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sf_rob

1,571 karma · joined July 14, 2015

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sf_rob··on The Apple Vision Pro’s missing apps
I agree. Granted it's out of my price range for the time being, but a device to make a plane more bearable while giving me a screen that doesn't require craning my neck on the other side would be a huge deal.
sf_rob··on Apple dials back car's self-driving features and delays launch to 2028
Isn't GM ditching phone connectivity in favor of Google Built In (TM)? e.g. they're fine with Google building it if they can upcharge for it.
sf_rob··on Higher vehicle hoods significantly increase pedestrian deaths, study finds
I got in an argument with the Ford CMO on Twitter about this. He said that the F150 has maintained the overall footprint for years, which is true. However, if you super-impose an image of older F150s and newer ones (which I did) you find that the hood is much more "cubic" leading to a higher edge and much worse viewing angle. I believe this is entirely stylistic.
sf_rob··on FTC bans TurboTax from advertising 'free' services, calls deceptive advertising
Typical government product launch website. As far as I can tell, they don’t provide a link to where the service will be available or date of availability despite it being tax season. I guess you are to check back if you’re potentially eligible or sign up for the newsletter.
sf_rob··on Discord is laying off 17 percent of employees
Also these companies are reaching financial maturity. It's going to be the next generation of companies to be trendy/fun/excessive IMO.
sf_rob··on The U.S. added 216,000 jobs in December, much better than expected
The argument for a rate cut is that the effective rate (real rate adjusted for inflation) will increase as inflation subsides and headline rate is held. So the same rate that was pumping the brakes at 7% inflation would be slamming them at 2% inflation.

I agree with your skepticism though.

sf_rob··on Tesla FSD Timeline
They had a marketing demo of a robotic charger a few years ago, but nothing came of it. They also had the demo of full battery swaps before that, but they'd have to change their entire architecture for that to work.
sf_rob··on Python Is Easy. Go Is Simple. Simple != Easy
The interesting experiment would be to make Go startups work in Python and Python startups work in Go :)
sf_rob··on Why doctors in America earn so much
Physicians just have a different utility function drilled into their heads. I strongly disagree with this utility function but they really are trying to strictly maximize health outcomes for their patients. Knowing billing information would be unlikely to change care, so they aren't really interested in learning about it. If it might effect care then they would end up in court one day, because the law shares the same narrowly-defined utility function.

I wish they would, both to "rock the boat" administratively and to empower patients to include price sensitivity in their own choices. They already spend half their time arguing with insurance companies though.

sf_rob··on Why doctors in America earn so much
From my experience as both a patient and a spouse to a general practitioner the opposite is generally true. Doctors are grossly unaware of both costs to patients and insurance eligibility of procedures. They push for the solution that they believe will resolve the issue with the best health outcomes while minimizing their own risks of lawsuits without considering other factors. Next, a faceless bureaucracy on both the medical and medical insurance side of things (few of whom are medical doctors) will slowly spin into motion to maximize profit and minimize costs, all while you have very little recourse/leverage/knowledge to fight the outcome.

I will grant you that in some specialties and smaller private practices what you describing is probably true.

sf_rob··on Google Podcasts to shut down in 2024
A fate worse than death. (Joke but I was a heavy Google Music user before it suffered the same fate).
sf_rob··on Telemetry
If Telemetry is valuable, it's largely valuable to the degree it's representative. Opt-in sacrifices this and even a well optimized opt-in process won't prevent that.

This is not to say that Telemetry should be opt-out, just that you place other justifications ahead of the usefulness of Telemetry (which is fine).

