sbierwagen

>By 1998, Yahoo was the beneficiary of a de facto Ponzi scheme. Investors were excited about the Internet. One reason they were excited was Yahoo's revenue growth. So they invested in new Internet startups. The startups then used the money to buy ads on Yahoo to get traffic. Which caused yet more revenue growth for Yahoo, and further convinced investors the Internet was worth investing in. When I realized this one day, sitting in my cubicle, I jumped up like Archimedes in his bathtub, except instead of "Eureka!" I was shouting "Sell!"

>We weren’t there to rehash prompt engineering tips.

>We talked about context engineering, inference stack design, and what it takes to scale agentic systems inside enterprise environments. If “prompting” is the tip of the iceberg, this panel dove into the cold, complex mass underneath: context selection, semantic layers, memory orchestration, governance, and multi-model routing.

I bet those four people love that the moderator took a couple notes and then asked ChatGPT to write a blog post.

As always, the number one tell of LLM output, besides the tone, is that by default it will never include links in the body of the post.

Fun fact: the two big Puget Sound factories (Everett and Renton) number their hand tools differently. It's true. A socket wrench will be EVT12345 or whatever, and the same tool in Renton will be inventoried differently.

The two factories have very different cultures. Renton does two planes a week, Everett does one plane a month. There was much grumbling during the webinars and retrainings after the Door Plug Incident that all this was being inflicted on us because of the cowboys down in Renton and their maniacal obsession with production rate, something which is not quite so much a focus at Everett.

Great, guys, how about you go ahead and multiply those two numbers for me, since you're the ones writing the fucking spec sheet? It's like if car battery manufacturers only specified a cranking amps number, and told you to figure out cold cranking amps yourself.

Why GPT writing sounds like the median lazy blog post of five years ago is left as an exercise for the reader.

Notably, Luhman 16, which is just 6.51 ly away, but is so dim and in such a crowded patch of sky it was only discovered in 2013: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Luhman_16

I emailed them about eight years ago to ask if an updated version might include recent WISE discoveries, and the reply I got indicated little interest in doing so.

  % du -hcs "/Library/Application Support/com.apple.idleassetsd/Customer/"
  5.1M /Library/Application Support/com.apple.idleassetsd/Customer/
  5.1M total

Fun fact: Deep Blue was a dedicated chess compute cluster that ran on 30 RS/6000 processors and 480 VLSI chips. If the Stockfish chess program existed in 1997 it would have beaten it with a single 486 CPU: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/75dnjiD8kv2khe9eQ/measuring-...

Now that he's president, here come the reprisals. Zero out NSF's funding, shut down NPR, end the COVID era break on student loan enforcement, withdraw grants from Harvard.

And of course it's much worse for a company's published works to not respect branding-- a trademark only exists if it is actively defended. Official marketing material by a company has been used as legal evidence that their trademark has been genericized:

>In one example, the Otis Elevator Company's trademark of the word "escalator" was cancelled following a petition from Toledo-based Haughton Elevator Company. In rejecting an appeal from Otis, an examiner from the United States Patent and Trademark Office cited the company's own use of the term "escalator" alongside the generic term "elevator" in multiple advertisements without any trademark significance.[8]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Generic_trademark

AI will crash the price of manufactured goods. Since all prices are relative, the price of rivalrous goods will rise. A car will be cheap. A lakeside cabin will be cheap. A cottage in the Hamptons will be expensive. Superbowl tickets will be a billion dollars each.

>meager universal basic income allotment

What does a middle class family spend its money on? You don't need a house within an easy commute of your job, because you won't have one. You don't need a house in a good school district, because there's no point in going to school. No need for the red queen's race of extracurriculars that look good on a college application, or to put money in a "college fund", because college won't exist either.

The point of AI isn't that it's going to blow up some of the social order, but that it's going to blow up the whole thing.

One important thing is that the US's response to NK in that book was non-nuclear. They can kill millions of Americans but they are not actually an existential threat. The US did not use nuclear weapons on Afghanistan after 9/11, they used conventional explosives.

Another is that, according to 2020 at least, the North does not have a very robust nuclear command and control communications system, or, being a small country, much in the way of space surveillance assets. They apparently use regular cell phones and commercial imagery.

One of the unfortunate coincidences that kick off the nuclear launch is that the cell phone network is overloaded after South Korea does a missile strike on one of the dictator's residences. From NK's view, missile strikes on official residences and the abrupt collapse of communications, with no reliable information from the outside world, mean that a NATO decapitation strike is underway, so they launch the missiles before they lose them. You wouldn't have the same scenario in the US, simply because we have so many more nuclear weapons and a much longer nuclear command line of succession that a decapitation attack with conventional weapons would take millions of cruise missiles. (North Korea has no backup dictator, while the US has 18 people in the order of succession.)

It starts with North Korea launching two ICBMs against DC and a nuclear plant in California. Interceptors fail and the warheads hit their targets. This is unlikely, but possible. The launch is explicitly irrational, the act of a mad dictator.

In response, the US counterstrikes with Minuteman, despite having perfectly serviceable air deliverable nukes. Russia detects the launch, and the imprecision of their own early warning systems along with North Korea being next to Russia, they conclude that the US is attacking them. They do a massive launch, the US does a massive launch, worst possible assumptions for a 10C nuclear winter, four billion dead.

The only thing I learned from the book is that if you roll 1 over and over and over again, the worst can happen. But we already knew that?

Twenty out of a hundred gens are malformed horrors. Seventy out of a hundred are boring or cack-handed. Nine are interesting and worth exploring. And one out of a hundred I would say the algorithm accidentally produces real art.

Roll that one out of a hundred too many times when you're just starting out, and, well, you end up like me.

Robot run iron mine that sells iron ore to a robot run steel mill that sells steel plate to a robot run heavy truck manufacturer that sells heavy trucks to robot run iron mines, etc etc.

The material handling of heavy industry is already heavily automated, almost by definition. You just need to take out the last few people.

Plausible.

>Markdown

What? Markdown is specifically designed to be the least structured markup format possible, the absolute minimum set of features. Did you mean JSON or something?