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seanmcdirmid

38,819 karma · joined January 10, 2012

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seanmcdirmid··on Algorithmic rent-pricing litigation expands under new state and local laws
supply and demand is about as basic as things get, and its never been proven wrong.
seanmcdirmid··on The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations
International control hasn’t solved the nuclear weapon problem, the best we can do is threaten to invade people who try to develop them and don’t already have them. Once you join the club, you are in and cant be kicked out.

I’ve considered that, but the rules of game theory don't change just because they are inconvenient. China has a lot of talent and a lot of problems that they are banking on automation (along with AI) to solve. They see it as an advantage that they can’t afford for America to monopolize and one they are uniquely suited to lean into (having lots of smart educated people). There is no world where (a) China willingly gives up its edge and (b) trusts America to give up its edge (the reverse is likely true also). And that is only one pair of countries to consider.

Heck, after visiting China this summer, I’m even more worried about an accidental terminator/skynet-style robot apocalypse.

seanmcdirmid··on The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations
Assuming China makes progress only because they copy the west is really arrogant. And it would require strict international control as you say, a world government that isn't going to happen anytime soon.
seanmcdirmid··on Lawmakers added $1 to car insurance policies. That money paid for Flock cameras
Stealing an EV battery is harder than stealing a cat.
seanmcdirmid··on The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations
That would be like stopping nuclear weapons. You can totally do that, but the other people in the world who compete with you probably won’t.
seanmcdirmid··on Run Qwen3.8 27B locally: real numbers from my Mac Studio
https://huggingface.co/Jundot/Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-oQ6-fp16-mtp is my favorite right now (and nothing else is even close), you should be able to get 80-90 tok/sec enabling MTP and disabling turboquant. Supposedly the 6-bit quant is essential for decent MTP performance, although I didn’t test the 4-bit quant.
seanmcdirmid··on Smaller reactors bring nuclear power closer to fulfilling its promise
You need to look at where those nuclear plants are being built, in the east, and where the new energy is out west that makes it appear that nuclear is falling behind. Having power generation that doesn’t need to be transported via UHV lines is useful, it also acts as a nice baseline that keeps the grid stable.
seanmcdirmid··on Algorithmic rent-pricing litigation expands under new state and local laws
Buyers bid higher because sellers are giving up their low property tax, not because the buyer will have a low property tax in a decade or two. Sellers are hesitant to sell because they are giving up a lot, California had to pass a special law just to let old people downsize without losing their low property tax on the big home they raised a family in.
seanmcdirmid··on Algorithmic rent-pricing litigation expands under new state and local laws
With rent control, you are limited in how you can increase rent later, so it’s to your benefit to let the apartment sit vacant longer until you get a desirable rent. Without rent control, because you can just increase rent next year by whatever, you can rent it at the market rate right away without waiting.
seanmcdirmid··on Suica, Japan's First IC Transit Card
Oh, now I remember: Tianfu Tong (Chengdu) isnt supported, and I didn’t spend anytime in Shanghai or Beijing on my last trip.
seanmcdirmid··on Run Qwen3.8 27B locally: real numbers from my Mac Studio
128k, 256k is also possible, but my tok/s drops off and the performance isn’t good.
seanmcdirmid··on Australia Bans Generative A.I. From Official Music Charts
It’s totally possible, but would seriously need to not use much parallelism, and definitely not going to use the GPU much. So it would be really slow, but possible.
seanmcdirmid··on Run Qwen3.8 27B locally: real numbers from my Mac Studio
for 3.8? I can get 40 tok/sec on it (M3 Max 64GB), but I don't use it because I can get 90 tok/sec with 3.6 MoE (MTP + 6 bit quant), and I don't notice any quality improvements for my tasks using a dense model.

Did you ask Gemini or DeepSeek to look at your oMLX server log to see what was going on? This can help a lot if it is just a misconfiguration.

seanmcdirmid··on Suica, Japan's First IC Transit Card
Thats interesting, but it seems most subway systems are still QR code based? Anyways, I’ll try to see if I can get that to work next time I go to China.
seanmcdirmid··on Suica, Japan's First IC Transit Card
Thanks, I forgot about. I have an iPhone so didnt have to worry about the incompatibility with Android. If it makes android users feel any better, here in Seattle orca cards can go on android phones but not iPhones.
seanmcdirmid··on Run Qwen3.8 27B locally: real numbers from my Mac Studio
That isn’t right. Use oMLX or something similar to serve the model with internal MTP enabled. You should get at least 40 tok/sec, but I’m not sure what hardware you are using. Dflash will mess up batching, not really worth it. You need to sift through hugging face for the right model though, and some of the MTP models are meant for rapid MLX and not oMLX.
seanmcdirmid··on Suica, Japan's First IC Transit Card
But you should probably just get a suica in your apple or google wallet, you don’t actually need an IC card. I’m not sure if using a phone makes it less fast though, I couldn’t tell (we had to get a card for my kid since he doesn’t have a phone).

