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sanswork

4,223 karma · joined March 30, 2008

I run Sanswork which in turn is building/running a few companies currently in Canberra, ACT.

shawn@sanswork.com if you want to get a hold of me away from here.

meet.hn/city/au-Canberra

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sanswork··on Why the global elite gave up on spelling and grammar
Delhi, Ca -> Del-High

Fontainebleau State Park -> Fountain Blue State Park

These were two off the ones that really stood out from my travels.

sanswork··on Roblox is minting teen millionaires
My son has had the local police do a presentation to his class/preschool/daycares about online safety every year since he was 4 so it's pretty drilled in by this point.
sanswork··on Uber is letting women avoid male drivers and riders in the US
The driving factors do exist though in the case of race which make filtering by it unacceptable. SA is common across race, socioeconomic status, etc. There are certainly some argument for some cultures encouraging beliefs that make it more common for them no argument here.

That said filtering out drivers of a certain race is unlikely to make any difference in your risk profile where women filtering out men is likely to make a huge difference in their risk profile.

sanswork··on Uber is letting women avoid male drivers and riders in the US
It doesn't but it contextualises them. An inability to recognise that is a signal.

Have you seen any correlation between socioeconomic factors and perpetrators of sexual assaults?

Recognising that one group commits the majority of certain crimes isn't the issue, as you said it's just stats. The issue is entirely in ignoring other factors.

sanswork··on Uber is letting women avoid male drivers and riders in the US
I understand socioeconomic factors so I just ignore racist talking points.
sanswork··on Uber is letting women avoid male drivers and riders in the US
The US has a pervasive culture of fear. It's a big part of why guns are so popular.

I have had countless discussions with americans about guns that go along the lines of "What happens if (insert extremely rare violent incident) happens?" and they all literally seem unable to comprehend that these are just not things I even think about at all, and they really shouldn't either given how extremely rare they all are.

But a huge percentage of the population does worry about being victimised constantly.

It is the main reason that despite the obvious financial benefits and my love for certain landscapes/areas of the US I've never had the slightest desire to move there.

sanswork··on Uber is letting women avoid male drivers and riders in the US
Are there many assaults on uber passengers because they are white? Are there many assaults on uber passengers because they are women? There is your answer.
sanswork··on Google Street View in 2026
That whole part of Ontario is basically farms with long straight concession roads so I imagine you could cover a lot of area quite quickly just driving in a straight line for a couple hours, turning driving 2 km then turning and driving straight for a couple hours on repeat.
sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
You need enough users for providers to bother making it an option to pay with so it really is black and white. You might get a few niche providers offering it as a payment method without a critical mass of users but most companies aren't going to invest time and effort into implementing a payment system a tiny percentage of users have access too and if I need to trade money with my friends the low % means that in the vast majority of cases they aren't going to have lightning available either.
sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
Throughput depends on users and users are limited by transaction limits is what I'm saying.
sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
No misunderstanding at all.

Go read what I've said again. My timelines are based entirely on each user making a single transaction(opening a single channel).

sanswork··on Zero downtime migrations at petabyte scale (2024)
Basically every large multinational corporation will have a bunch of systems that are used globally. Most advertising companies work on global traffic patterns.
sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
Given the US example that would be several years in the absolute best for lightning case to onboard even 5% of individuals. Lightning is doomed from the start.

And if you don't care about self custody then the overhead of using a blockchain is a waste.

sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
The ability for users to access the lightning network is limited by blocksize since you need transactions to open channels.
sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
It's a clue of what its about but it's not the same as a recommendation that its going to contain something you enjoy.

So every click is a decision on an unknown and that's where the problem comes in. You read the headline now you have a decision to make, is it worth spending money to continue. For longer form media your return on good stuff is going to be at least an hour of entertainment. For news you will almost certainly be done the article in 30 seconds on less. So you decide to click, you read the article, it's good, it's now 30 seconds later and you read the next headline and you have another decision to make, do I pay for this? Thats where the decision fatigue comes in and why it's so quick with this model. Even if it's just a penny you're not thinking well clicking this will only cost a penny, you're thinking do I really want to pay to see what the other side says?

And if you're at the point where you're spending a lot of time on a single source even if it costs more it generally makes more sense just to subscribe since then you are making a single decision once a month.

sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
With books, movies, tv shows, music almost everyone is discovering based on recommendations or curation. Very few people are consuming much of that type of content with no outside input on its quality or interest. News is almost always a blind link with just a headline to work from.
sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
People have been debating the blocksize for a very long time now and there doesn't seem to be any large desire to change it so while the ability to increase it exists changing anything that fundamental about bitcoin seems to be a non-starter and while that is true lightning is pointless as a solution for the masses.

