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strken

9,557 karma · joined January 9, 2017

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strken··on Netherlands pulls gold out of the US
In a way, the bond market tracks international central banks' confidence that this will continue to be true. If they lose some of that confidence, their stock of bonds moves from USD to RMB/EUR/JPY/AUD/CAD/SGD/etc.
strken··on Christmas Village shoppers no longer will be allowed to enter booths
Good thing we all had the ADA to protect us from free educational material distributed for cynical reasons.
strken··on Christmas Village shoppers no longer will be allowed to enter booths
They could have, but they didn't, then they got sued, and now kids in Kenya can't watch world-class lectures. Thanks, disability advocates! Thanks, UC!
strken··on Christmas Village shoppers no longer will be allowed to enter booths
They were archival footage of old lectures.

But also, "really cheap" is only cheap when something is done for profit. When it's done as a charitable side gig then pretty much any expense is expensive.

strken··on Christmas Village shoppers no longer will be allowed to enter booths
Why would Berkeley budget for captioning on a series of videos that they're giving to the public for free?

Expecting them to accommodate everyone for loss-making global educational philanthropy is a ridiculous overreach. It has made the world poorer and entrenched the disadvantage of everyone not in the US. Thanks, disability advocates.

strken··on Solving the Jane Street reverse engineering challenge
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9058071/ (if "strong affinity" means "bimodal distribution and I ignore the lower pole")

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38497251/ (if "engineering and computer science" means "IT")

I don't know if it's actually true but the idea is interesting.

strken··on The true horror of Edgar Allan Poe’s stories lies in their confessions
I know that the poster is talking about something that occurs in deep depression, but I don't think Edgar Allan Poe was and I don't think TFA was either.
strken··on The true horror of Edgar Allan Poe’s stories lies in their confessions
Yes, and I'm saying that is clearly suicidality, but I think TFA is talking about something else.
strken··on .name Termination
This doesn't seem like a problem if you exclusively support 3LDs and don't let anyone register 2LDs.
strken··on The true horror of Edgar Allan Poe’s stories lies in their confessions
I have the impression you could be confusing suicidality with the little voice that says "what if I stuck my finger in the candle wax?" or "what if I forgot to put on clothes before going to work?" and only mentions tall buildings once or twice a year.

I'm pretty sure the latter is really common. I've always thought it was my brain generating failure cases for risk assessment. We think "What if I dropped this bottle of water on my lap while driving and crashed?" and then we take more care not to drop it.

strken··on GPT-6 Astra
I think the issue is less about creating a new benchmark and more that the existing benchmarks shouldn't be called anything related to AGI unless they measure AGI.

If a model couldn't go to work as e.g. a first year apprentice plumber on their first day and perform anywhere remotely close to the median, but can pass a benchmark that claims to measure AGI, the benchmark is wrong and the model is not exhibiting general intelligence yet. ApprenticePlumberBench sounds like it's genuinely better than ARC-AGI at measuring AGI and that's a bit silly.

(Edit: I wrote ARC-GIS the first time around, for some silly reason)

strken··on Why humanoid robots won't catch up to human workers any time soon
That seems kind of nuts when you could stick a few solenoids on the pedals and steering wheel, mount the sensors from the head onto the chassis, and skip the need for a humanoid robot.
strken··on Banca Etica Suspends A/I's Account While Condemning the Sanctions Behind It
Is Italy in that list?
strken··on Just Bury Your Trash
I imagine part of what makes it difficult is that people can and do reuse plastic bags. If I reuse a plastic bag 20 times before it breaks then you now have to reuse your cotton bag 3460 times, which is much harder.
strken··on True Rate of Unemployment
One really nice economic factor of the dole is that it disappears at a rate of 50c for each $1 of earnings above $150 and at 60c above $256, so there's no welfare cliff.

This does mean that you're effectively only earning 40c for every $1 you earn in that middle band, but that's still less of a disincentive than just taking the whole payment away above a certain threshold.

I think we could move to a UBI surprisingly easily by giving everyone the dole and then taxing their income a bit more.

strken··on Startup Anti-Patterns
I think the example I gave is a good counterpoint:

- you have a monolith, and it handles normal API traffic patterns

- you have a workload that involves different hardware needs e.g. extremely high throughput relative to the rest of the system (video streaming would be an example), GPUs, high memory requirements with low CPU or vice versa, etc.

Solution is to deploy a service that only handles the specific workload. Whether or not this is a microservice probably depends on your point of view but I'd argue it's at least close.

strken··on Startup Anti-Patterns
Big companies mostly seem to use the microservice(s) per team model. If your whole company is two founders, one account manager, and an engineer, you only have one team.

It can make sense to have more than one service for purely technical reasons. I once worked on a friend's startup where we built a separate ingress microservice so we could scale it independently from our monolith. There's no organisational benefit to doing so, however. The technical founder and the one engineer are hardly going to block each other.

strken··on Are Crows Our Friends?
I believe crows can be more aggressive than ravens, maybe because they hang out in bigger groups rather than pairs. I haven't heard about it being limited to Australia, though.