Definitely better than the QR codes used by China.

seanmcdirmid··on Air Conditioning Is Not a Luxury, It Is a Necessity
How is that not just better since the power requirements are less? The whole point against conventional ACs and for what we call heat pumps is purely that they use less electricities (well, they can also heat and cool, so you don’t need two systems). People like heat pumps simply because they are more energy efficient. It isn’t guerrilla marketing making people like a new thing that is the same as the old thing.
seanmcdirmid··on U.S. State Department pauses immigrant visa applications
It’s both. You need the visa to enter the country and get the green card.
seanmcdirmid··on Air Conditioning Is Not a Luxury, It Is a Necessity
Heat pumps are just ACs with a lot more energy efficiency. How does that make people hypocrites?
seanmcdirmid··on Nvidia agrees to acquire Hugging Face for $13B
No, what? Did they just do this to make Chinese models harder to acquire outside of China?
seanmcdirmid··on U.S. State Department pauses immigrant visa applications
> So just imagine, having a normal job in the US and you're asked to leave to renew your visa and this stuff happens.

The only way I can see this happening is if you try to convert from OTP to an H1. I used to do some runs up to Vancouver to help a friend do that.

This just generally sucks for anyone making plans in their life. I remember my wife's greencard interview in Guangzhou, and it would have sucked if they instituted this the day before she did that.

seanmcdirmid··on Apple introduces M6 and M5 Ultra
No, I don't care what you think about the devices, and I wouldn't have even bothered replying if it was just criticism. Its comments like "we need to make Apple go away" that piss me off, because you are trying to force your opinion onto everyone else because you don't like that Apple devices exist, hence the "misery loves company" comment. It really pisses me off when people want to take away my choices.
seanmcdirmid··on New Mac Studio with M5 Max and M5 Ultra
No, and at $4000+ per 5090, I'm unlikely to have any experience anytime soon.
seanmcdirmid··on Apple introduces M6 and M5 Ultra
I mean, I can tell you the same thing, to f*ck off. If you don't want to buy Apple products, don't buy Apple products! But don't you dare prevent me from buying them because your butthurt demands that Apple be destroyed because their success makes you uncomfortable.
seanmcdirmid··on New Mac Studio with M5 Max and M5 Ultra
I don't think the $20/month packages come with API access at all.

I bought a refurbished M3 Max a couple of years ago just to try things out, I get 90 toks/s which is good enough for a lot of tasks. But ya, when DRAM prices come back down I'll definitely look for a better local rig.

seanmcdirmid··on New Mac Studio with M5 Max and M5 Ultra
Where are you getting DeepSeek for a few bucks a month? I spend around $3/day on it, sometimes $4.
seanmcdirmid··on Apple introduces M6 and M5 Ultra
This seems to be the favotitr solution for the anti-Apple crowd: make it so no one can buy Apple products. Misery loves company.
seanmcdirmid··on New Mac Studio with M5 Max and M5 Ultra
Sharding a dense model using Tensor Parallelism (TP) across dual RTX 5090s has a significantly worse performance penalty over PCIe than sharding an MoE model.

If you are using multiple GPUs, MoE is basically going to be your only workable choice unless you can leverage pipeline parallelism (only half your GPUs can work on a prompt at a time, so you need to process prompts back to back in a pipeline setup, and they better be doing similar things because your vram is limited).

seanmcdirmid··on New Mac Studio with M5 Max and M5 Ultra
> "if your model can fit into the VRAM" can be true for the Mac as well.

It is much more likely for your model to fit in large unified memory of a Mac than the smaller more limited memory of a GPU. Even going with two 5090s, you now have to shard your model and that is a PITA.

But it turns out that MoE is the solution both for running models on macs of limited computer power means (not as fast as GPUs), and on multiple GPUs that require sharding the model.

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