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raiyu

4,107 karma · joined March 15, 2012

Cofounder DigitalOcean.com @moiseyuretsky
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raiyu··on A follow up to Coinbase being a mission focused company
As they make money on each trade of Bitcoin they are doing quite well financially even if Bitcoin prices aren't shooting to the moon.
raiyu··on Chuck Feeney Is Now Officially Broke
Because the government has such a great track record of collecting tax revenue and then investing it where it is appropriate?

Questions can be raised about some of his specific donations, but when someone gives away $8B of his wealth, spending nearly none on himself, does it globally, influences other billionaires to do the same, picking at any one of his specific donations seems counter productive.

Yes Cornell is an Ivy League school, but it is where he went to school, he probably has very strong ties to that school, perhaps met his wife there, or his business partner, if he chooses to give back to that school that is also good.

Plus there was a tremendous amount he gifted to "education" so without knowing all of the details, hard to imagine that he didn't provide some sort investment in to under represented communities. If he helped Vietnam with their healthcare he obviously wasn't just US centric but helped where he though his donation could have an outsized return.

By the way he gifted a large amount of money to the Obamacare campaign, so by proxy, he was providing healthcare to his workers, and more likely than not.

raiyu··on Nikola Denies 'Fraud' Allegations, Threatens Legal Action Against Short-Sellers
Does anyone have issue with the name of company besides me?

I mean the largest EV manufacturer is Tesla and they name their company Nikola?

It’s like years ago when public companies would rebrand as blockchain companies and see their stock soar.

raiyu··on Apple Terminates Epic Games' Developer Account
It’s not rent because when a mall rents out space to apple they do it by sq ft. They don’t charge them on a percent of revenue. Imagine every mall did that instead.

If its a credit card processing fee that should be 2-3%. With value added services maybe 10-15% but that would be the ceiling.

Apple charges these fees because they can.

raiyu··on Tesla Blown Away as Renault Dominates Europe’s July EV Sales Party
Tesla had a massive head start and with something like cars where there are so many preferences it’s impossible for one manufacturer to own the entire space.

However the article is a bit click-baity as it was really about a decrease in sales for Tesla due to the pandemic, not because someone else outsold them.

raiyu··on My speculations writing a coding platform in 8 weeks as a highschooler
Great job!!!

In regards to DigitalOcean's load balancing other providers often have a free tier so they have to have a version of load balancing (or routing) built out to direct requests to containers that are spun up to execute your code. With DigitalOcean it's for running deployment apps and we currently do not have a free tier. As such the load balancing there is really meant to distribute load either for redundancy or because a single Droplet is no longer efficient at handling the level of traffic you are receiving.

So that $10/mo load balancer gets you a dedicated pair of DigitalOcean load balancer droplets that are just yours and no one else's and can be configured for load balancing. You need a pair, because if one goes down, that is where your traffic is routed so your site would be offline. So by having two you get redundancy immediately.

I would say that unless you have a significant amount of traffic load balancing isn't really necessary.

And while redundancy is great, remember that anything you add, adds technical complexity, and also introduces other failure states. So while it does at redundancy it also adds overhead of management as other services can now fail.

raiyu··on Modeling a Wealth Tax
Haven’te we heard less of friends and family rounds because there has been an exponential increase in seed funds?

People got wealthy invested into funds or started funds and are now committing capital back.

Having a hard time raising money is an issue but that’s because 90% of companies fail. As such that is too risky for a bank to lend into so you need to go to other segments.

raiyu··on Modeling a Wealth Tax
Property taxes allow people to see the direct benefit immediately. As an individual you get control over taxes to an extent through purchases. And because the federal government misspends half of the taxes it collects so instead of giving them more give them less but pay more in taxes directly to the states.
raiyu··on Modeling a Wealth Tax
The problem isn't the wealth tax but about creating a taxation system and monetary policy that actually helps people.

There is this false assumption that a wealth tax will somehow eliminate wealth inequality.

If you have an already broken economic system you will end up with more money in a broken system and it won't yield better results for the average person.

But this is about marketing and "winning" not about progress.

If you want to actually help people you should start with property taxes.

