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nickff

12,570 karma · joined March 2, 2011

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nickff··on CEO who fired 900 people on Zoom just before Christmas wants his job back
"Minor embarrassment" is what politicians who 'take full responsibility' while not facing any consequences 'suffer'.[1] Getting canned for it is a bit more than that.

[1] https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-19958739

nickff··on CFTC declares market emergency, orders Kalshi to continue to operate in New York
If Wickard v Filburn is still good law, I don’t understand how the betting market is anything but interstate commerce. Futures trading is betting, especially where they’re settled in cash.
nickff··on CFTC declares market emergency, orders Kalshi to continue to operate in New York
Here is a link to a post about the State of New York's case: https://www.shb.com/intelligence/newsletters/securities-liti...

I am not sure about how the state regulation of betting will turn out (though I would have guessed that it is indeed pre-empted), but the nationwide injunction seems shaky given Trump v Casa: https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a884_8n59.pdf

nickff··on Illinois just passed a law that puts Linux on the hook for age verification
The 'small-scale' 100k-1MM per participant per day per casino laundering can add up to 'real money' quite fast.

The larger-scale money laundering in my area is a but more complicated, involving import/export schemes, real estate transactions, and property developments. I'm not in a mega-city, so I assume these schemes are taking place at a larger scale in those. I have only ever heard of very basic and stupid schemes (which didn't provide any tax revenue to my goverment) being detected or prosecuted.

nickff··on Illinois just passed a law that puts Linux on the hook for age verification
Criminals don't have to "recruit and pay huge numbers of naive bank customers"; in my jurisdiction, they just walk into a casino with a few hundred thousand dollars, exchange for chips, pretend to gamble for an hour, then exchange the chips for cash, and walk out with a nice receipt. There're more complex schemes involving real estate and other mediums too.
nickff··on Illinois just passed a law that puts Linux on the hook for age verification
Having the ability to identify who is watching or saying what on the internet would be immensely useful to the government; the justifications are really meaningless.

Anti-money-laundering is a comparable field, as all the AML regulations and laws are ineffective at identifying money launderers, but they're wonderful for verifying (auditing and prosecuting) tax compliance.

nickff··on Mars Bar from 1991 found – and it's 20g bigger than today's
>"It could be 99% filler and not be a lie."

There is no evidence that McDonalds has included any filler in their burgers at all (at least in recent history). See the link in the cousin-comment for more information on what has been claimed and what has been proven (so far): https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49247943

nickff··on Letter to Governor Abbott on responsible AI infrastructure in Texas
To be fair to its adherents (of which I am not one), the so-called philosophy espouses maximizing income, so that one can later allocate that wealth efficiently. Working in a low-earning field which directly provides aid to those in need would seem to violate a core precept of 'Effective Altruism'.
nickff··on Mars Bar from 1991 found – and it's 20g bigger than today's
"100% beef" is a factual claim, and not subject to Trademarks; McDonalds Trademarked "100% PURE ALL-AMERICAN BEEF" in 1982.

https://www.trademarkia.com/100-pure-all-american-beef-73352...

nickff··on Letter to Governor Abbott on responsible AI infrastructure in Texas
What do you mean by this? The two ideas/groups/perspectives seem completely unrelated.
nickff··on Big Food vs. the People
I’m not saying that the lawsuits are necessarily wrong or bad (though there do seem to be many of dubious merit), just that they don’t accurately reflect the mix of safety and other problems between large and small producers.
nickff··on Big Food vs. the People
The measures related to lawsuits are misleading and terrible, because of the way class-action lawsuits have incentivized lawyers to pursue dubious cases against large companies.
nickff··on Admin: Terminally Ill Patients Aren't Exempt from Medicaid Work Requirements
The US's problem seems to be that citizens demand a very high level of (costly) medical care, which would not be sustainable if implemented as a taxpayer-funded universal program. As an example, the numbers which I've seen indicate that the USA has about 10x as many MRI machines per capita than Canada (which is generally a comparable country). The other big problem is the way that Medicaid is implemented, with funding and accountability divided between the Federal Government (which doesn't have the constitutional authority to run healthcare), and the States (which do); this is rather similar to Canada, which also has major issues caused by this division.
nickff··on Who the welfare state protects shapes a country’s financial openness
I believe that it was changed after the comment you have replied to was posted.
nickff··on Underwater oxygen loss threatens earth's stability, researchers warn
Deep-sea mining has been studied and foreseen for at least 50 years, but it's never been economical. It is possible that current technology will allow for mining of nodules, but this still seems unlikely to me.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deep_sea_mining#History

