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saimiam

1,230 karma · joined January 4, 2017

https://pretzelbox.cc - Bringing role based access to emails.

E = sai @ pretzelbox DOT cc

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saimiam··on .name Termination
All Indian banks use bankname.bank.in as their domain. I’m not sure who owns bank.in but this is a common suffix which is different from the .co.uk pattern.
saimiam··on GPT-6 Astra
If something at rest is accelerating at 9.8 m/s^2, how long in seconds will it take to reach 10% of c? Answer to the nearest order of magnitude - will it take approximately 1000, 10k, 100k, 1000k seconds?

I’m sure you know this is an exponential growth question but have no intuition of the answer.

saimiam··on California lawmakers unanimously pass Linux exemption from age-verification law
According to UNICEF, globally, Diarrhea causes 444k deaths of children under 5 or ~1200 per day.

Globally, 1.2 million people (all ages) die of diarrhea every year.

India accounts for 120k deaths of children under 4 or roughly one fourth of global D related deaths or 328 deaths per day.

Assuming a similar ratio across all ages, India must account for 300k D related deaths every year of roughly 820 deaths. Not great (obviously) but at least it only accounts for 1/4 of all D deaths, not 1/3rd.

Edit - worth pointing out that India has 1.4B out of 8B humans globally or a little more than 1/6th.

https://data.unicef.org/topic/child-health/diarrhoeal-diseas...

https://www.joghr.org/article/75428-evaluating-india-s-inten...

saimiam··on Startup Anti-Patterns
Such anti patterns are like Nostradamus’s prophecies - you see a company flopping then curve fit a narrative to justify the antipatterns.

How do I, as a founder, know that I am falling into an anti pattern? I don’t believe it is possible to know. You can only “know” in hindsight and that makes these anti patterns useless.

saimiam··on Black hole singularity is a surface not a point
> external point of view

So time is localised? I’m not sure what localised time means but I’m hoping the question makes sense.

saimiam··on Black hole singularity is a surface not a point
Does time accelerate just for the astronaut approaching the black hole (meaning they would be witnessing the future) or does it accelerate for everyone (meaning approaching a black hole is going to make everything end quicker)?
saimiam··on Read the novels and forget everything else
I honestly thought concubine would fit in here to make the joke but without other clues, dismissed the idea. I wonder why the writer picked this as an example of the author’s supposed humor skills. It seems rather contrived.

Even charitably, we’d have to be super familiar with everything the author has written to understand than Heaven could mistake porcupine for concubine.

saimiam··on Read the novels and forget everything else
I got the second one.

Jack’s saying that since he’s a seafarer, navigating by the moon is important. It’s standard British-understatement-as-comedy trope.

saimiam··on Developers are attached to tools because tools encode trust
Just up thread from your comment, someone commented in a positive way on the infinite customisability of vi.

So which is preferable - customisability or very limited feature set?

saimiam··on US citizen charged after GrapheneOS phone wipes during airport search
I think you’re trying to ask the person you are replying to not to use medical terminology to make a point in a catchy way but I honestly have no idea what the Michael Scott segue was supposed to mean.
saimiam··on Terence Tao's ChatGPT conversation about the Jacobian Conjecture counterexample
In my circle, some people certainly thought computers were basically magic.
saimiam··on China sentences official to death for taking $325M in bribes
What does saving face as a collective mean, in your estimation?

When Americans apologise to non-Americans for the behaviour of American tourists abroad, is that collective face saving?

How does a “diverse enough” media diet give someone the “same experience”? Maybe you’re picking and choosing media to reinforce your inner biases?

saimiam··on China sentences official to death for taking $325M in bribes
What, in your estimation, is the difference between saving face in China versus keeping-up-with-the-Joneses in America?
saimiam··on China sentences official to death for taking $325M in bribes
How is the existence of a PR/spin industry, the fact that many Americans live way beyond their means, or the proliferation of influencers whose job is to show a specific story not evidence of a society that values appearances and will do a lot to protect face?
saimiam··on "An AI Job Apocalypse?" – Goldman Sachs Report [pdf]
The demand for Internet was an economic event where the efficiencies it afforded - quick, low cost communication, scale etc - made it attractive.

Other countries had invented the Internet (France, I believe) but it went nowhere.

Other comms technologies have been invented - Iridium satellites e.g. - but they died. Even distributed Internet based systems like Ipfs have the technology but not the adoption.

Technology is a part of the story but the success and spread of the US backed Internet is an economic story.

That the Internet has balkanised into walled gardens is downstream problem of successful products getting shittified until someone steps in a creates an alternative.

saimiam··on "An AI Job Apocalypse?" – Goldman Sachs Report [pdf]
Nowhere did I say that economics = greed is good capitalism.

Economics is fundamentally a study of how human and human society processes self interest.

It tries to find broad patterns in how we process self interest and then supports or subverts those patterns. To build on your example, capitalism reinforces self-interest while communism tries to regulate self interest. Both are economic theories.

