pajeets

and traditional chinese medicine have known for years the connection between gut and mental health. ex) fecal transfer is recently being studied again

and its funny that people also throw in their subtle racially driven Western exceptionalism as if its civilization is totally healthy and isn't addicted to substances and magic pills.

I also second anime pfps and other blue checkmarkless accounts on X producing far more grounded takes (not just for AI).

X is a very good microcosm of that producer/promoter model from Dalio except that the promoters are seemingly the entirety and they are extremely loud to the point that it triumphs all common sense and reasoning.

It's also very tiring to scroll through "I made $XXXX in 30 days with AI and I'm only 17 year old high school student" or "we shipped a ChatGPT wrapper and used dark patterns for subs"

On Linkedin its far worse, everybody is a genius and everybody needs to pay attention to me of the remote chance a recruiter from big tech will reach out and pay me a large salary for managing their impression.

All in all, it really feels like the American economy is running on pure hopium and fumes. This cannot be good for it in the long run.

I recently had this discussion with a cousin who is depressed and seeking SSRI

I brought up Psilocybin mushrooms and microdosing but ultimately it was written off as "voodoo" and "not enough data" aka "placebo"

I'm convinced that modern science in the West is largely ideological driven. I cannot explain the number of times the arguments I've had with coworkers with acupuncture. When you tell them it temporarily relieves pain and even helps in the long term in some cases, they are very hostile as if I have criticized a religious figure.

i think overweightness should be seen more as a symptom and I share parent's concerns about ozempic's long term side effects being unknowable in the present

all in all general unease about dealing with symptoms and not the root cause of overweightness except in rare genetic cases, its overwhelmingly a dietary/exercise issue.

in this country the pill/drug is the answer and solution to everything but all this does is pile on more bandages without addressing the root cause which a very American solution.

I do not think the full ramifications are realized or knowable when there are profits to be made on both side of the fence, sort of like the whole opiate crisis in America started out as magazine ads blew up into a major crisis 20~30 years later.

chatgpt wrapper startups are ngmi

Not sure if a fighter jet is easy to make, even countries like South Korea have taken two decades to produce the 4.5 generation fighter jet and they still can't build their own jet engines, and the KF-21 is still on block 1.

Avionics and radar seems to be very expensive and where fighter jet manufacturers can make their own to capture the margins but I'm questioning whether a founder with no aerospace experience is able to produce military jets with even more stringent regulation than supersonic flights

This seems like the ultimate strategy, not actually ever planning on releasing a well tested supersonic plane and airline but rather selling the dreams for somebody else to take on a highly risky and niche space.

If nobody else is doing it already that just means very smart people have crunched numbers at those giant corporations and decided against it.

10 years ago I would've been excited but when I see outlandish valuations and startups without relevant experience in the very field they are going after, I assume bad faith

My question is, why aren't existing airplane manufacturers and airlines doing supersonic?

Why is it a startup without the same engineerforce or airline experience?

Is the goal to sell another dream after dream to enough whales to be able to cash out on secondary like Uber and WeWorks?

Seems like the most successful startups isn't actually finishing a product or providing forever jobs but sell enough of the half baked dream to enough investors to discover liquidity.

That doesn't seem like a very good thing for the economy in the long run. Money and resources are spent with the sole purpose of producing a few billionaires who will park their money outside the economy and pay little to no taxes and have it insured by bailouts by the people who made it happen.

I actually echo your exact sentiments. I don't have the street cred but watching him talk for the first few minutes I immediately felt like there is just no way we are going to get AGI with what we know today.

Without some raw reasoning (maybe Neuro-symbolic is the answer maybe not) capacity, LLM won't be enough. Reasoning is super tough because its not as easy as predicting the next most likely token.

Might be the almost securities fraud they were doing with crypto when it was fizzling out in 2022

Regardless, point is moot, money is money, and a16z's money isn't their money but other people's money

to be honestly from the way "safe" and "alignment" is perceived on r/LocalLLaMA in two years its not going to be very appealing.

We'll be able to generate most of Chat GPT4o's capabilities locally on affordable hardware including "unsafe" and "unaligned" data as the noise-to-qubits is drastically reduced meaning smaller quantized models that can run on good enough hardware.