We only have a couple of species of crow and if you're on the east coast then you're pretty much guaranteed to be seeing ravens. The crows are in the centre and the west coast, in the dry parts.

strken··on Aphantasia Beginner's Guide
I believe some people have aphantasia and hyperphantasia, but a lot of people who claim they have either are somewhere on the bell curve between them.

I also suspect that some of the people who think they have aphantasia could learn. I personally am not good at visualising and don't naturally do it, but these days I can imagine a not very good apple if I try hard, and I trained this by building on my existing ability to imagine the tactile feel of holding an apple and on spatial awareness.

strken··on Anger, Anxiety and Agency
I would describe PIAAC literacy levels 1 and 2 as barely able to comprehend English, and someone who wrote at a corresponding level as barely able to write. They're close to the line of illiteracy, particularly PIAAC 1.

I believe the median person who comprehends English to PIAAC level 3 literacy or above, and writes accordingly, would be more comprehensible than an LLM, if we controlled for correctness and for their own understanding of the subject matter.

strken··on Scrap (2006)
Stuff doesn't need to be clarified unless it's unclear. If stuff is unclear, and someone objects to the lack of clarity, and a clarification is offered, then surely the statement was NOT "fine as written".
strken··on Anger, Anxiety and Agency
LLM speak is of "higher" "quality" to a superficial inspection because it uses big words in a grammatically correct way.

It is worse because it fails to communicate information well. When I say it can barely speak English, I mean that it produces sentences which are incomprehensible on the first few reads. I have never found the median literate native speaker to be so difficult to understand, partly because they use a limited vocabulary and avoid waffle.

It can barely speak English in a new and exciting way, one unlike all the previous humans who could barely speak English.

strken··on Anger, Anxiety and Agency
We're redirecting an increasingly large portion of the world's R&D funding into building data centres to run LLMs which can barely speak English ("Good observation - that's the pivot point. I'll land the load bearing backstop.") and which turn what should be 100 lines of code into 4000.

The end result for me has been that I am now a gatekeeper trying to prevent AI slop making its way into systems which I care about, and failing, and getting dragged into meetings with my boss about how my performance has gone down now that I'm chained to this stupid thing and forced to use it for even the most trivial tasks.

I haven't been this upset with PayPal mafia overlords since crypto.

strken··on Scrap (2006)
Well, no, because in this case the difference between "many", "most", and "all" was unclear and was being used for rhetorical effect to support a contentious point.

You can't just make a broad assertion in support of your views and then complain "oh, I only meant a more narrow version" when people say it's too broad.

Similarly, if someone made an unclear point about meat consumption in support of their argument then it would and should be called out.

strken··on Scrap (2006)
Hang on, no, imagine if someone said "people eat meat" and it was the core part of an argument that people need a minimum of 2 acres of farmland to support their food consumption. It would be important to point out that vegetarians and vegans need less than an acre.

The context matters and blanket statements can be misleading in certain contexts.

strken··on Exercise intensity modulates interorgan communication and is associated with
Yeah definitely! I'm not suggesting exercise is comfortable, just that a 10 minute workout that takes a sedentary person another 20 minutes to recover from has less of a lifestyle advantage over a 30 minute workout that ends with a gentle wind-down.

It might actually be better even after factoring in the recovery time, but I think leaving out the recovery is a mistake when we're talking about public health.

strken··on Remote workers report the highest well-being in study of 7,700 employees
> This is the conflict. WFHers are happy without forcing RTOers to work in the same manner. RTOers are only happy when they force WFHers into the office.

If you work from home and I work from the office, you're forcing me to collaborate with you using remote tools, which is just remote work with a longer commute. In this sense, (some) WFHers are only happy when they force RTOers into Microsoft Teams.

Of course, there's a much better compromise available to us. I could be on an in-office team with others like me, you could be on a WFH team with others like you, and we'd all be happy.

strken··on Exercise intensity modulates interorgan communication and is associated with
What I was thinking is that I'd like to see some research on recovery time, physical impact for the rest of the day, pain after training, productivity on tasks after training, and so on.

My hypothesis is that HIIT and other high intensity training will have a greater effect on the rest of someone's day. I suspect the physical discomfort of keeping your heart rate at 120 for an hour is less than that of almost maxing it out in a handful of one minute intervals.

strken··on Exercise intensity modulates interorgan communication and is associated with
From the public health perspective, zoomed out far enough, motivation and habit are the same thing. You want people to do X; which factors hurt and which help?
strken··on Exercise intensity modulates interorgan communication and is associated with
Reading these studies has slowly convinced me that motivation is a more important factor than optimising a workout.

Yeah, we know that resistance training is wonderful and so is high intensity cardio, but the biggest barrier seems to be motivating people to do something difficult which puts stress on their bodies. I don't feel like I see much research on HN or elsewhere that covers how to make people actually follow health advice.

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