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petilon

5,019 karma · joined October 8, 2011

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petilon··on A new bill takes aim at government pressure to silence lawful online speech
Threat of imminent violence clearly falls on one side of the line. There are other cases that are on the border and you can't judge so easily.
petilon··on A new bill takes aim at government pressure to silence lawful online speech
Agree, it is hard to delineate, especially when the government is run by people that are thin-skinned and retaliatory. That's what makes this issue so challenging.

But is it fair to curtail speech because someone might perceive it as a threat? That question applies to the government as well as to individuals. I think it has to be resolved on a case-by-cases basis by courts.

petilon··on A new bill takes aim at government pressure to silence lawful online speech
There is an important difference between government persuasion and government coercion. The government should not be allowed to threaten platforms with punishment unless they remove lawful speech. But public-health officials should be allowed to tell platforms, "This claim is false, it is contributing to real-world harm, and we urge you to reduce its reach."

Just like you and I have a right to free speech, so does the government. The government can urge, warn, criticize, request, and share public-health information.

petilon··on A new bill takes aim at government pressure to silence lawful online speech
I think "government pressure" needs to be defined. If vaccination misinformation is spreading like wildfire on social media, and measles and other deadly diseases are getting out of control, and the government urges social media to control the spread of misinformation, is that "government pressure" and should it be illegal?

Now you can argue that the right way to counter misinformation is by countering it with legit information, and that's certainly a valid argument.

But that idealistic approach quickly runs into a wall. As Bill Gates said on Oprah's show, "We were a bit naive: we thought the internet, with the availability of information, would make us all a lot more factual. The fact that people would seek out—kind of a niche of misinformation—we were a bit naive."

So yes, people seek out misinformation, because of some inherent belief that there is a vast conspiracy going on that they aren't aware of, and the more conspiratorial some news sounds, the more likely they are to believe it. So you can't necessarily fight misinformation with legit information, unfortunately. As a result, a public health crisis is likely if social media companies do nothing to control the spread of misinformation.

petilon··on Noam Shazeer Joins OpenAI
Noam Shazeer was one of the lead authors of the seminal paper "Attention Is All You Need", which introduced the transformer architecture. (From Wikipedia)
petilon··on What was nice about the UI of Windows 2000
Amiga workbench may have been available in 1985, but I think the bevels were introduced around 1990, in which case they copied NeXTSTEP.
petilon··on What was nice about the UI of Windows 2000
It doesn't really matter if they haven't used the original physical artifacts. If it looks physical you can figure out how to use it based on your knowledge of other physical objects you have used in your life.

Of course if you display for example, a spin dial like old telephones that has a particularly quirky way to use, them this doesn't apply.

petilon··on What was nice about the UI of Windows 2000
Hold on, don't give cred it to Windows 95. The beveled 3D look was the invention of NeXT. Windows 95 copied everything from them. https://guidebookgallery.org/screenshots/openstep42
petilon··on What was nice about the UI of Windows 2000
Why are designers not understanding this these days?

I think one reason is that flat UI is super easy. Skeuomorphic is extremely hard to get right, and if you don't get it right it looks super tacky. Most people who have the word "designer" in their job title don't have the artistic skills needed to pull it off. This is why most designers are opposed to skeuomorphic.

Somewhere in between is the right approach. The NeXTSTEP UI from the late 1980s is what we need to return to. It still looks beautiful today: https://guidebookgallery.org/screenshots/openstep42

petilon··on What was nice about the UI of Windows 2000
The title bar of windows in Windows XP was Fisher-Price. But I thought the rest was OK.
petilon··on SpaceX to buy Cursor for $60B
Michael Burry, a hedge fund investor featured in the book “The Big Short” for his predictions on the 2008 financial crisis, said in a Substack discussion last month that any increase in SpaceX’s stock after its I.P.O. would “be on hype and technicals.”

Here, “technicals” means technical analysis signals rather than the company’s business fundamentals. In other words, Burry is saying the stock could rise because of chart-based trading, momentum, and market behavior—not because investors think SpaceX is truly worth that much based on revenue, profits, or other fundamentals.

How long can the hype be maintained? TSLA is still maintaining its hype, judging by its P/E ratio.

petilon··on US and Iran announce deal to end military operations
Rising inflation at home forced Trump's hand.
petilon··on US and Iran announce deal to end military operations
Iran hasn't agreed to that. United States agrees to allow Iran to dilute its stockpile of highly enriched uranium on Iranian soil under a future comprehensive agreement.
petilon··on US and Iran announce deal to end military operations
Details here: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/iran-says-draft-us-d...

Key bullets:

What Iran gets:

* The U.S. agrees to release $25 billion of Iran’s frozen assets, including via direct cash transfers, cooperation among regional countries, and financial credit lines.

