1,230 karma · joined January 4, 2017
E = sai @ pretzelbox DOT cc
I’m sure you know this is an exponential growth question but have no intuition of the answer.
Globally, 1.2 million people (all ages) die of diarrhea every year.
India accounts for 120k deaths of children under 4 or roughly one fourth of global D related deaths or 328 deaths per day.
Assuming a similar ratio across all ages, India must account for 300k D related deaths every year of roughly 820 deaths. Not great (obviously) but at least it only accounts for 1/4 of all D deaths, not 1/3rd.
Edit - worth pointing out that India has 1.4B out of 8B humans globally or a little more than 1/6th.
https://data.unicef.org/topic/child-health/diarrhoeal-diseas...
https://www.joghr.org/article/75428-evaluating-india-s-inten...
How do I, as a founder, know that I am falling into an anti pattern? I don’t believe it is possible to know. You can only “know” in hindsight and that makes these anti patterns useless.
So time is localised? I’m not sure what localised time means but I’m hoping the question makes sense.
Even charitably, we’d have to be super familiar with everything the author has written to understand than Heaven could mistake porcupine for concubine.
Jack’s saying that since he’s a seafarer, navigating by the moon is important. It’s standard British-understatement-as-comedy trope.
So which is preferable - customisability or very limited feature set?
When Americans apologise to non-Americans for the behaviour of American tourists abroad, is that collective face saving?
How does a “diverse enough” media diet give someone the “same experience”? Maybe you’re picking and choosing media to reinforce your inner biases?
Other countries had invented the Internet (France, I believe) but it went nowhere.
Other comms technologies have been invented - Iridium satellites e.g. - but they died. Even distributed Internet based systems like Ipfs have the technology but not the adoption.
Technology is a part of the story but the success and spread of the US backed Internet is an economic story.
That the Internet has balkanised into walled gardens is downstream problem of successful products getting shittified until someone steps in a creates an alternative.
Economics is fundamentally a study of how human and human society processes self interest.
It tries to find broad patterns in how we process self interest and then supports or subverts those patterns. To build on your example, capitalism reinforces self-interest while communism tries to regulate self interest. Both are economic theories.
Two countries on Dell’s supply chain not wanting to fight against each other is an example of weighing self interest and deciding that participating in a global supply chain is worth more than fighting a war.
Well, living in an AGI world was sci-fi until arguably, we found ourselves in one post 2022.
Fundamentally, economics is the belief that humans have self-interests and act on them.
Economics is obviously not 100% right - it’s not a physical science - but more often than not, you can see it in action.
Economics is closer to weather science - we can make certain inferences and predictions which can be wrong but the basic working theory is broadly correct, imho.
You’re probably right that many jobs can eventually be done by AI but not on day 1. Between Day 1 of the brave new AI world and Day N, humans will be in the loop doing stuff that other humans will try to automate away ad nauseam. On Day N+1, there’ll be yet another HN question asking what exactly humans will be doing in the Braver Newer AI World.
2. Agentic tourism - maybe you’ll be able to send your AI agent/robot to visit a place before you decide if it worth your time and investment
3. Vehicular trains on highways where vehicles going to similar destinations coordinate and move as a unit. There’ll be people optimising roads for this. E.g., exit lanes on highways are designed for a handful of cars to exit safely at a time. What if vehicular trains can be thousands of vehicles long like those going to Burning Man?
4. Hallucination historians - people whose job is to document how AI errors have led to changes in the course of history
5. Animal linguistics - people whose can finally study the correlations between how human and animal languages deliver the same information
6. People designing puzzles and challenges to keep AI engaged during routine maintenance
7. S3x workers who specialise in servicing AI bots
8. Cryptographers whose job if to encode content using non mathematical methods because math base cryptography has become a solved problem
9. Interior designers who specialise in humanised decor because everything else is now handled by AI
10. Lawyers who fight cases on AI’s right to participate in the world as equals of biologics
Is it possible that your keyboard’s particular dictionary knows the words you’re more likely to use and adjusts for it?
Edit - Also got ‘grill’. Notice how the -t in felt and -I- in grill are not near path to L.
Is writing a prompt in your blog any different from laying a hunting trap on your own property and catching someone's pet? Are you liable for the pet wandering on your property?
Say I lay a log on a road which you can clearly see and avoid but choose to drive over and crash your car, that’s prompt injection.
One is way worse than the other.
A datacenter (earthbound or space) itself is a fantastical idea until a mix of events and inventions made it feasible to build them to sell compute.
Also, foreign students enrolling in American colleges are (a) here as a result of decades of conscious policy choices (b) provide a not insignificant portion of the operating budget of many institutions (c) would go elsewhere if America wasn’t an option - so you aren’t really gaining much by keeping them out.
Source: former F1 visa masters student here
Uber and friends have indeed democratised giving rides to people - though where I am, a few rich people have bought numerous cars and have daily wagers driving them finding fares via Uber - but at the cost of far more cabs on the road.
Others, notably motorbikes and scooter ride aggregators have emerged to replicate Uber. These motorbike cabs are even harder to regulate than cabs.
Uber, imo, has broken the equilibrium that existed before.
Absent these forced meetings, parents barely know their neighbors and consequently, their kids barely know anyone even two doors down.