957 karma · joined June 9, 2014
Ah fair enough. So there's often repeated phrase that "correlation doesn't imply causality". That's because often times people make the fallacy of going "A and B always happen together, therefore A must imply B!" (or the other way around). This is obviously wrong. So some people have learned that whenever someone says "A and B always happen together, so maybe one implies the other...?", they can shout CORRELATION DOESN'T IMPLY CAUSALITY and shut down the conversation.
But the truth is that these people for the most part don't understand that phrase very well, right? Because you take conclusions in your life, right? Science has learned many things about the universe, right? So SOMETHING must imply causality. _If it isn't correlation, what is it?_ Think about it, everything in life is correlation. If you open your hand and the stone drops, did the stone drop _because_ you opened your hand? How can you ever know? All you know is that two events "opening hand" and "stone dropping" are correlated, how can we know if one implies the other? But of course we know, don't we? ;-) I think this is a substantive observation :P
> You accused someone of not knowing what they were talking about and using phrases they didn't fully understand, and I didn't see any evidence that that was the case.
Well, he didn't know the answer to the question I posed before. His answer was "I am very very educated, you go read some books." To me that's plenty of evidence he doesn't know the answer. In fact, I would say telling someone "correlation doesn't imply causality" is strong circumstancial evidence to that effect :P
EDIT: If you say that saying "correlation doesn't imply causality" is bringing up a valid point, it must be the first time you see that phrase, am I right? Go on reddit and in every single conversation you'll see someone throwing that around as an excuse to not having to dig further.
What can I tell you, I think trying to use things you don't understand to show how much smarter you are, is the ultimate intellectual dishonesty. I think the world would be a better place (or at least more humble) if people were called out for such behaviours. You don't agree?
EDIT: Just to clarify, I agree with my comment not being respectful or make me look great, but I think it was substantial. If you want to be rigorous in science, you should know the answer to that question.
> I don't have months to study fulltime to cram for the CS trivia challenge
His implication that the reason why he didn't get into google isn't because he's not smart or knowledgeable enough, but because he didn't go to a prestigious school
> No, I don't work there. I didn't study CS in school (much less attend the elite CS schools they are selecting for)
The implication that maths is somehow less important than nebulous concepts like "shipping code within budget"
> "CS trivia" interviews select for people who know the mathematics of computer science, not for people who know how to ship robust software systems on time and within budget.
That interviews are processes which dumb people pass, unlike him
> Their interview doesn't select for "ability to figure things out" at all. It selects for "ability to memorize and regurgitate academic CS curriculum on demand."
And then the comments through which I came to know this guy: when someone makes a good point, he replies that "correlation doesn't imply causation", and then when asked a simple question, instead of answering the question his answer is "I have X credentials, therefore I know the answer very well":
> I have a philosophy degree, and I can say with some confidence that I understand that particular catchphrase pretty profoundly. Not everyone who happens to disagree with you is merely an ignorant barbarian in need of enlightenment. See Karl Popper's theory of critical rationalism to answer your questions about causation.
You see, checking boxes (like getting credentials and academic knowledge) is very important, but only the boxes he's checked.
I'm haven't enjoyed a thread this much in a very long time.
I'm calling bullshit.
You are absolutely right, because writing quality original work takes effort, and writing quality original maths work takes 100x more effort.
> This is kind of a cop-out
Call it whatever you want, but the fact remains that some subjects are more complex than others. Complex matters take more effort to write about, and there's fewer people qualified to write about them. When these two factors come together, you see regurgitated stuff. If you think that everything is equally simple if you explain it the right way, you're sorely mistaken about the nature of reality.
All this reminds me that I shouldn't be spending my own effort on HN :D
And regarding wikipedia articles, there's two big design alternatives: for each article you either write into it all the necessary background, or instead link to the necessary background in different articles. I suspect that the modus operandi that wikipedia has chosen is that you should do the former for mainstream topics and the latter for niche topics.
Related: Onsager received the 2000 Nobel Prize in Physics, also for 2D phase transitions. Trivia: Onsager was a Chemist! :D
EDIT: I believe this is the original paper: http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/0022-3719/6/7/010/...
I notice that in about 80% of your comments on your comment history you mention how old you are. Maybe you're just getting grumpy?
No, it doesn't make sense.
10k 2-word keywords: 1M impressions/day
10k 5-word keywords: 100k impressions/days
If I now increase the number of 5-word keywords to 100k, what do you expect will happen? I expect to get abobut 1M impressions/day
If you think about it, it's a trivial result. In any other industry if I tell you "I'm going to focus on increasing the ROI of 10% of our sales", you'd laugh. Why not focus on increasing the ROI of the other 90% of the sales?
However, it does depend on the account. On an account where you have the same number of 2 word keywords as 5 word keywords, of course the 5 word keywords will have a tiny tiny percentage of the impressions (say 1%). But obviously a marketer who goes for the long term strategy will tell you that you need 100x more 5 word keywords, in which case the 5 word keywords would have the same number of impressions as the 2 word keywords. But in comes the author's argument that you can do virtually nothing to manage that many keywords (we'd be talking millions here).