* Washington, in coordination with its regional allies, would prepare a reconstruction and development plan for Iran, to be negotiated and agreed with Tehran within 60 days.

What the US gets:

* Tehran agrees that it will neither produce nor acquire nuclear weapons.

* Pending a final agreement, Iran would maintain the current status of its nuclear programme, refraining from further uranium enrichment and expansion of nuclear facilities.

* The United States agrees to allow Iran to dilute its stockpile of highly enriched uranium on Iranian soil under a future comprehensive agreement.

* Iran’s nuclear programme, uranium enrichment activities and mechanisms for handling its stockpile of highly enriched uranium would be negotiated within 60 days of the memorandum and addressed in a final agreement.

petilon··on US and Iran announce deal to end military operations
How so? Trump Claims Strait Will be ‘Permanently Toll Free’ Under Agreement With Iran (NYT headline).
petilon··on US and Iran announce deal to end military operations
Trump says "The Deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete." The deal opens the Strait of Hormuz to all, while leaving the thorniest nuclear issues for another day.

So basically the same as when the war started.

petilon··on Measles surge in Utah sparks fears US could undo decades of progress
It is not lies if Mr. Kennedy actually believes vaccines are harmful. Idiot, yes. Liar, no.
petilon··on Free SQL→ER diagram tool, runs in the browser, nothing uploaded
Nice, but there is no LICENSE file in the github: https://github.com/royalbhati/sqltoerdiagram
petilon··on GLM 5.2 Is Out
The chatgpt link doesn't work.
petilon··on Noise infusion banned from statistical products published by Census Bureau
Religion is just an example. Don't dwell on it.
petilon··on SpaceX increases almost 30% after biggest IPO
Automatic flagging is an algorithm, not the same as voting.
petilon··on SpaceX increases almost 30% after biggest IPO
It is low-margin business, does not explain their 1.8T valuation.
petilon··on SpaceX increases almost 30% after biggest IPO
Sure, but renting out data center capacity is not that lucrative. You get 15% markup that's all.
petilon··on SpaceX increases almost 30% after biggest IPO
xAI failed to produce a frontier model. They got involved into nudifying and other questionable activities as well. People started leaving in droves: https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/elon-musk/xai-musk-addresses-wa...

xAI is a failed company, as is X. Their merger into SpaceX is basically a scam. Elon Musk justified this by saying he is going to send xAI servers into space using SpaceX. This is an unproven idea, not ready for investing.

petilon··on SpaceX increases almost 30% after biggest IPO
> roughly half of the IPO price they were seeking

That's already very high. Their profitable businesses are (1) Starlink and (2) Launching satellites. Starlink is growing revenue at maybe 50%, and revenue for launching satellites is growing maybe 10% annually.

But Goldman Sachs, which is leading the IPO process is telling investors that it expected SpaceX’s total revenue to reach $474 billion in 2030, up from $18.7 billion last year. That's 25x growth of revenue in just 4 years.

petilon··on SpaceX increases almost 30% after biggest IPO
I have had some completely innocuous messages (not SpaceX related) automatically flagged. There is some kind of bug here.
petilon··on Waymo Premier
So customer travels to vendor's site?
petilon··on Waymo Premier
It is surprising that business travel still exists. I would've thought that due to improvements in video calling tech during covid, the need for travel to customer site would decline precipitously.
petilon··on Skeptics Question Whether SpaceX Is Worth $1.77 Trillion
SpaceX posted $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue. A typical premium valuation for a top-tier tech company with excellent growth potential might be around 10x to 14x revenue, which would imply a strong IPO valuation of roughly $187 billion to $262 billion. Against that benchmark, a trillion-dollar-plus valuation is astonishing. At that level, investors would be paying far beyond normal tech-company multiples. I suspect many people buying into the IPO could end up losing money.

SpaceX lost $4.3 billion in the first three months of the year alone. Revenue was $4.7 billion and growing, but it was far lower than that of tech giants like Meta, which brought in $56.3 billion in the same period and has a stock market valuation of $1.4 trillion.

If this was only impacting folks who choose to invest in SpaceX that would be one thing. But they are forcing SpaceX down the throats of anyone who has a 401(k) and down the throats of anyone who has index funds such as QQQ, and Nasdaq suspended their normal rules for including SpaceX.

Goldman Sachs--they are leading the IPO process--told a potential investor that it expected SpaceX’s total revenue to reach $474 billion in 2030, up from $18.7 billion last year. So 25x in just 4 years. Morgan Stanley, which is also working on the IPO, said in an analysis shared with investors that it anticipated SpaceX’s revenue would hit $3.4 trillion by 2040.

I hope Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are sued out of existence for perpetuating this fraud.

petilon··on Show HN: Extend UI – open-source UI kit for modern document apps
Sorry I meant to ask the author of Extend UI not you.
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