Increase them to 10% on a sliding scale as property values move further away from the median price of a home sold in a state or city.

This would discourage multiple home ownership, it would drive tax revenue that stays inside of the local community (state level) rather than creating a larger budget for the military. You could use those taxes to improve education and local infrastructure. Impose a system where those collected taxes are then redistributed on an economic basis where the poorer neighborhoods receive a larger percentage of those local taxes.

If you buy a $2M house in just 10 years you would have paid $2M in taxes. By increasing the carrying cost of property you will also reduce property prices as this is no longer an asset that you carry with zero cost.

To further improve the cost of housing make sure that there is a 100-200% tax on foreign buyers buying property in US markets. This will again drive down prices and help people afford houses.

Unlike paying into a large federal tax system where the effects are harder to observe you would see improvements on the local area immediately. Property prices would decrease, poorer neighborhoods would be helped which would lead to a reduction in crime and poverty levels, and your infrastructure that has been classically underinvested will receive more funding.

Low property taxes also lead to higher costs of tuition. By also removing the inability for people to get out of student debt through bankruptcy you would also decrease the price of education. And if we used the additional tax revenue from property taxes to create additional "vocational" schools for the new economy such as computer programming programs you can help people get ahead.

If you want people to be civicly minded you have to show them how their taxes have an impact and that starts at the local level first.

raiyu··on CEO of Uber: Gig Workers Deserve Better
I think that's where regulation comes in rather than taxes.

Think of it like this if I'm in an industry and polluting the river. Do you want to raise taxes on me so that I stop polluting, or do you want to just make that illegal?

When there are things that completely don't make sense I don't think taxes are the solution.

If I can buy a house which costs more than education in a lot of cases with a mortgage and then declare bankruptcy and not have the mortgage follow me for the rest of my life why can't I do the same with a student loan? Taxing the student loan companies won't solve that.

Similarly for the large disparity in prices for healthcare for out of pocket vs through insurance.

raiyu··on CEO of Uber: Gig Workers Deserve Better
The things that affect me most directly in life are education, health and housing.

Neither one of these is getting fixed by simply increasing tax revenue alone.

When I goto the hospital and get an MRI and get billed through insurance and the cost is $2,000 and out of pocket I can pay $200 for the same procedure that looks like legalized fraud.

The same can be said for education. When the majority of student loans are given in such a way that a student can't default out of it, it reduces the risk on the lending party and so they give out a ton of cash and prefer the interest payments later on which raises the price of education.

Property taxes are also inherently low and should be raised and redistributed to lower income neighborhoods especially when so much property is already in the hands of the wealthy.

I would love to see higher property taxes because I have more faith in local governments than the larger bureaucracy.

raiyu··on CEO of Uber: Gig Workers Deserve Better
This whole tax the billionaires is misguided and won't solve anything.

- US Population 2000: 280 Million - US Population 2020: 320 Million - +15% increase in population

- Tax revenues 2000: $2.03 trillion - Tax revenues 2019: $3.50 trillion - +75% increase in tax revenue

Population grew 15% and tax revenue grew 75% and yet we still can't solve any of the real problems we had since 2000. So what is increasing taxes going to do if we already collect 75% more and can't make a dent.

Now let's say you tax the billionaires: - Jeff - $200B - Larry & Sergey - $130B - Bill Gates - $120B - Zuck - $100B - Warren Buffet - $80B - Larry Ellison - 71B - Elon Musk - $70B That's $770 Billion - let's say we double this for the remainder of billionaires to $1.5 trillion and add in a 70% tax.

$1.5 trillion in wealth = $1.05 trillion in year 1

Now what about the following year? Well you reduced their wealth substantially so now you only have $500B and that would only yield $350B in tax revenue the following year.

$350B in tax revenue year 2.

And there after it basically trickles down to nothing.

So you end up with a total of $1.5 trillion and then nothing. Well that $1.5 trillion is 42% increase over what we have today, but remember that tax revenue already increased 75% and we still couldn't get anything right.

