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psyklic

2,230 karma · joined May 24, 2008

I am interested in AI, mathematics, and programming languages. Co-founded Hyphos (social discovery/dating), coded numerous startup products, teach & consult in AI/ML, and am a Caltech alum.

website: https://danwil.com/

email: dan@<website>

submissionscomments
psyklic··on CDC staff 'blindsided' as child vaccine schedule unilaterally overhauled
Huh? As I mentioned, it has always been a requirement for students to get vaccinated to attend school. My point still holds that if not for this requirement then we'd be below the critical threshold, whether it's 95% or slightly less.
psyklic··on CDC staff 'blindsided' as child vaccine schedule unilaterally overhauled
How many deaths are acceptable to say we can "handle" an illness?

Public health requires over 95% vaccination. There has never been a realistic path to that other than requiring students to be vaccinated to attend school. Without that requirement, even well meaning parents forget or may not make it a priority.

It's not fair for kids and others vulnerable in society to die because certain parents are ignorant.

psyklic··on CDC staff 'blindsided' as child vaccine schedule unilaterally overhauled
Infants have rights too. It's against the law for a "seatbelt skeptic" not to put their kid in a safety seat.
psyklic··on High school student discovers 1.5M potential new astronomical objects
Mentorships are simply how most junior scientists get started. Even in grad school, most students initially take on projects their advisors have pre-qualified as interesting.

To make high school-level competitions more fair, we should likely prioritize access to researchers for all smart, hard-working high schoolers rather than only those who are nearby a university or have wealthy parents.

psyklic··on Boring is what we wanted
RAM too. They want +$1K to go from 64GB to 128GB, with no other spec changes. It's a way of segmenting the market -- those who actually need it are willing to pay a lot more (e.g. for AI / 4K videos).
psyklic··on Pre-record your demos
When I'm shown a pre-recorded demo, I suspect the product isn't very robust.
psyklic··on Show HN: Software Freelancers Contract Template
Nice job! As a US-based consultant, I've found it's always best if you immediately suggest a contract. This way you can ensure it starts with terms favorable for you.

I've also found it's pedagogically helpful to have two versions of each contract, a consultant-favored and consultee-favored. This way you can understand how each clause may be tweaked to benefit each party. For example, this book does this (US-based): https://www.amazon.com/Consultant-Independent-Contractor-Agr...

psyklic··on South Korea's President says US investment demands would spark financial crisis
Also Trump asked to direct where the investment goes himself. It looks more like a gift than an investment.
psyklic··on We regret but have to temporary suspend the shipments to USA
Sure, let's suppose they go down some. For the same reasons you'll still end up paying more for the same Chinese products, which will raise domestic prices.
psyklic··on We regret but have to temporary suspend the shipments to USA
In actuality, the Chinese company can't half their prices. So instead of paying $0.50 for a Chinese bolt, consumers now will pay $1.00.

Unfortunately the US bolts will not be plentiful enough. They'll also have to import steel to meet new demand, increasing their price. So ultimately you'll still buy the Chinese product but it will now cost double the price -- $1.00 after tarrifs. Hence the price of everything that has a bolt will increase.

psyklic··on At 17, Hannah Cairo solved a major math mystery
If you don't know the foundations well, you don't belong in a postgrad program. That's the reality and how it currently works. Undergrad teaches you those foundations.

Anyone can try doing research, even undergrads who half-know the foundations. However, trying research doesn't mean you have the background to do great research or to succeed in a postgrad program.

psyklic··on At 17, Hannah Cairo solved a major math mystery
I'm not sure that's a simple argument and can't imagine many would agree.

Undergrads who do research generally aren't very good at research yet. A major reason is they either lack or don't fully understand the pre-reqs, which they progressively and cumulatively learn during undergrad. A student can be incredibly smart, but acquiring a strong rigorous math background will still take years.

psyklic··on At 17, Hannah Cairo solved a major math mystery
Undergrads who care about learning and research will take the most challenging classes, do research with professors, and surround themselves with other strong students who will push them.

Even at top universities, very very few freshmen are capable of doing high-quality research immediately. They'd be better served learning the foundations inside and out with a cohort of similarly strong students to challenge them.

psyklic··on The half-life of tech skills
Learning a specific technology for a single project may have a short half-life. However, good coders aren't defined by tech knowledge, but by their deep understanding. If you can make great presentations in Powerpoint, everyone knows you'll still make good presentations in Google Slides.
psyklic··on I know genomes and I didn’t delete my data from 23andMe
This is like saying if you have nothing to hide, you should consent to police searches. What is found only provides more possibly coincidental evidence to use against you (just as DNA provides evidence about your potential health).
psyklic··on The role of the University is to resist AI
The article's main point seems to be that students cheat with AI; hence, universities must "resist" AI to preserve critical thought.

