597 karma · joined September 24, 2015
Well... As one of those supposed 10x engineers, that's not quite true
It's true that the intellectual satisfaction is my main driver, but I'm also quite vain. Appreciation and respect (especially from peers, who cares about an All Hands) add juice to the battery.
That's just me though.
E.g. some binomial interval proportions (aka confidence intervals).
It's a tool. The main question should be: is it useful? In the case of AI, sometimes yes, sometimes no.
A product manager can definitely say things that would make me lose a bit of respect for a fellow senior engineer.
I can also see how juniors have more leeway to weigh in on things they absolutely don't understand. Crazy ideas and constructive criticism is welcome from all corners, but at some level I also start expecting some more basic competence.
It makes sense for unclassified to smell worse than good, and it'd probably be the biggest category by a long stretch.
(Pure speculation.)
With all of their claims about how GPT can pass the legal/medical bar etc. I wouldn't be surprised if they're eventually held accountable for some of the advice their model gives out.
This way, they're covered. Similarly, Epic could still build that feature, but they'd have to add a disclaimer like "AI generated, this does not constitute legal advice, consult a professional if needed".
One of the problems is that many of our society's systems are predicated on a growing population. Social security and pensions, for example, are structured not unlike a pyramid scheme: for every old person we should have more than one working young person. People take more than they give. Fixing that will be painful, but possible.
More worrying is how many countries' birth rates have fallen below the replacement rate. Some SE Asian countries are interesting case studies here (Japan, S Korea), but it's not looking good, and much of western Europe is heading in the same direction. Maybe the worry is overblown and populations will eventually stabilize at a lower point, but currently it seems like a declining population will just add to the stressors that are putting people off from having children, so it could just as well keep snowballing.
All that's to say, I don't worry too much about over/underpopulation, but I do worry about a shrinking population.
Great work, app looks great!
If the data you present is low entropy, it'll memorize. You need to make the task sufficiently complex so that memorisation stops being the easiest solution.
I've found some AI assistance to be tremendously helpful (Claude Code, Gemini Deep Research) but there needs to be a human in the loop. Even in a professional setting where you can hold people accountable, this pops up.
If you're using AI, you need to be that human, because as soon as you create a PR / hackerone report, it should stop being the AI's PR/report, it should be yours. That means the responsibility for parsing and validating it is on you.
I've seen some people (particularly juniors) just act as a conduit between the AI and whoever is next in the chain. It's up to more senior people like me to push back hard on that kind of behaviour. AI-assisted whatever is fine, but your role is to take ownership of the code/PR/report before you send it to me.
EDIT: and the movies are pretty faithful to the comic books.
It's a weird combination and sometimes pretty annoying. But I'm sure it's preferable over "confidently wrong and doubling down".
People interpret "statistically significant" to mean "notable"/"meaningful". I detected a difference, and statistics say that it matters. That's the wrong way to think about things.
Significance testing only tells you the probability that the measured difference is a "good measurement". With a certain degree of confidence, you can say "the difference exists as measured".
Whether the measured difference is significant in the sense of "meaningful" is a value judgement that we / stakeholders should impose on top of that, usually based on the magnitude of the measured difference, not the statistical significance.
It sounds obvious, but this is one of the most common fallacies I observe in industry and a lot of science.
For example: "This intervention causes an uplift in [metric] with p<0.001. High statistical significance! The uplift: 0.000001%." Meaningful? Probably not.
For example, something like "running" might get tokenizef like "runn"+"ing", being only two tokens for ChatGPT.
It'll learn to infer some of these things over the course of training, but limited.
Same reason it's not great at math.
*Although it used to be more common for AVI files in the olden days.
Although it seems this needs more research, I'd be wary dismissing it out of hand just because people haven't been having an acute reaction.
If you have mobility, it's worth shopping around for a decent place to work.