We'll see a huge reduction in price and inference times within two years and whatever SSI is trained on won't be economically viable to recoup that $1B investment guaranteed.

all depends on GPT-5's performance. Right now Sonnet 3.5 is the best but theres nothing really ground breaking. SSI's success will depend on how much uplift it can provide over GPT-5 which already isn't expected to be significant leap beyond GPT4

tldr honest

im sick of these blue pills

Think this is the best answer. Founder mode should mean you have an unhealthy obsession with your product and vision.

The best example I can think of is the Costco founder threatening the newly arrived CEO who complained they were losing money on the hot dogs.

To me that is the single best example of Founder Mode.

looks like you need to pay to use this "free open source lib"

https://github.com/mljar/supertree/blob/main/supertree-comme...

same what is amazing is that they seem to know we are attracted to shiny stuff: constantly glancing at our phones, counting coins, jewelry

i dont know if this urban legend is true but apparently one guy was raking in a few hundred bucks a month by training crows to find coins and cash on the street

parrots too are extremely smart. I swear they know how to perform basic math and know what things are called.

This is what I find most fascinating. That crows are capable of gossip, organization, planning and execution.

"you know that dude that lives by the water? protect him he feeds us."

"you know the big guy that walks his dog and barks at us? we found out where he lives."

I've seen crows execute their own (seriously). They would crowd and walk him over the edge and when he fell they would just attack him.

I've seen crows leave gifts behind for feeding them regularly.

I've seen crows protect our property from raccoons and squirrels.

I've seen crows remember people and harass them (even when they moved to another city!)

For Anandtech to shut down means we are headed for a major recession.

I'm not sure I'd write this off because having a weak spot like this and information gained could lead to more discovery of the obscure. It's never a good security design to rely on someone never finding my secret API routes that I named after my co-workers that I despised

this reminds me of the one million pixels website

shouldn't be expensive to handle that amount of indices on a dedicated server without breaking the bank

not sure what you are building but i hope that was for a real time multiplayer game otherwise doesn't make sense to have bi-directional communication when you only need reads

making read replicas function also as writes is needed for such cases but already when you have more than one place to write you run into edge cases and complexities in debugging

Aurora on AWS definitely has extreme RAM

It's not cheap at roughly $200/hr but already if you have this type of traffic then you are generating revenues (hopefully) at much greater amounts.

looking at hetzner benchmarks i would say VPS are quite enough to handle Postgres for Alexa Top 1000. When you approach under top 100, you will need more RAM than what is offered.

But my point is you won't ever hit this type of traffic. You don't even need Kafka to handle streams of logs from a fleet of generators from the wild. Postgres just works.

In general, the problem with modern backend architectural thinking is that it treats database as some unreliable bottleneck but that is an old fashioned belief.

Vast majority of HN users and startups are not going to be servicing more than 1 million transactions per second. Even a medium sized VPS from Digital Ocean running Postgres can handle that load just fine.

Postgres is very fast and efficient and you dont need to build your architecture around problems you wont ever hit and prepay that premium for that <0.1% peak that happens so infrequently (unless you are a bank and receive fines for that).

was it? i read it was a huge ram server

sure failover is recommended if you have HA commitments

if you cant risk this rarity then get a failover server with equal specs

maybe add another for good measure....if the biz insurance needs extreme HA then absolutely have multiple failover

my point is you arent doing extreme orchestration or routing

throw a cloudflare ddos protection too

Postgres can be scaled vertically like Stackoverflow did. With cache on edge for popular reads if you absolutely must (but you most likely dont).

No need to microservice or sync read replicas even (unless you are making a game). No load balancers. Just up the RAM and CPU up to TB levels for heavy real world apps (99% of you wont ever run into this issue)

Seriously its so create scalable backend services with postgrest, rpc, triggers, v8, even queues now all in Postgres. You dont even need cloud. Even a mildly RAM'd VPS will do for most apps.

got rid of redis, kubernetes, rabbitmq, bunch of SaaS tools. I just do everything on Postgres and scale vertically.

One server. No serverless. No microservice or load handlers. It's sooo easy.

looks like we are headed for a recession

why?