insight into the formation (or not) of black holes.

taylodl··on Next Year Is Americas 250th Birthday. Meet the Person Behind the Celebration
Excuse me if I don't feel much like celebrating due to our enduring a coup d'état from the inside. I just hope some semblance of America remains intact after 2026 but I'm not holding my breath.
taylodl··on Palantir says college is no longer a reliable training ground
College was never a "training ground." If these companies want a "trained" workforce then they can pay for it themselves. But no, they prefer to freeload off of vulnerable students.
taylodl··on Trump moves to shut down climate research lab, calls its work "alarmism"
Trump’s approval rating is around 30%, yet that doesn’t diminish his presidential powers. Most leaders would see such historically low numbers as a signal to adjust course - but not Trump. His worldview is impervious to external feedback: if 70% disagree, then 70% must be wrong. That’s the hallmark of a narcissist.
taylodl··on The Day Feynman Realized Students Knew Nothing [video]
This resonates with me and identifies my disdain for formal education. Everything I know, actually know, I've learned through self-education and working from first principles. I find it helpful to circle back and approach it through formal education to ensure I didn't miss anything and if I did, I repeat the self-education approach for that item. The upshot is I know what I know very well, but the downside is it can take me a lot longer than most to learn it.

I've often wondered whether there's a "happy medium" that would allow me to learn faster, but I haven't found it after decades of searching.

taylodl··on Break up bad companies; replace bad union bosses
Winston Churchill one quipped 'You can always count on Americans to do the right thing - after they’ve tried everything else.' I suppose that also applies to managing their societal affairs as well. The upside to falling so far behind the industrial world? There are plenty of proven solutions to copy to which they'll loudly proclaim as their own stroke of genius.
taylodl··on Trump says Rob Reiner's death caused by "Trump derangement syndrome"
Trump blaming Rob Reiner's murder on 'Trump Derangement Syndrome' is absurd. TDS is what conservatives accuse liberals of - and Reiner was a liberal. If politics were involved, it’d be someone who loves Trump. Maybe Trump doesn’t even know what TDS means?
taylodl··on US tariffs are having an uneven effect on holiday prices and purchases
Not only has the price of goods gone up because of tariffs, but utility bills are climbing fast, grocery costs continue to surge, and health care premiums are skyrocketing. People have less money left for Christmas, and each dollar they do have buys far less than last year. I expect retail to take a brutal hit this season - and things will likely worsen in Q1 2026.
taylodl··on Oracle made a $300B bet on OpenAI. It's paying the price
Kodak was founded in 1892. I think Oracle is going to go the way of HP. Look at HP over the past 10 years and what it had been in the 10 year period leading up to that. Sure, HP is still a company with $50+ billion in revenue, which actually matches where Oracle is today, but they had been a company with $100+ billion in revenue - and that's before adjusting for inflation.

So while it's hard to call a company with $50+ billion in revenue a failure, they're not nearly what they once were. That's the direction I see Oracle going.

https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/hpq/revenue/

taylodl··on Oracle made a $300B bet on OpenAI. It's paying the price
Not for Oracle's "everything but the kitchen sink" unlimited enterprise licenses for large (Fortune 200) organizations that, like a buffet, encourage you to "eat more" to get a "better value." Which works great until you true-up after 10 years and your annual license fee skyrockets. Which is of course Oracle's plan. But, what I've been seeing happen instead, and this is purely anecdotal, is these companies are getting tired of paying tens of millions of dollars per year to Oracle as CIOs are under ever-increasing pressure to cut costs. So they're wary of allowing themselves to fall further into Oracle's clutches and in fact they're looking at how to get themselves out of this situation.

TL;DR - these 10 year enterprise deals with Oracle allowed companies to save money in the short run and get predictable annual licensing fees. It also bought them time to get more of their application portfolio off of Oracle so when it comes time to re-up they'll negotiate those fees down.

taylodl··on Oracle made a $300B bet on OpenAI. It's paying the price
Oracle has bigger problems than OpenAI. They've been selling large enterprise contracts for the past 10 years and they're coming up for renewal. A lot of those enterprises don't feel they got a good value. If 10% to 20% of those enterprises fail to renew for another 10 years, then that could have a severe impact to Oracle. Their other issue is a lot of those enterprises are looking at migrating to PostgreSQL so they can migrate off of Oracle's RDBMS. Many have already deployed PostgreSQL for their department-level applications, so they can get the experience they need before tackling their enterprise-level applications.
taylodl··on The Free Market Is Failing: The Terrifying Reality
Is Democratic Socialism better at handling or responding to disruption-inducing changes? Or is that what you meant by your statement that maybe it can mitigate some risks better?
taylodl··on Senator endorses discredited book that claims chemical treats autism, cancer
They always say "more research is needed", overlooking the extensive research already done. At concentrations required for antimicrobial effects, chlorine dioxide poses serious toxicity risks - endangering the patient rather than helping them. You’d think these same people would have been dismissed after pushing ivermectin during COVID, but here we are.
taylodl··on One Big Server Is Probably Enough
There's another reason to use cloud: to determine your capacity and actual traffic patterns so you have the information you need to provision your physical server properly. That also allows you to move and implement fast with an eye toward bringing the compute back on-prem.
taylodl··on Why isn't online age verification just like showing your ID in person?
BINGO!!!
taylodl··on The Free Market Is Failing: The Terrifying Reality
I wouldn't say that Democratic Socialism as practiced today plans the future and allows only planned changes. It does appear (I'm an American so my view on this matter could definitely be skewed) to be more risk averse - though I think that's an unintended consequence and not a feature.

Since my original assertion was that markets aren't actually real, it makes sense that fundamental politics plays a far greater role than many people suspect. I would say that Americans should be learning this lesson at this very moment.

taylodl··on Programmers and software developers lost the plot on naming their tools
And forty years ago, I was using a tool called Brief, which was a product from UnderWare. I was also using a librarian named Marian.
taylodl··on The Free Market Is Failing: The Terrifying Reality
The real sin was forgetting "the market" was only ever a model, not reality. We literally confused the map with the territory. Now that underlying reality is changing, and our mistake is thinking the model, i.e. the market, remains unchanged.
taylodl··on Fire-making materials at 400k-year-old site are oldest evidence of making fire
I wish articles such as this made it clearer that "early human" is not homo sapiens sapiens, i.e. modern humans. The most fascinating fact is modern humans have always had fire - because early humans discovered it and passed that knowledge down to us!
taylodl··on How a new Russia-China-US network could work
And the countries they once hated they now love because Trump told them to.
taylodl··on The Bubble Is Labor
It's all fun and games until somebody needs to eat
taylodl··on Rep. Massie Introduces Bill to Remove the United States from NATO
The Constitution doesn’t require a well-regulated militia - it simply says the right to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed. The militia is mentioned as a reason, not a condition.
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