Even if you increase the block size 100x though you're still not improving the numbers much since my very generous numbers ignore activity outside of lightning and assume a single on chain transaction for every user and a perfect network.

sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
Lightning isn't even a good solution for most diehard bitcoin users. It's a failed project.

It would take 27 years to onboard every internet user to the lightning network unless you start adding level 3 aggregators and then at that point you lose all the benefit of it being on chain at all.

It would take almost 2 years just to onboard every American assuming during that time there were zero other bitcoin transactions. Then you need to add the fees for the on and off ramps to the individual transaction fees to get the real cost per transaction noting that these would go up quite a bit as the competition between lightning and non-lightning uses of the transaction space would drive prices higher.

sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
With a movie rental I'm paying $5-30 for a 1-2 hour experience where I have some idea going in of what I'm getting thanks to trailers and I'm making that decision maybe once a fortnight if that.

The scale of the decisions doesn't align.

sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
It isn't with news though. I am a bit of a news junkie and have actually subscribed to multiple news sources over the past year and I can't name a single journalist from any of them and I am almost certainly average in that way.
sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
Great now I need to pay attention to the authors and make a mental mapping of who the good ones are to decide if the friction is worth it. That in itself adds more friction which in turn makes the barrier higher.
sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
archive.whatever links
sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
People already can't be bothered clicking on the paywall busting links to view articles because the friction is too high. Having to decide if something is potentially worth 20 cents seems easy when you have to make that decision in your mind a single time for something you're obviously interested in but in reality it becomes multiple times a day for things that you are maybe only slightly curious about the fatigue will add up very quickly and I double anyone would do a second reload(if they do the first load at all).
sanswork··on Micropayments as a reality check for news sites
Micropayments work for games because there is some specific outcome I know I want and know paying this money will move me closer to that goal in the immediate future.

That isn't the case for news content. In news it's "reading this might be interesting" or being generous "knowing this might improve my life at some point".

That delay in outcome will kill micropayments because it again goes from a very easy calculation in your mind to "too hard" like Clay talked about.

sanswork··on Thinking hard burns almost no calories but destroys your next workout
I tracked intake, calories burned(from Apple watch with activity tracking turned on for any specific exercise) and weight for 12 weeks as part of 75 hard and found my daily weight decreases were exactly in line with what you'd expect given the estimated deficit 95% of days and 100% at the weekly level.

I don't track consistently anymore only when I'm working towards a goal but when I have more than 2 weeks data these days it seems pretty spot on to the point I can calculate the tracked captors to target to get the desired rate of change in weight pretty consistently.

sanswork··on Claude Code is being dumbed down?
Yes, easily. Paying for Claude would be investing that money. Assuming 10% return which would be great I'd make an extra $1200 a year investing it. I'm pretty sure over the course of a year of not having to spend time doing low value or repetitive work I can increase productivity enough to more than cover the $13k difference. Developer work scales really well so removing a bunch of the low end and freeing up time for the more difficult problems is going to return a lot of value.
sanswork··on Claude Code is being dumbed down?
I'd pay up to $1000 pretty easily just based off the time it saves me personally from a lot of grindy type work which frees me up for more high value stuff.

It's not 10x by any means but it doesn't need to be at most dev salaries to pay for itself. 1.5x alone is probably enough of an improvement for most >jr developers for a company to justify $1000/month.

I suppose if your area of responsibility wasn't very broad the value would decrease pretty quickly so maybe less value for people at very large companies?

sanswork··on Oban, the job processing framework from Elixir, has come to Python
For most of the history the main locked feature was just a premium web interface(there were a few more but that was the main draw) that's included in free now and I think the locked features are primarily around most specialised job ordering engines. Things that if you need free you almost certainly don't need. Oban has been very good about deciding what features to lock away.

(I've paid for it for years despite not needing any of the pro features)

sanswork··on AI Adoption Rates Starting to Flatten Out
As someone that uses vim full time all that happened is people started porting all the best features of IDEs over to vim/emacs as plugins. So those people were right it's just the features flowed.

Pretty sure you can count the number of professional programmers using vanilla vim/neovim on one hand.

sanswork··on You can see a working Quantum Computer in IBM's London office
Back in the early 2000s I worked for Cap Gemini in Birmingham England which had a part of the office that was some sort of partnership with IBM GS(I think IBM did the hardware and cap got the services contacts). They also had a big blinkin lights server setup in the middle of the office for clients to see. As a teenage geek in his first tech job I used to love going to peek at it even though I did tape rotation on the real servers in the basement most days.
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