projectazorian

The Econ 101 view would say yes, note most countries haven't imposed 1:1 retaliatory tariffs.

But economic considerations are not the only ones. Opposition to the American Revolution is a fundamental theme in Canadian history. People shouldn't be surprised when Canada acts accordingly.

These are the same rural areas rapidly turning against the administration due to its trade policy destroying global demand for their products, its foreign policy funding their international competitors, and its environmental policies lowering their land value by discouraging wind power development.

Certain rural areas like northern Idaho may be dominated by people moving there for ideological reasons, but this is not the norm.

Most of the people the admin wants to remove are not eligible for ESTA in the first place.

> No, you attended public school and someone had you memorize "due process" in 3rd grade and you never were taught what it meant.

It seems like at your school they didn't mention habeas corpus or Magna Carta? Maybe it sounded too scary and foreign?

This is risible. "Sending them home" requires arrest and detention. Article I, Section 9, Clause 2 of the US Constitution grants people the right to contest their detention in court. So far, the administration hasn't formally suspended habeas corpus, despite what Stephen Miller may assert on TV.

> Since nobody is protesting now

Not the case, there are quite large protests, one is this weekend I believe.

As for disappearances, ICE is already doing that. Although in Chicago their attempts to disappear people are going increasingly poorly, since ICE's appearance in a neighborhood now typically draws dozens of people onto the street to protest.

> Remember Steven Crowder complaining that 50 million dollars was too little - but where is he now? He's irrelevant.

To be clear, his career imploded when he got caught on camera abusing his wife. It's not like he ended up on the wrong side of a power struggle.

And it's worth noting that as of last month he's now the #1 right wing influencer on Youtube. (The reason why he's now in that spot is left as an exercise for the reader.)

> What I want to know is: why would anyone else bother staying given these new rules?

Being a toady often has career benefits - and at least on the right it's often lucrative to boot. I mean, look at how Hegseth got his job.

The status quo is that they have access credentials, which presumably come with some sort of vetting. So a "foreign agent" showing up and impersonating a reporter is unlikely.

I've visited the White House a couple of times and even setting foot on the complex as a visitor requires a background check, I assume the Pentagon functions similarly.

> had a serious alcohol problem and is now somewhat relapsed

I assume you meant lapsed - Freudian slip, maybe? ;)

> I find LLM generated code ends up pushing review/maintenance burden onto others. It "looks" right at first glance, and passes superficial tests, so it's easy to get merged. But then as you build on top of it, you realize the foundations are hastily put together, so a lot of it needs to be rewritten.

This describes most projects I've been on where there wasn't a thorough RFC process?

Where I'm seeing the sweet spot right now:

1. Have a detailed RFC

2. Ticket out the work

3. Feed the RFC and ticket to the LLM via MCP

4. Have your refactoring and design patterns textbooks close at hand so you can steer the LLM properly when things start to get messy. "DRY this out" or "implement this using X pattern" tend to be highly effective prompts

5. Use agents or other LLMs to review code for RFC compliance, test coverage, etc. (this isn't as effective as I'd like it to be right now, skill issue probably)

6. When there are bugs, force the LLM to do TDD - say "We're observing a bug in production, here are the reproduction steps, write a failing test that covers this code path." Obviously check that the test is a real test and not slop. Then, prompt the LLM to fix the isue.

The US combat fitness standard is a 155lb 3-rep max deadlift. That's trivial for every woman I know who lifts.

Unless you are an elite athlete I assure you that there are many women out there who can lift more, with better endurance, than you or I.

If I had to choose to be in a foxhole with a fit 20 year old woman or a flabby 35 year old man, I'm choosing the woman every time. (Even the new, stricter, US military fitness standards are not that hard to meet for either gender)

I tend to agree, but worth considering that Britain would probably not have banned slavery when it did if it still controlled the southern US.

Ironically the US uses fentanyl for palliative care instead due to prohibition.

> Even if it was legal, cocaine would be impossible to get that cheap, unless some DNA editing is done to make yeast shit it out maybe.

Not as cheap as sugar, but probably as cheap as coffee. Coca and coffee grow in the same climates, and in recent years the cartels have bred varieties of coca that grow outside of the traditional climate as well. Imagine what modern agribusiness would be capable of.

> most doctors are just quacks, who throw hypothesis on the wall, to see what sticks.

This is the argument that actual quacks leverage to handwave away all of modern science and medicine in favor of whatever vibes-based nonsense they're selling, fyi. Creationists love using this one as well.

> It kind of proves it is a scam. You tried it, it did not work. But for some reason you lived experience is invalid, and you should keep trying again and again!

