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nimithryn

168 karma · joined April 30, 2018

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nimithryn··on Ask HN: Great text based games to play?
Here’s a link: https://ifdb.org/viewgame?id=w5s3sv43s3p98v45
nimithryn··on Ask HN: Great text based games to play?
“Gostak” is a truly unique game. It’s like Zork, but many of the nouns and verbs are made up words.
nimithryn··on Ask HN: What's Your Biggest Regret?
I think for most people rumination is involuntary
nimithryn··on The Influence of Neuromancer on Cyberpunk
The comparison with the Beats is interesting (I know next to nothing about the Beats). Thanks for sharing!
nimithryn··on The Influence of Neuromancer on Cyberpunk
To each his own, but I don’t think the length of the book has anything to do with the clarity of the narrative. And I’m definitely not arguing that Stephenson writes novels that are less confusing than Gibson in general (I liked Anathem! But cmon) I’m just arguing that the style in Snow Crash spells out what’s going on more literally than in Neuromancer.
nimithryn··on The Influence of Neuromancer on Cyberpunk
The writing is beautiful, but I think Neuromancer has failed to capture a modern audience due to some of the stylistic choices Gibson makes (I’m not necessarily arguing they are bad decisions - I personally enjoyed the style - although I think one could argue that).

For instance, Gibson frequently skips exposition, and he delivers the narrative with a disconnected, stream-of-consciousness feel that is meant to evoke the sense of disconnection when “channel-hopping” or digging through large amounts of information on the internet. Combined with the frenetic pace of the story it can be confusing if the reader isn’t paying close attention. I’ll add that this was also Gibson’s first novel.

Compare to Snow Crash, which has a pulpier writing style (it was original envisioned as a graphic novel) or even The Matrix, which has a tight narrative. Those are more accessible to a mainstream audience.

Edit: formatting

nimithryn··on The Influence of Neuromancer on Cyberpunk
Snow Crash was apparently originally envisioned as a graphic novel, hence the tone
nimithryn··on I think US college education is nearer to collapsing than it appears
I mean, his ideas for replacing universities seem oriented at the elite institutions: https://twitter.com/sama/status/1505599701864701954

TBH I don't think it's clear what he's suggesting.

nimithryn··on I think US college education is nearer to collapsing than it appears
Some of these points are correct. College does seem to be providing less value in the US, etc. Maybe some third-tier universities could be in trouble if there's a decline in college attendance.

But, "collapsing"? Universities are one of the most long-lived types of institutions known to humankind. Oxford was founded in 1096. I suspect they will be around quite a lot longer.

nimithryn··on Individuals Matter
Then what do you rely on for decision making? Gut instinct? That’s a model too, albeit unformalized.
nimithryn··on Individuals Matter
> This is why you never, ever take anyone seriously who thinks of society like a model.

I’ve never understood these critiques. If you want to study society, what’s the alternative? No matter what, you have to make a model of some kind. Yeah, some models are simplistic, but maybe they can capture the high order bits of the phenomenon they are modeling, and at least you are committing to an idea you can codify, find fault with, and improve. The alternative (never making models) seems to be a type of intellectual nihilism.

nimithryn··on DMV approves Cruise and Waymo for commercial service in parts of Bay Area
As an actual ADV engineer, do you think this is a reasonable launch? What do you think the timeline actually looks like for driverless and why?
nimithryn··on Ask HN: Most employable programming languages for 2022 and beyond?
Examples?
nimithryn··on Counterfactuals are not causality
I will say that while I think this article doesn’t give a good treatment of counterfactuals - the “I can offer infinite counterfactuals so counterfactuals aren’t useful” argument is a kind of intellectual nihilism I don’t really buy - I think at its core this article is really just arguing that we should pose forward facing solutions when we encounter bugs, rather than explanations. That proposition seems fine to me.
nimithryn··on Counterfactuals are not causality
In the language of do-calculus, counterfactuals have a very specific meaning. Ferenc gives some great examples here: https://www.inference.vc/causal-inference-3-counterfactuals/

The main idea: Let Y be the set {y, not y} and X be the set {x, not x}. y denotes timing out, and x denotes “Kubernetes not starting the pod”. We have some distribution P(Y=y|X=x) (in this case, the probability of “timing out” (y) given “Kubernetes not starting the pod” x. The counter factual distribution is NOT the same as P(Y= not y | X= not x) (the “probability of not timing out given Kubernetes starting the pod”). The counterfactual is P(Y’=not y| X=x, Y=y, X’=not x), or “the probability of not timing out given that it did originally time out when Kubernetes did not start the pod, and given that this time it did start the pod”.