Two countries on Dell’s supply chain not wanting to fight against each other is an example of weighing self interest and deciding that participating in a global supply chain is worth more than fighting a war.

saimiam··on "An AI Job Apocalypse?" – Goldman Sachs Report [pdf]
> obsolete sci-fi

Well, living in an AGI world was sci-fi until arguably, we found ourselves in one post 2022.

saimiam··on "An AI Job Apocalypse?" – Goldman Sachs Report [pdf]
If it were all BS, how do you explain success stories like the Internet and the notion that countries on Dell’s supply chain won’t go to war with each other?

Fundamentally, economics is the belief that humans have self-interests and act on them.

Economics is obviously not 100% right - it’s not a physical science - but more often than not, you can see it in action.

Economics is closer to weather science - we can make certain inferences and predictions which can be wrong but the basic working theory is broadly correct, imho.

saimiam··on "An AI Job Apocalypse?" – Goldman Sachs Report [pdf]
7 - what if bots want to fcuk humans?

You’re probably right that many jobs can eventually be done by AI but not on day 1. Between Day 1 of the brave new AI world and Day N, humans will be in the loop doing stuff that other humans will try to automate away ad nauseam. On Day N+1, there’ll be yet another HN question asking what exactly humans will be doing in the Braver Newer AI World.

saimiam··on "An AI Job Apocalypse?" – Goldman Sachs Report [pdf]
1. AI weights managers - people whose job is to optimize model weights to yield highly specific outcomes

2. Agentic tourism - maybe you’ll be able to send your AI agent/robot to visit a place before you decide if it worth your time and investment

3. Vehicular trains on highways where vehicles going to similar destinations coordinate and move as a unit. There’ll be people optimising roads for this. E.g., exit lanes on highways are designed for a handful of cars to exit safely at a time. What if vehicular trains can be thousands of vehicles long like those going to Burning Man?

4. Hallucination historians - people whose job is to document how AI errors have led to changes in the course of history

5. Animal linguistics - people whose can finally study the correlations between how human and animal languages deliver the same information

6. People designing puzzles and challenges to keep AI engaged during routine maintenance

7. S3x workers who specialise in servicing AI bots

8. Cryptographers whose job if to encode content using non mathematical methods because math base cryptography has become a solved problem

9. Interior designers who specialise in humanised decor because everything else is now handled by AI

10. Lawyers who fight cases on AI’s right to participate in the world as equals of biologics

saimiam··on FUTO Swipe – A new swipe typing model
On the iPhone at least, following your instructions, I got anything from ‘feel’ to ‘fell’ to ‘grok’ to ‘felt’.

Is it possible that your keyboard’s particular dictionary knows the words you’re more likely to use and adjusts for it?

Edit - Also got ‘grill’. Notice how the -t in felt and -I- in grill are not near path to L.

saimiam··on AI is code – and can't be prompted into being smarter
fine. Place a log on your own property - equivalent of posting a prompt on your own blog - then leave the gate open (equivalent of posting on the internet) only to have someone drive over that log uninvited and blame you for it.

Is writing a prompt in your blog any different from laying a hunting trap on your own property and catching someone's pet? Are you liable for the pet wandering on your property?

saimiam··on How Japan's railways stayed one while splitting apart
Shouldn’t that extra population in a limited amount of land lead to more demand and better outcomes for rail and roads?
saimiam··on AI is code – and can't be prompted into being smarter
Say I loosen the bolts of your car tires which causes a crash, that’s malware.

Say I lay a log on a road which you can clearly see and avoid but choose to drive over and crash your car, that’s prompt injection.

One is way worse than the other.

saimiam··on Google will pay SpaceX $920M per month for compute
> won’t work

A datacenter (earthbound or space) itself is a fantastical idea until a mix of events and inventions made it feasible to build them to sell compute.

saimiam··on A Man Who Reads Books for a Living
Sounds to some extent like advertising and marketing in a market like India which is still predominantly offline and driven by visibility.
saimiam··on Artificial intelligence is not conscious – Ted Chiang
Not just undergrads. Even folks who believe in astrology or numerology depend on finding patterns in unrelated events to explain human behaviours.
saimiam··on My Students Can't Read
The comment you were replying to was about school kids, not foreign students in post secondary programs looking for work/immigrant visas.

Also, foreign students enrolling in American colleges are (a) here as a result of decades of conscious policy choices (b) provide a not insignificant portion of the operating budget of many institutions (c) would go elsewhere if America wasn’t an option - so you aren’t really gaining much by keeping them out.

Source: former F1 visa masters student here

saimiam··on Leo's first encyclical attacks technological messianism
What would this new system look like that doesn’t involve the trade offs between having cabs on demand if you need them and having a walkable city if you don’t that the person you replied to spoke about?

Uber and friends have indeed democratised giving rides to people - though where I am, a few rich people have bought numerous cars and have daily wagers driving them finding fares via Uber - but at the cost of far more cabs on the road.

Others, notably motorbikes and scooter ride aggregators have emerged to replicate Uber. These motorbike cabs are even harder to regulate than cabs.

Uber, imo, has broken the equilibrium that existed before.

saimiam··on What we lost when we stopped letting kids leave the front yard
I blame apps and products like WhatsApp and Nextdoor. We've created these online means of connection (and conflict) which allows us to communicate without having to actually meet anyone in person.

Absent these forced meetings, parents barely know their neighbors and consequently, their kids barely know anyone even two doors down.

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