nickff··on Nvidia's $750B in Deals Reignite Circular AI Fears
You are describing the justification that NVDA is using to explain their behavior; they see it as something of a 'bridge-loan' until the LLM business model reaches steady-state. The problem is that this explanation has been used for many bubbles, where companies mis-categorize ongoing costs as one-time expenses.
nickff··on Nvidia's $750B in Deals Reignite Circular AI Fears
The problem is that when a vendor finances their customers, they can create the illusion of 'real' demand for their product, when most of the the end-users are only actually using something because it's cheap. When the vendor runs low on cash and starts requiring payment, the customer may not be able to afford it, taking both vendor and customer down, and leaving the end-users who have a real need, and were willing to pay sustainable prices without any options.
nickff··on Nvidia's $750B in Deals Reignite Circular AI Fears
BRK has been roughly flat since the beginning of 2025; you might be better off in bonds or money markets (depending on your beliefs about near-term inflation).
nickff··on Kill The Cookie Banner
If people really cared, they’d choose browsers that have better control, but that’s obviously not a priority for them. Why do you think this sort of thing should be regulated to suit your preferences when most people don’t seem to agree with you?
nickff··on Kill The Cookie Banner
I believe myself to be fairly well-informed, and usually accept the cookies, because I don’t foresee any potential harms, and it helps the people running the website. I am worried about many things like phishing and hacking/data leaks, but the valuable data isn’t cookie-related.

What harm are you worried about?

nickff··on Latest Airbus single aisle aircraft innovations
The manufacturers are willing to put in whatever seats the operators want, and airlines want to have the lightest, most compact seats possible because that allows them to offer the lowest price, which is what passengers choose.
nickff··on Couple pay >$800k for a gene-editing therapy for their daughter. She died.
What exactly do you mean by "10x doctor"?

Some surgeons have a 10x higher 'revision rate' than others, and from what I understand, that may be an understatement. Many of the statistics which would indicate the ones to avoid are not tracked, precisely because the doctors do not want them tracked.

nickff··on Big Tech Isn't Hiding $1.65T of Debt
Quite reminiscent of Enron, though obviously not the same.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Smartest_Guys_in_the_Room_...

nickff··on OpenAI’s accidental attack against Hugging Face is science fiction that happened
There are many science fiction stories about amoral humans, cyborgs, and AIs. Paperclip maximization is a relatively recent meme, but the 'gray goo scenario' has been widely written about: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gray_goo
nickff··on AI Companies Are Trying to Hide a Staggering Amount of Debt
There's a wide spectrum of 'private credit', and it varies from low-risk to quite high risk, depending on the debtor. In the case of "AI Companies", their debt is low-risk, but many are creating special-purpose-entities which will build and own some or all of their newer datacenters. Those datacenter companies are issuing a great deal of somewhat risky debt; with the exact level of risk depending on the off-take agreement.
nickff··on I found a WordPress RCEs with GPT5.6 and $25
Is this comment pure speculation, or do you have knowledge (or anecdotal evidence) of a similar exploit being sold for $500k?
nickff··on Short sellers notch $8.7B profit as SpaceX shares dip to IPO price
SPCX is valued as an AI company; any and all issues you have with AI company valuations apply to to SPCX.

I too agree that SPCX’s space business is real and valuable, but it’s (almost completely) irrelevant here.

nickff··on SPCX is now Wall Street's most shorted new stock
You can be that factor! Short sell the stock, and use the money to invest in a more-accurately valued business.
nickff··on Former NOAA employees built Climate.us to preserve climate data and resources
This may be a controversial view, but I don't think we should trust the actor in charge of regulating and limiting emissions with its own supervision. The Federal Government has a plethora of agencies which regulate pollution and energy usage; how can we trust either its legislative or executive branch to ensure that their creations are effective or efficient?

To that end, I hope the Trump administration's actions cause independent data collection and analysis by activists and independent scientists.

nickff··on LAPD lets contract with surveillance giant Flock expire
It seems that making government union members accountable is an intractable problem in the current political landscape.
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