So while it may sound good to say tax the billionaires the reality is if we couldn't figure out how to spend the additional $1.5 trillion from taxes between 2000 and 2020 a one-time 2 year increase of $1.5 trillion won't do much because the underlying system is broken.

raiyu··on An Inside Look at CloudKitchens
Pre-covid 90% of my meals were delivery. Though to be fair I typically only did one order per day.

Post-covid certainly have been doing most of the cooking at home.

Now it's probably 50/50 depending on the week.

raiyu··on An Inside Look at CloudKitchens
This is true and has been going for most of the recovery post 2010.

However with the pandemic and a significant amount of people moving out of the city, coupled with retail closures and bankruptcies hopefully this rent gouging will come to a natural end.

The NYC real estate market is going to shed quite a substantial amount of value over the next 3-5 years and very likely prices will drop considerably. Perhaps 30-50% especially at the high end. The lower end will be a bit insulated because of demand and also because the prices there haven't seen as much of a run-up as the higher end apartments.

raiyu··on Introducing Instagram Reels
They weren't a Snapchat killer but they immediately cut off future growth and stalled it out for a solid 2-3 years.

You don't have to kill the competition in social to win, you just need to stop their growth. They can retain some percentage of users but if the growth is stalled out and you are dominate them in 5:1 marketshare it's as good as dead.

raiyu··on Tesla touchscreen wiper controls land driver with fine after crash
Touch screens are horrible for frequently used controls in cars.

Any car you are in is traveling with kinetic energy, so it is likely to bounce and move around over the road surface. Without a physical button to rest your finger on it's nearly impossible to get something on the first "touch" unless you are standing still.

Yes it looks cool, and yes it's fun to play with on a red light, but using any of these touchscreens even at 50 mph is nearly impossible.

Made much worse if it's a sports car and has a bit of a stiffer suspension.

One step forward, two steps backwards.

raiyu··on Apple reports Q3 results
Same. Amazing how well it’s held up.

I did need to do a repair on the motherboard as it stopped charging but one repair after 7 years is crazy.

raiyu··on U.S. prosecutors seek 27 months imprisonment for former Uber self-driving head
That is absolutely true. But given that a competitor did pay for those assets, literally, then a market value for those assets was established.

If he had stolen the IP, and the acquiring company decided to pay $0 for it and not take it, then your assessment would be correct.

But a company decided that those assets were worth north of $100MM and paid for it.

raiyu··on CEOs Mark Zuckerberg, Tim Cook, Jeff Bezos,Sundar Pichai Testify Before House
Ahh !! ok.

I just wanted to make sure that it was purely for entertainment and I wasn't missing something about the bigger picture here. =]

raiyu··on U.S. prosecutors seek 27 months imprisonment for former Uber self-driving head
Fair point, but the penalties for white collar crime are still very lax even when "everyday" people are affected. Look at the last recession which led to many "average" american families losing their homes. That wasn't possible without fraud especially the ratings agencies that were giving out false ratings and still no one went to prison.
raiyu··on CEOs Mark Zuckerberg, Tim Cook, Jeff Bezos,Sundar Pichai Testify Before House
I don't understand why everyone gets so excited of this dog and pony show. The executives show up before congress, they get grilled with a bunch of questions, but what is the real change that comes out of this process?

I could certainly be very wrong, but this just seems like a circus act. Everyone is going to express their outrage but will there be an real change?

Will Apple have its 30% cut of app-store sales changed?

Will google stop showing google results at the top?

Will google be forced to actually not show ads on trademarked brands for their competitors?

raiyu··on U.S. prosecutors seek 27 months imprisonment for former Uber self-driving head
White collar crime vs blue collar crime.

White collar crime steal $179MM of assets and get 27 months of home arrest.

Blue collar crime rob a bank to steal $10,000 and spend 10 years in prison.

raiyu··on A Surprise AWS Bill
They over charge.

Their cost is less than .01 cents per gb and look at their published pricing for customers.