This aligns roughly with what you are saying above.

nimithryn··on Blue Origin first human flight
Because he was busy being CEO of Amazon, one of the largest and most successful companies in the world. Now he will spend most of his time on Blue Origin.
nimithryn··on Blue Origin first human flight
Bezos can hire engineers to work for him. Amazon requires lots of engineers and that works fine.

Bezos’s big contributions will be leadership, creating efficient processes, etc. He’s good at those things. You don’t need to be able to build the product to run a company.

nimithryn··on Blue Origin first human flight
I see these launches as early stepping stones to really profitable space industries. Asteroid mining, space manufacturing (like Varda: https://varda.com/), space hotels. You have to walk before you can run.
nimithryn··on Blue Origin first human flight
The US was behind the USSR at the beginning of the last space race. Jeff Bezos is an extremely smart and talented guy, and is now focusing a lot more of his time on Blue Origin. I wouldn't count them out.
nimithryn··on “AI promised to revolutionize radiology but so far its failing”
“Grand conspiracy” seems a bit uncharitable IMO. He’s just saying that the incentives aren’t aligned, which legitimately seems like an issue in this space.
nimithryn··on Ask HN: Anybody Started a Research Institute?
You have to assume that they also a) levered up and b) were doing some kind of arbitrage, not just HODLing. Color me skeptical but wilder things have been known to happen.
nimithryn··on Milky Way not unusual, astronomers find
Under some models, there’s a non-negligible chance that humans are atypical. See this paper by Sanders, Drexler, and Ord, for instance.

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1806.02404.pdf

nimithryn··on Tesla Q1 2021 Results
I don’t see how “enhancing” and “conflict” are the same. As gkop pointed out, the two sensor types may have different ranges of view, or may agree about situations where just sensor A may be uncertain.
nimithryn··on Tesla Q1 2021 Results
As I’ve commented above, “conflicting sensors” doesn’t make much sense as an argument. If sensors A and B conflicted, you could just ignore sensor B and get performance at least as good as just having sensor A.

Does sensor B have enough other benefits to outweigh the costs of adding it? I don’t know, but that’s the actual crux of this problem.

nimithryn··on Tesla Q1 2021 Results
See my other comment. I’m making a counter argument to the specific claim that conflicting sensors is an issue. I have no idea if the added benefit of Lidar outweighs the costs, but it doesn’t seem logical that “conflicting signals” could be an issue.
nimithryn··on Tesla Q1 2021 Results
I’m arguing against the idea that conflicting sensors is an issue. Clearly you can do no worse with sensors A and B than with just sensor A.

You might want to not have sensor B to lower the cost (as I suggested). Or you might want to have both sensors A and B because the provide some synergies (as gkop pointed out, better range of view, increased confidence, etc.). But it’s definitely not enough to just argue that the sensors may conflict.

nimithryn··on Tesla Q1 2021 Results
I don't find this argument convincing at all. Just ignore the lidar in situations where lidar and vision conflict and you have the original decision.

They probably started without lidar due to the cost (Tesla is one of few companies actually selling cars to customers, who are sensitive to price). The price of lidar has come down, but I would guess it requires a fair amount of expensive rearchitecture to add it in now, and they haven't bitten the bullet yet.

nimithryn··on Adventures in Improving AI Economics
Curious why you think the worst ML scientists were the former engineers (as someone who does a bit of both).
nimithryn··on Speeding up function calls with lru_cache in Python
You’ll still need to compute the digits of Phi though, and then exponentiate that. My intuition is that using ints is still faster.
nimithryn··on Speeding up function calls with lru_cache in Python
Does this work in practice for large values of n? You will be limited by numerical error in phi.
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