sf_rob··on GM reverses plan to retire Chevrolet Bolt as it chases EV target
If (big if) the EV Equinox actually starts at $30k then it's reasonable to assume that the Bolt will slot under that. Again, big if.
sf_rob··on X, the moonshot factory
My cynical view is that Google's X projects had great value to the company but not in the long-shot asymmetric return sense. X convinced engineers working on optimal ad placement that they were part of something grand and beneficial. Google becoming a financial mature company may be inevitable, but risks alienating engineers who want more meaning in their work, whether that meaning is real or superficial.
sf_rob··on X, the moonshot factory
Even though it came out of X, I don't see how Chronicle could reasonably be considered a moonshot for Google. A cloud-based SecOps suite that emphasizes integration with Google Cloud/GSuite seems like a fairly obvious vertical expansion. That said, I don't know much about SecOps.
sf_rob··on Sennheiser HD 555 to HD 595 Mod
Yes, allegedly demand outstripped supply for the lower core count chips so it was a mix of disabled rejected cores and disabled working cores.
sf_rob··on Hippo Meat Nearly Became an American Food Staple
Even post-implementation, even in a poorer era, dietary preferences are sticky. There are fads in farming, for instance my distant family got into the emu hype of the late 90s and lost a decent chunk of money because there was only a small specialty market that never grew. There's also been bison and alpacas.
sf_rob··on Apple Card’s new high-yield Savings account is now available, offering a 4.15 p
FDIC says the national average is 0.35% for savings accounts; Bankrate survey of banks says 0.24%. Granted this included dinosaurs taking advantage of their customers, but the point is that it's weird to use the maximum to make claims about "market rate". Of major institutions that are trying to compete on rates, it seem to be 4.0% +/- 0.5%.
sf_rob··on Substack Notes Launched
Your post clarified my thinking on this. If I think of Notes as a Twitter clone then I'm upset because, like the parent poster, I want a much narrower subscription-base for long form content than I do short form content. However, if I think of this as merely a short form update from accounts I follow then it's fine.

That said, Substack showing writers adjacent to your subscriptions in Notes makes if feel more Twitter-like in a way that I'm not sure I like.

sf_rob··on Original Prusa MK4
This is good advice. Tinkercad is hardly more difficult than Microsoft Paint and can be easy enough to start doing some basic DIY modeling in an afternoon.
sf_rob··on The EV Transition Is Harder Than Anyone Thinks
Or as King of the Hill (TV Show) says of Phoenix: "This city should not exist. It is a monument to man's arrogance."
sf_rob··on Silicon Valley Bank unmasks the hypocrisy of libertarian tech bros
I think your broader point is generally true and often missed so have an upvote, but in this case the FDIC is going beyond it's stated policy. Demanding that the floor of the FDIC's guarantee be lifted/ignored seems distinctly anti-libertarian regardless of whether it was the right thing to do practically. Draining a substantial portion of the FDIC's insurance program's funds seems anti-libertarian. Refilling that portion through (likely) additional requirements on banks that didn't have these issues seems anti-libertarian.

I guess you could make the broader point that people comfortable with government intervention would have argued for full depositor guarantees, so in some since libertarians are playing the same game but that seems much more tenuous to me.

Per your general point, it was very well written! I like to say that you aren't a hypocrite for playing by the rules of checkers even if you wanted to be playing chess but were overruled.

sf_rob··on AI for developers and Google Workspace
I'm looking forward to seeing some of this make its way to general release, but I'd guess that this post is in the vein of their hurried initial press response to Chat GPT.
sf_rob··on Twitter was down
He seems to be of the belief that Twitter's issues are bottom line not top line. Hiring would require a major shift in belief.
sf_rob··on Twitter was down
Elon's own account is that he's "experimenting" with taking production services offline to cut cost and simplify their code base. Essentially a literal Chaos Monkey. With this in mind, service degradations aren't surprising.
sf_rob··on EV startups from Lucid to Rivian see demand fade, supply chain issues linger
My tinfoil hat belief is that the design was solely to please their investors, an electric Mercedes S Class. Sad because it really is the best designed EV in the market IMO.
sf_rob··on Amazon officially becomes a health care provider after purchase of One Medical
Speaking of this, my employer provided healthcare (Aetna) refused (according to Costco) to fill my existing prescription at Costco after messaging me that they would like to transfer it to CVS (which Aetna now owns). They'll allow it if I call them, but it was jarring.
sf_rob··on Microsoft is now injecting full-size ads on Chrome website
The escalation here (moreso than the size/language) is that there appears to be zero indication that this banner is part of the browser chrome (unlike previous iterations). I believe that it is still technically browser chrome, but the UI is indiscernible.
sf_rob··on Tell HN: DigitalOcean is doing layoffs
You are correct. The FED is not targeting tech workers as implied above; they do not have a granular "toolkit" at their disposal. Although workers in growth industries will be harder hit due to valuations being based on future cash flows.
sf_rob··on U.S. inflation cools again, giving Fed room to downshift on rates
RE 2: As far as I can tell the last strategic reserve sale occurred in mid-November with no sales in December / bids for repurchases being solicited. It's possible that the supply effects continued through December, but it seems a bit tenuous without economic modeling.
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