Although universities are certainly against cheating, the responsibility has always been on the student not to cheat. Universities do not oppose useful technologies simply because they may be misused for cheating.

Put another way, the role of a university is to "discover and invent the future." In this light, universities will be more interested in developing AI than so-called "resisting" it. This is especially since it has already yielded breakthroughs in science, e.g. a Nobel Prize in Chemistry for protein prediction.

psyklic··on Ask HN: Am I old?
It's the same with math -- those with a deep understanding will be able to do it by hand.

Everyone else will take the easy route -- higher immediate productivity but overall capable of less.

psyklic··on Ask HN: What are you working on? (May 2025)
Nice work and blog! You might consider crossposting some blog entries to LessWrong for more visibility of your research. People are very interested in new ideas on benchmarking.
psyklic··on Secret Deals, Foreign Investments: The Rise of Trump’s Crypto Firm
Removing crypto regulation only benefits those at the top and scammers, since it gives them one-sided control of the market with few consequences. Which is exactly what's happening.
psyklic··on How the U.S. became a science superpower
In everything, there is some low-hanging fruit that yields an impactful outcome for minimal spending.
psyklic··on Pen and Paper Exercises in Machine Learning (2022)
Good news -- if you're not interested in extending state-of-the-art and simply want to call APIs, you don't have to learn ML deeply.
psyklic··on The NIH is being slashed and burned, not "reformed"
As of Feb 18, WaPo says merely 14% of US adults overall support pardoning people convicted of violent crimes (and only 32% of Republicans).

For nonviolent pardons, 42% overall support it (and 76% of Republicans).

[1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/02/20/trump-pol...

psyklic··on Ask HN: Who has settled disputes in court, and won economically?
You likely don't know anyone because there is luck involved in success. Having to initiate a lawsuit would mean you are very unlucky.

For example, maybe your business partner fraudulently took most of the shares for himself despite a written equal equity split. Here, you can either sue or just walk away and give him your shares.

Keep in mind that "successful" people are incentivized to say all lawsuits against them are unfounded and they are merely the "victim". Why assume they are telling the truth? It's at least as likely that they had something to do with causing the lawsuit.

psyklic··on Ask HN: Who has settled disputes in court, and won economically?
You can win economically, especially if it's a slam dunk case and hence get a lawyer on contingency. That said, it can take a long time to resolve which can prolong any stress surrounding it. And even if the other party is clearly, obviously at fault, they may spread falsehoods about you and the case. Especially if this is done in private, it's practically difficult to do anything about.
psyklic··on Ask HN: Examples of O1 pro DeepResearch proving its worth?
Stratechery just published detailed specific examples of when it's useful and not: https://stratechery.com/2025/deep-research-and-knowledge-val...
psyklic··on Ask HN: Is anyone doing anything cool with tiny language models?
JetBrains' local single-line autocomplete model is 0.1B (w/ 1536-token context, ~170 lines of code): https://blog.jetbrains.com/blog/2024/04/04/full-line-code-co...

For context, GPT-2-small is 0.124B params (w/ 1024-token context).

psyklic··on TikTok says it is restoring service for U.S. users
The President can offer pardons for criminal matters. However, he is required to uphold laws passed by Congress, particularly bipartisan ones affirmed by the Supreme Court.

For example, why would the President have a veto power if he can simply post-facto ignore laws they pass?

psyklic··on I deleted my social media accounts
No? Simply look at Elon's X account. And that's the point - if there's "controversy" then it doesn't get noted, falsely implying it's true.
psyklic··on I deleted my social media accounts
Another major issue is that if enough people believe/support a lie, it doesn't get noted. So in practice, you end up having "official" lies that go un-noted, making them appear true.
psyklic··on Ending our third party fact-checking program and moving to Community Notes model
Not seeing fact checks likely means it's working: "Once third-party fact-checkers have fact-checked a piece of Meta content and found it to be misleading or false, Meta reduces the content’s distribution "so that fewer people see it.""

The issue with Community Notes is that if enough people believe a lie, it will not be noted. This lends further credence to a certain set of "official" lies.

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