This is like saying dating is pointless because you dated a half dozen people and didn't end up marrying any of them. (That attitude is also increasingly common these days I've found, maybe because we've all been spoiled by the conveniences provided by the internet and modern consumer capitalism.)

Correct. And even if you've identified whatever changes need to be made, that doesn't mean you're ready to quit therapy. Often the required changes are difficult and emotionally challenging!

BTW, I think a lot of the HN cynicism on this subject comes from how psychotherapy is practiced in California specifically. California has a separate licensing system from the rest of the country and doesn't allow eg. teletherapy from therapists in other states. As a result I found that therapists in CA were more expensive, more difficult to access, and significantly lower quality than I've experienced elsewhere. I've heard that regulatory reforms might be on the way though, hopefully that happens.

> My friends in the midwest say that there's actually exemptions on tariffs when it comes to buying the manufacturing equipment itself, to avoid the issues you're talking about.

This is a massive hand-wave and only applies to companies that have an in with the administration. If you're a small/medium-size business that doesn't have a budget for "government relations," or you're in a field like renewable energy or EVs where the admin doesn't like the vibes? Too bad for you.

> Those same friends expect purchase amounts to increase once America starts producing more on its own.

Yes they will, and aggregate output will decrease because producers are now spending more money on worse domestic substitutes for foreign products. Also, you're now shoveling corporate welfare to those new domestic producers, so they have no incentive to step up their game and innovate. (If you want an example of this look at the consistent failure of US automakers to compete globally, because tariffs incentivize them to optimize for building pickup trucks domestically.)

Import substitution has been tried many times before, it doesn't work.

Yeah, I never go to Starbucks at home, but frequently do on the road. Much of this country is still a wasteland when it comes to good coffee and Starbucks reliably has adequate quality coffee and clean bathrooms.

Yes

Fascists tend to downplay that part of their ideology until they're in power. Even the Nazis did this to some extent.

The EDL is basically a union of street thugs, fascist politicians who split off from the BNP, and political opportunists like "Tommy Robinson".

Fascist is an accurate enough term for their politics, the stated political positions may not align 100% to historical fascism, but given all the fascist associations most objective observers would say that's likely to be a product of political positioning rather than any genuine ideological differences.

> if such a culture takes in too many immigrants of religions with complete counter ethical and moral views (I won't name names, use your imagination)

What parts of Islam are "complete counter ethical and moral views" to Christianity? As far as I can tell there's no inherent incompatibility, as demonstrated by the many contemporary and historic examples of Muslims and Christians coexisting peacefully. It's attitudes like this that drive vulnerable people to gangs and extremist ideology, causing the issues you see today in some - not all - Western societies.

“stop hitting yourself”

He endorsed British far-right agitator “Tommy Robinson” (not his real name) - in the US context this would be like endorsing eg. Nick Fuentes.

It feels like funding for conference participation at US companies has plummeted since COVID. Pre-COVID, most engineers I worked with would attend at least one conference a year on the company’s dime. That’s now become uncommon for anyone below staff engineer or director level, at the places where I work anyway.

> I haven't actually looked into it but I've heard that Japan basically doesn't allow for long-term immigration, except probably in exceptional cases like PhDs.

Hasn’t been correct for at least the past decade, if you post here there’s a good chance you would be able to relocate to Japan and have permanent residency within 1-3 years.

Japan has one of the most generous immigration policies in the developed world at the moment.

> Mortgage will only ever go down, both in absolute terms (due to opportunistic refinancing)

If you bought a home during ZIRP, this doesn't apply. Even now, you're looking at cutting your rate by what, 2-3% max? And if rates drop by that much, the economy is probably bad. Hope you're still employed.

> and due to inflation, and proportionally due to your earnings increasing over your career. These three factors will erode a mortgage into nothing.

You must live in California and benefit from Prop 13, congrats. In the rest of the country property tax makes up a significant part of housing cost that only gets larger as your mortgage decreases. Property tax also increases over time in proportion to housing cost inflation and the local government's fiscal policy. Any improvements to your home increase your assessment as well. (Not sure if you have noticed but the quality of governance in the US is...not great, and many markets can expect double digit percentage increases in property tax over the next decade.)

Now you might say "yeah but this applies if you rent as well." Not as significantly for a few reasons:

- Smaller landlords will often eat the tax increase given the cost and risk inherent in switching tenants. Any rent increase incurs the risk of needing to find a new tenant.

- Larger landlords have access to sophisticated tax advice that you won't have as an individual homeowner. They also probably have a real estate law firm on retainer to contest changes in assessed value.

- When your locality jacks up property tax by 20% because they can't fund gold-plated public employee pensions for boomers, if you rent it's a lot easier to just move.