And I’m including networking equipment as well as head count in my cost, not just the cost of pipes.

raiyu··on Launch HN: Reploy (YC S20) – Instant fullstack staging environments for web apps
You should double check your link to your Twitter account on your homepage as twitter says the account is suspended.
raiyu··on Ford’s electric car engineers go crazy with 1,400hp Mustang Mach-E
You can make electric cars very fast if don't mind that they can run at full throttle only for a few minutes ;)
raiyu··on Volunteer for coronavirus Phase 3 vaccine studies
It basically means they are just giving you the vaccine and as part of the study they will not be exposing you to Covid-19 on purpose.
raiyu··on Lessons from the awkward life and death of the Segway
The segway failed because of product market fit.

As a product it was very interesting, but it had pitfalls. It wasn't exactly clear where to store it. The people who saw it all had houses and garages, but for the everyday user in the city hard to figure out where you would put it after each use. Even bicycles are challenging to store in NYC, which is why Citibike is interesting.

The second problem and much larger was the price point. If you want something to succeed you have to price it so that you can gain mass appeal. The $5,000-10,000 price point is a dead zone. As consumers we almost never spend this amount of money.

We spend hundreds of dollars all the time.

We spend a thousand or two thousand dollars infrequently, but we do it. Computers, vacations, some furniture.

But when you get to $5,000+ that is a price we pay very rarely. It is actually more common to find something more expensive, such as $10,000+ for a car, then to find $5,000. As a result it was hard to figure out where that price fit in.

Also, no one thought of subsidizing the cost. With the iPhone, it's expensive, but you have the carrier to subsidize the cost and more importantly create a monthly payment plan. If you could at least convert $5,000 to some sort of monthly fee that would help.

So what they really failed at is distribution. In fact if they planned around distribution they could have actually jumped on the entire citibike, jump, etc market before it ever existed.

It would also mean that customers wouldn't need to pay $5,000 out of pocket and instead could pay per use or a monthly fee.

Often people discount distribution when it comes to product market fit and failures.

Lastly, riding a bicycle is rather awkward. Think about learning it as a kid. It's counter intuitive. A bike can't stand on it's own, you have to pedal to go, if you stop it falls over. Though it is extremely unintuitive, it is cheap, you can try it, it has a culture, and is a rite of passage. So we learn this behavior even though it doesn't make sense.

The Segway is also counterintuitive in some ways. Looking at people riding them, never gives you a sense of confidence. There are also plenty of videos of people falling off of them, similar to bicycles.

But with a much higher starting point you aren't really tempted to try it, or even have access to one to test it out to see if it becomes intuitive or not.

Lastly, our cities aren't designed for this type of commute. People drive, they can take the subway, but the number of people that commute outside of that on bicycles is small in the US. In Europe like in Amsterdam, the Segway takes up more space in a lane than a comparable bicycle, so it really wasn't an improvement. And since Americans aren't used to bicycles they though oh wow this is great! Europeans were like for $50-$150 one time I can have a bike that lasts forever, doesn't require charging, takes up less space, and I already own it.

raiyu··on 'Street Fighter II' Wasn’t Just a Game, It Was a Portal
I think you hit the nail on the head. I grew up with Street Fighter and never really connected the dots as to why I love the game so much.

Sure it had pretty good graphics for the time, and gameplay was great as well.

But the real differentiator was the ability to "compete" with other people.

Not just compete, but the fact that you plopped down 25 cents and within 3 minutes one of your lost. At the time we didn't have much money, so 25 cents per game play was quite a lot. So it really came down to being great and trying to beat as many people as possible so that your 25 cents could last longer.

It was probably my first real memory of truly being competitive at life.

raiyu··on Rackspace S-1
No comment =]
raiyu··on Markets, Rent and WFH
A lot of companies didn't take remote work seriously. They used it for small teams and specific areas but as the pandemic forced everyone to adopt WFH and remote every company has had to become efficient at it.

I think a lot of the survey is accurate. There will be a lot of people that decide to permanently relocate. It's already visible in the market data from rent because even as people are considering leaving, the second side of the equation is that people have stopped moving in.

These two factors together will create a shift whereby for the next two years rents will drop, however after that, as the world moves forward and recovers, SF will ultimately rebound as other metro areas as well.

This will be a short term solution, to a long term problem, in that there isn't enough housing supply in SF for the next decade unless this trend is permanent, which I don't believe that it is.

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